Toronto Tempo vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction, 5/21/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Toronto Tempo vs Minnesota Lynx

Date: Thursday, May 21, 2026

Location: Target Center in Minneapolis, MN

TV: WNBA League Pass

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (+6.5)

The Minnesota Lynx (2-2) host the Toronto Tempo (3-2) at Target Center on Thursday. The line on this contest has Minnesota as 6.5 point favorites. The O/U has been set at 172.5.

The Toronto Tempo stepped onto the hardwood against the Phoenix Mercury and notched a win by a score of 98-90 in their last game. Toronto wrapped up the game with a 45.9% field goal percentage (34 out of 74) and knocked down 15 of 36 3-point shots. From the charity stripe, the Tempo converted 15 of 18 attempts for a percentage of 83.3%. Regarding rebounding, they earned 25 with 9 of them being of the offensive variety. They also dished out 17 assists for the contest while forcing 13 turnovers and earning 8 steals. When it comes to the defense, Toronto let their opponent shoot 45.7% from the floor on 32 of 70 shooting. Phoenix distributed 9 assists and had 6 steals for the matchup. Moreover, Phoenix collected 26 rebounds (9 offensive, 17 defensive) and added 3 rejections. Phoenix ended up shooting 78.6% when shooting free throws by converting 22 of their 28 shots. They converted 4 out of their 22 attempts from 3-point land.

Brittney Sykes is a player who was a factor in the game. She accumulated 31 points on 10 of 19 shooting. She played 35 minutes played and collected 7 rebounds. Sykes finished the contest at 52.6% from the floor and dished out 6 dimes.

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Toronto heads into this matchup with a win-loss record of 3-2 this year. They are giving up possession 12.8 times per contest and as a basketball team they commit 24.0 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Toronto is grabbing 31.2 rebounds per contest and has accounted for 85 dimes this year, which ranks 7th in the league in terms of passing the ball. The Tempo are shooting 35.4% on 3-point shots (52 of 147) and 85.9% from the charity stripe. They average 90.0 points per game (4th in the WNBA) while shooting 41.8% from the field. On defense, the Tempo are forcing 15.0 turnovers per contest and they draw 23.2 personal fouls. The Tempo defense is allowing a FG percentage of 49.0% (75 of 116) and they concede 30.8 rebounds per contest as a unit. They are 14th in the league in giving up assists with 104 conceded this year. They are surrendering 29.1% on shots from beyond the arc and they are ranked 6th in basketball in PPG allowed (85.2).

For their last game, the Minnesota Lynx took a loss by a score of 86-79 when they faced the Chicago Sky. The Lynx were able to collect 27 defensive rebounds and 8 offensive boards for a total of 35 in the game. They also gave up possession of the ball 15 times, while getting 10 steals in this matchup. The Sky committed 16 personal fouls for this game which took the Lynx to the free throw line for a total of 12 attempts. They were able to bury 8 of them for a percentage of 66.7%. In relation to three-point attempts, Minnesota buried 7 of 22 attempts (31.8%). In all, the Lynx shot 32 for 73 from the field which gave them a percentage of 43.8%. The Lynx allowed the Sky to make 30 out of 67 tries from the floor which had them sitting at 44.8% for this contest. They finished shooting 30.0% from three-point range by going 6 of 20 and finished the game at 20 out of 25 at the free throw line (80.0%). In regard to cleaning up the glass, Minnesota permitted Chicago to snag 39 in all (9 on the offensive side).

Kayla McBride ended up having an impact for the Lynx in the matchup. She buried 8 of 17 for the game giving her a rate of 47.1%, and had 7 rebounds. McBride tallied 20 points in her 40 minutes on the court and had 1 assist in the game.

Minnesota has a win-loss record of 2-2 on the campaign. Minnesota has accounted for 347 pts so far this season (86.8 per contest) and they average 33.5 boards per game. The Lynx commit 23.0 personal fouls per game and they shoot 71.1% from the charity stripe. When it comes to offense, the Lynx are connecting on 50.6% from the floor, which ranks them 3rd in the league. They are getting an assist 20.0 times per contest (6th in the WNBA) and they cough up possession 15.3 times per game. The Lynx defensively are ranked 8th in the league in points given up per game with 86.8. They have surrendered 20.3 dimes and 35.5 rebounds per game, which is 8th and 14th in basketball. The Minnesota defense allows 28.4% on shots from behind the 3-point line (27 of 95) and opponents are knocking down 76.4% of their free throw shots. They have forced 14.0 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 42.4% from the floor (5th in the WNBA).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota (-6.5)

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