Portland Fire vs Seattle Storm Prediction, 7/4/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Portland Fire vs Seattle Storm

Date: Saturday, July 4, 2026

Location: Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, WA

TV: WNBA League Pass

Climate Pledge Arena is the venue where and the Seattle Storm (5-16) will take on the Portland Fire (8-12) on Saturday.

The Portland Fire stepped onto the hardwood against the Washington Mystics and ended up losing by a score of 124-123 in their last game. Portland walked away from the game with a 44.6% FG percentage (45 out of 101) and made 14 of their 39 3-point attempts. From the charity stripe, the Fire buried 19 of their 21 shots for a percentage of 90.5%. When discussing pulling down boards, they earned 44 with 12 of them being on the offensive end. They also dished out 29 assists in the game while forcing the opposition into 17 turnovers and earning 12 steals. When it comes to defending, Portland allowed their opponent to shoot 42.9% from the floor on 42 of 98 shooting. Washington earned 12 assists and had 10 steals in this contest. Moreover, Washington grabbed 45 boards (12 offensive, 33 defensive) and got 9 blocks. Washington finished the contest at 73.2% at the free throw line by making 30 of their 41 tries. They also converted 10 out of their 29 shots from 3-point range.

Carla Leite is someone who had an impact in this matchup. She ended up finishing with 32 points on 12 out of 26 shooting. She played 48 minutes played and also pulled down 6 boards. Leite went 46.2% from the floor and totaled 9 assists.

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Portland comes into this contest with a record of 8-12 on the year. They are turning it over 14.7 times per game and as a unit are committing 23.2 fouls per game. As a team, Portland is snagging 29.0 rebounds per contest and has accounted for 404 dimes this year, which ranks 6th in the WNBA in terms of passing the ball. The Fire are shooting 34.7% on shots from distance (192 of 553) and 80.6% from the charity stripe. They currently have an average of 84.7 points per game (10th in the WNBA) while hitting 43.9% from the floor. When they are on the defensive end, the Fire are forcing 13.9 turnovers per game while drawing 18.9 fouls. They rank 15th in the league in allowing assists to the opposition with 473 relinquished so far this season. The Fire defense is giving up an opponent FG percentage of 47.1% (278 of 378) and they surrender 34.2 boards per game as a basketball team. They surrender 35.0% on three-point shots while they are 14th in basketball in PPG allowed (92.3).

The last time they took the hardwood, the Seattle Storm took a defeat with a final score of 90-67 when they faced the Phoenix Mercury. The Storm collected 24 defensive rebounds and 5 offensive boards for a total of 29 in this matchup. They turned it over 13 times, while recording 5 steals for the contest. The Mercury earned 13 fouls in this contest which got the Storm to the free throw line for a total of 12 attempts. They were able to convert 7 of those for a percentage of 58.3%. When discussing shots from beyond the perimeter, Seattle converted 8 of their 25 tries (32.0%). When the game finished, the Storm shot 26 out of 62 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 41.9%. The Storm permitted the Mercury to convert 33 out of their 73 tries from the floor which had them shooting 45.2% in this game. They shot 42.3% from three-point range by shooting 11 out of 26 and ended up shooting 13 out of 19 from the free throw line (68.4%). Regarding how they attacked the glass, Seattle allowed Phoenix to snag 40 in all (13 on the offensive glass).

Awa Fam pitched in for the Storm in this game. She made 6 out of 8 for the matchup giving her a field goal percentage of 75.0%, and had 6 rebounds. Fam tallied 13 points in her 27 mins of playing time and accumulated 3 assists in this matchup.

Seattle has a mark of 5-16 this year. Seattle has earned 1,689 pts so far this year (80.4 per contest) and they grab 31.9 boards per contest. The Storm commit 20.0 fouls per game while shooting 79.9% from the free throw line. As an offense, the Storm are shooting 42.8% from the floor, which is 14th in the WNBA. They are dishing out assists 19.0 times per contest (13th in the league) and they are turning it over 14.0 times per contest. The Storm are ranked 9th in the league in points per game surrendered with 86.4. They are forcing 12.0 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 43.1% from the floor (4th in basketball). The Seattle defense allows 30.5% from downtown (176 of 577) and their opponents are converting on 80.8% of their free throw attempts. They have surrendered 20.4 assists and 36.0 total boards per game, which has them ranked 10th and 14th in the WNBA.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Seattle

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