Portland Fire vs Atlanta Dream Prediction, 7/11/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Portland Fire vs Atlanta Dream

Date: Saturday, July 11, 2026

Location: Gateway Center in College Park, GA

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Portland (+11.5)

The Portland Fire (9-13) are headed to Gateway Center on Saturday where they'll meet the Atlanta Dream (13-9). The odds on this game have Atlanta as 11.5 point favorites. The over/under has been set at 172.5.

The Portland Fire played the Las Vegas Aces and ended up losing by a score of 88-80 in their last contest. Portland wrapped up the game having earned a 44.3% FG percentage (27 of 61) and buried 11 out of their 32 shots from 3-point land. At the charity stripe, the Fire knocked down 15 of 20 attempts for a percentage of 75.0%. In regard to rebounding, they compiled 30 with 6 of them being on the offensive end. They also distributed 17 assists for the game in addition to forcing the other team into 12 turnovers and having 8 steals. Regarding defending, Portland allowed 50.8% from the floor on 31 out of 61 shooting. Las Vegas distributed 4 dimes and had 13 steals in this matchup. In addition, Las Vegas collected 27 rebounds (4 offensive, 23 defensive) and added 5 blocks. Las Vegas walked away from this one shooting 81.8% from the charity stripe by knocking down 18 of their 22 attempts. They also made 8 of their 20 tries from downtown.

Carla Leite is a player who was a major contributor in this contest. She ended up with 13 points on 2 out of 6 shooting. She played 21 mins and collected 3 rebounds. Leite ended up shooting 33.3% from the field and recorded 5 dimes.

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Portland heads into this matchup with a win-loss record of 9-13 this season. They are turning it over 15.0 times per contest and as a team are committing 22.8 fouls per game. As a team, Portland is snagging 29.9 boards per game and has racked up 438 assists so far this season, which has them ranked 8th in the league in terms of passing the rock. The Fire are hitting 33.9% on shots from downtown (207 of 610) and 81.0% from the free throw line. They are averaging 84.1 pts per game (10th in the league) while going 43.6% from the field. Defensively, the Fire are able to force 13.8 turnovers per contest while drawing 19.0 personal fouls. The Fire defensively are giving up a shooting percentage of 46.6% (304 of 417) and they surrender 33.7 rebounds per contest as a unit. They rank 15th in basketball in allowing assists to their opponents with 512 relinquished on the campaign. They are giving up 34.8% on 3-point attempts and they rank 13th in basketball in PPG allowed (91.2).

For their last game, the Atlanta Dream went home victorious with a score of 89-78 against the Seattle Storm. The Dream snagged 25 defensive rebounds and 12 offensive rebounds totaling 37 for this game. They gave up possession of the ball 17 times, while recording 6 steals for this contest. The Storm committed 28 personal fouls in this matchup which took the Dream to the free throw line for a total of 26 shots. They were able to make 23 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 88.5%. In the matter of 3-point shots, Atlanta made 6 out of their 26 tries (23.1%). When the game finished, the Dream ended up going 30 out of 72 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 41.7%. The Dream permitted the Storm to make 30 of 66 tries from the field which gave them a rate of 45.5% in this contest. They finished 15.0% from downtown by hitting 3 of 20 and ended up going 15 out of 19 from the charity stripe (78.9%). With respect to how they rebounded, Atlanta allowed Seattle to pull down 30 overall (8 on the offensive glass).

Allisha Gray ended up being a factor for the Dream in the game. She made 7 out of 13 in this game giving her a field goal percentage of 53.8%, and had 3 rebounds. Gray earned 22 points in her 32 minutes on the court and totaled 5 assists in this matchup.

Atlanta has a record of 13-9 on the season. Atlanta has earned 1,926 pts for the year (87.5 per contest) and they snag 34.8 rebounds per contest. The Dream have committed 19.2 personal fouls per contest while shooting 75.1% from the free throw line. On the offensive side of the court, the Dream are shooting 43.0% from the floor, which is ranked 13th in the league. Their rate of earning assists is at 19.5 times per contest (10th in the WNBA) and they turn the ball over 12.9 times per game. The Dream on the defensive end are ranked 3rd in the WNBA in points given up per game with 83.6. The Atlanta defense gives up 36.4% on shots from behind the 3-point line (188 of 516) and opponents are connecting on 75.9% of their shots from the free throw line. They concede 19.5 assists and 30.5 rebounds on a nightly basis, which ranks them 5th and 1st in the league. They are able to force 16.5 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 47.4% from the floor (14th in the league).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (-11.5)

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