Seattle Storm vs Washington Mystics Prediction, 7/12/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Seattle Storm vs Washington Mystics

Date: Sunday, July 12, 2026

Location: CareFirst Arena in Washington, DC

TV: WNBA League Pass

Odds/Point Spread: Seattle (+3.5)

The Washington Mystics (10-10) play the Seattle Storm (6-18) at CareFirst Arena on Sunday. Washington opens this matchup as 3.5 point favorites. The total opens at 160.5.

The Seattle Storm faced the Atlanta Dream and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 89-78 in their last game. Seattle walked away from the contest with a 45.5% FG percentage (30 of 66) and made 3 out of their 20 shots from 3-point land. From the charity stripe, the Storm buried 15 of their 19 tries for a percentage of 78.9%. In reference to getting rebounds, they earned a total of 35 with 6 of them being offensive. They also recorded 21 assists in the game while creating 15 turnovers and getting 6 steals. Regarding the defense, Seattle let their opponent shoot 41.7% from the field on 30 out of 72 shooting. Atlanta doled out 10 dimes and had 14 steals in the matchup. On top of that, Atlanta collected 3 rebounds (10 offensive, -7 defensive) and earned 4 blocked shots. Atlanta finished the game at 88.5% at the charity stripe by converting 23 of 26 shots. They also made 6 out of their 26 attempts from downtown.

Natisha Hiedeman is a player who was a contributor for this game. She finished with 20 points on 7 out of 17 shooting. She played for 34 minutes and also snagged 5 boards. Hiedeman finished the game shooting 41.2% from the floor and also totaled 3 assists.

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Seattle comes into this one with a mark of 6-18 so far this year. They turn it over 14.2 times per game and as a unit are committing 20.1 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Seattle is pulling down 32.5 boards per contest and has totaled 453 dimes so far this year, which ranks 7th in the league in terms of passing. The Storm are shooting 33.6% on 3-pointers (208 of 619) and 80.4% from the free throw line. They are averaging 80.0 pts per contest (14th in the league) while connecting on 42.5% from the field. Defensively, the Storm are able to force 12.6 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 17.7 personal fouls. They are ranked 14th in the league in allowing assists with 482 surrendered this year. The Storm defensively are giving up a shooting percentage of 42.4% (303 of 424) and they surrender 36.4 rebounds per game as a team. They are relinquishing 29.1% from beyond the arc and they rank 7th in the WNBA in points per game allowed (85.2).

In their last game, the Washington Mystics took a loss by a final score of 62-49 when they faced the Golden State Valkyries. The Mystics pulled down 31 defensive boards and 10 offensive boards totaling 41 for the matchup. They coughed it up 14 times, while getting 1 steal in this matchup. The Valkyries had 16 fouls in this contest which got the Mystics to the charity stripe for a total of 15 shots. They were able to convert 10 of the free throws for a percentage of 66.7%. Concerning three-point shots, Washington converted 3 of their 24 attempts (12.5%). Overall, the Mystics went 18 for 60 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 30.0%. The Mystics permitted the Valkyries to knock down 26 out of their 74 tries from the floor which had them shooting 35.1% for this game. They finished 17.6% from distance by going 6 out of 34 and finished the contest at 4 of 4 at the charity stripe (100.0%). With respect to how they cleaned up the glass, Washington allowed Golden State to pull down 30 in total (9 on the offensive glass).

Kiki Iriafen was important for the Mystics for the contest. She buried 6 of 12 for this game giving her a rate of 50.0%, and added 9 rebounds. Iriafen totaled 12 points in her 30 minutes on the court and earned 1 assist in the matchup.

Washington has a mark of 10-10 on the season. The Mystics are responsible for committing 21.4 fouls per game and they hit 72.7% from the free throw line. They are earning an assist 19.2 times per contest (11th in the WNBA) and they turn it over 16.6 times per contest. Washington has tallied 1,622 points on the campaign (81.1 per contest) and they pull down 36.6 boards per game. As an offensive team, the Mystics are hitting on 43.9% from the field, which ranks 8th in basketball. The Mystics on the defensive side of the court are 5th in the league in PPG given up with 84.5. They relinquish 19.8 assists and 31.0 rebounds on a nightly basis, which has them ranked 8th and 3rd in the WNBA. The Washington defense concedes 32.4% on 3-point shots (171 of 528) and opponents are connecting on 78.3% of their free throw shots. They are forcing their opponents into 13.2 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 42.5% from the field (4th in the league).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Washington (-3.5)

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