Seattle Storm vs Connecticut Sun Prediction, 5/10/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Seattle Storm vs Connecticut Sun

Date: Sunday, May 10, 2026

Location: Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, CT

TV: WNBA League Pass

Mohegan Sun Arena is the site where and the Connecticut Sun (11-33 last season) will take on the Seattle Storm (23-21 last year) on Sunday.

The Seattle Storm took the court against the Las Vegas Aces and went home with a loss by a final score of 74-73 in their last game. Seattle finished the contest having earned a 40.0% FG percentage (26 out of 65) and made 7 of their 18 shots from distance. From the free throw line, the Storm converted 14 of their 18 shots for a rate of 77.8%. In the matter of grabbing boards, they earned 33 with 9 of them being on the offensive end. They also dished out 17 assists in this game as well as forcing the opposition into 13 turnovers and having 9 steals. Regarding defense, Seattle let their opponent shoot 45.9% from the field on 28 of 61 shooting. Las Vegas recorded 4 dimes and had 11 steals for the contest. Additionally, Las Vegas totaled 27 rebounds (4 offensive, 23 defensive) and added 5 rejections. Las Vegas went 88.2% at the free throw line by converting 15 of their 17 attempts. They converted 3 of their 12 tries from 3-point range.

Nneka Ogwumike is someone who was a contributor for this contest. She ended up walking away with 16 points on 4 of 13 shooting. She saw the court for 32 mins played and also totaled 9 rebounds. Ogwumike finished the game at 30.8% from the field and recorded 2 dimes.

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Seattle enters this game after finishing with a mark of 23-21 last season. They had an average of 82.1 pts per contest (8th in the league) while hitting 45.0% from the floor. The Storm hit on 34.2% on 3-point shots (332 of 971) and 77.1% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Seattle collected 30.9 rebounds per game and accumulated 938 dimes last season, which was 4th in the league in terms of passing. They turned the ball over 11.6 times per contest and as a basketball team committed 17.1 fouls per game. When they were on defense, the Storm were able to force 14.9 turnovers per contest and they drew 16.6 fouls. They were 5th in basketball in giving up assists to their opponents with 861 surrendered last season. The Storm defensively gave up a FG percentage of 44.3% (1,287 of 2,907) and they conceded 36.0 boards per contest as a group. They surrendered 33.6% on 3-point shots and they were ranked 4th in the WNBA in points per game from their opponents (80.1).

For their last game, the Connecticut Sun took a defeat with a final score of 88-72 when they played the Atlanta Dream. The Sun snagged 21 defensive boards and 14 offensive rebounds for a total of 35 in this matchup. They also gave up possession of the ball 10 times, while getting 10 steals for the contest. The Dream were called for 18 personal fouls for this game which took the Sun to the charity stripe for 21 attempts. They were able to bury 17 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 81.0%. When talking about 3-point attempts, Connecticut converted 3 out of 20 attempts (15.0%). When the final whistle blew, the Sun went 26 for 73 from the floor which gave them a rate of 35.6%. The Sun allowed the Dream to bury 33 of 61 tries from the floor which gave them a percentage of 54.1% for the game. They finished 37.0% from beyond the perimeter by shooting 10 of 27 and walked away from this one shooting 12 of 14 at the free throw line (85.7%). When discussing rebounding, Connecticut permitted Atlanta to get 31 overall (5 offensive).

Marina Mabrey ended up being a major contributor for the Sun for the game. She buried 8 out of 15 in the game for a field goal percentage of 53.3%, and added 1 rebound. Mabrey earned 22 points in her 36 minutes of playing time and had 5 assists for this game.

Connecticut had a mark of 11-33 last year. The Sun were responsible for committing 19.6 personal fouls per game and they connected on 79.3% from the free throw line. They assisted teammates 17.4 times per game (13th in basketball) and they lost possession via turnover 13.1 times per contest. Connecticut had 3,337 points last season (75.8 per game) and they averaged 31.9 rebounds per contest. On the offensive side of the ball, the Sun shot 41.2% from the field, which was ranked 12th in the WNBA. The Sun defensively were ranked 11th in the league in PPG surrendered with 86.0. The Connecticut defense surrendered 34.9% on three-point shots (370 of 1,060) and their opponents knocked down 79.0% of their shots from the charity stripe. They forced 13.6 turnovers per game and let teams shoot 46.6% from the floor (13th in the league). They surrendered 21.7 dimes and 35.3 rebounds per game, which was ranked 11th and 12th in those categories on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Seattle

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