Portland Fire vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction, 7/28/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Portland Fire vs Las Vegas Aces

Date: Tuesday, July 28, 2026

Location: Michelob ULTRA Arena in Las Vegas, NV

TV: WNBA League Pass

Odds/Point Spread: Portland (+11.5)

The Las Vegas Aces (18-8) host the Portland Fire (11-16) at Michelob ULTRA Arena on Tuesday. Portland opens this contest as 11.5 point dogs. The over/under is set at 177.5.

The Portland Fire stepped onto the hardwood against the Dallas Wings and took a loss by a score of 101-97 in their last contest. Portland finished the game with a 56.9% field goal percentage (37 out of 65) and knocked down 10 of their 26 three-point attempts. At the free throw line, the Fire converted 13 of 17 tries for a rate of 76.5%. Concerning getting rebounds, they earned 22 with 3 of them being offensive. They also doled out 24 dimes for the contest as well as forcing the opposition into 13 turnovers and earning 6 steals. When it comes to defending, Portland let their opponent shoot 48.6% from the field on 35 of 72 shooting. Dallas distributed 9 assists and had 7 steals for this contest. Furthermore, Dallas snagged 35 boards (9 offensive, 26 defensive) and added 2 blocked shots. Dallas finished the contest at 79.2% at the charity stripe by knocking down 19 of their 24 attempts. They knocked down 12 out of their 30 tries from distance.

Megan Gustafson is a player who was a major factor for this contest. She left the arena with 21 points on 9 of 13 shooting. She played for 25 mins played and also pulled down 2 rebounds. Gustafson ended up shooting 69.2% from the field and earned 1 assist.

Get all of our WNBA Parlay Picks

Portland steps onto the court with a mark of 11-16 for the season. They cough up possession 14.5 times per game and as a squad they commit 22.4 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Portland is snagging 29.3 rebounds per game and has racked up 554 dimes on the season, which is 7th in the league in terms of passing. The Fire are hitting 34.7% on shots from beyond the arc (263 of 757) and 81.6% from the free throw line. They average 85.3 points per contest (10th in the WNBA) while shooting 45.0% from the field. On defense, the Fire are forcing their opponents into 13.8 turnovers per game and they draw 18.6 personal fouls. They are giving up 33.5% on shots from beyond the perimeter while they are 13th in the league in PPG allowed (90.6). The Fire are allowing a field goal percentage of 46.6% (372 of 503) and they relinquish 34.0 rebounds per game as a basketball team. They are ranked 15th in the league in giving up assists to the opposition with 633 surrendered so far this year.

In their last game, the Las Vegas Aces took a defeat with a final score of 100-99 when they faced the Washington Mystics. The Aces were able to collect 20 defensive boards and 4 offensive boards for a total of 24 in this matchup. They also turned it over 8 times, while earning 10 steals in this contest. The Mystics had 22 fouls in this game which got the Aces to the charity stripe for 29 shots. They were able to convert 26 of the free throws for a percentage of 89.7%. In relation to 3-point attempts, Las Vegas converted 5 out of their 14 attempts (35.7%). When the final whistle blew, the Aces shot 34 for 62 from the field which had them at 54.8%. The Aces allowed the Mystics to knock down 35 of 71 attempts from the field which gave them a rate of 49.3% in the matchup. They wrapped up this game 53.8% from beyond the perimeter by going 7 out of 13 and ended up shooting 23 out of 31 at the charity stripe (74.2%). Concerning rebounding, Las Vegas allowed Washington to grab 34 in total (12 on the offensive glass).

A'ja Wilson pitched in for the Aces in this game. She buried 12 out of 16 in the game giving her a field goal percentage of 75.0%, and had 7 rebounds. Wilson earned 38 points in her 35 mins on the hardwood and had 5 assists in this game.

Las Vegas has a mark of 18-8 for the season. The Aces have committed 17.5 fouls per game and they connect on 78.6% from the charity stripe. Their rate of earning assists is at 22.5 times per contest (2nd in the league) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 11.8 times per game. Las Vegas has 2,366 points for the campaign (91.0 per contest) and they collect 34.3 rebounds per game. As an offensive unit, the Aces are connecting on 49.0% from the field, which ranks 1st in the league. The Aces on the defensive end are ranked 7th in basketball in PPG allowed with 86.3. They are forcing their opponents into 12.1 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 43.9% from the field (5th in basketball). The Las Vegas defense allows 35.1% on 3-pointers (235 of 670) and their opposition knocks down 79.9% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have relinquished 19.0 dimes and 33.3 boards on a nightly basis, which is 2nd and 8th in basketball.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Las Vegas (-11.5) and over 177.5 points

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get WNBA picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.