Toronto Tempo vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction, 7/28/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Toronto Tempo vs Minnesota Lynx

Date: Tuesday, July 28, 2026

Location: Target Center in Minneapolis, MN

TV: WNBA League Pass

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (+14.5)

Target Center is the site where and the Minnesota Lynx (22-6) will take on the Toronto Tempo (10-16) on Tuesday. Minnesota opens this game as 14.5 point favorites. The O/U is set at 184.5.

The Toronto Tempo played the Las Vegas Aces and took a loss by a final of 109-83 in their last game. Toronto walked away from the game having earned a 39.2% field goal percentage (29 of 74) and knocked down 8 out of their 31 3-pointers. At the free throw line, the Tempo made 17 of 19 tries for a percentage of 89.5%. Regarding grabbing rebounds, they collected 40 with 13 of them being of the offensive variety. They also distributed 19 dimes for this contest while forcing 7 turnovers and getting 6 steals. When discussing the defense, Toronto allowed the other team to go 57.7% from the floor on 45 of 78 shooting. Las Vegas doled out 4 dimes and had 6 steals in the matchup. In addition, Las Vegas grabbed 31 rebounds (4 offensive, 27 defensive) and added 7 blocks. Las Vegas finished shooting 83.3% at the charity stripe by converting 5 of their 6 tries. They also converted 14 out of their 38 tries from three-point range.

Isabelle Harrison is someone who had an impact for this contest. She accumulated 26 points on 8 out of 11 shooting. She saw the court for 22 minutes and totaled 11 rebounds. Harrison walked away from this one shooting 72.7% from the floor and earned 2 dimes.

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Toronto steps onto the court with a record of 10-16 on the campaign. They are averaging 88.5 points per game (7th in the WNBA) while going 44.8% from the field. The Tempo are connecting on 36.2% on shots from downtown (261 of 721) and 83.3% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Toronto is pulling down 31.1 rebounds per contest and has totaled 519 dimes this season, which has them ranked 12th in the league in terms of passing. They lose possession by turning the ball over 13.6 times per contest and as a basketball team they are committing 22.1 fouls on a nightly basis. When they are on defense, the Tempo are forcing 12.7 turnovers per game and they draw 20.1 personal fouls. The Tempo are giving up a field goal percentage of 47.0% (330 of 523) and they concede 35.0 boards per contest as a unit. They are ranked 9th in the league in allowing assists with 560 conceded so far this season. They are giving up 32.4% from beyond the arc while they are 14th in the league in points per game from their opponents (92.9).

The last time they took the court, the Minnesota Lynx got the win with a final of 86-76 when they faced the Seattle Storm. The Lynx were able to pull down 21 defensive boards and 15 offensive boards totaling 36 in this contest. They also coughed up the ball 11 times, while recording 13 steals for the game. The Storm had 12 personal fouls for this game which got the Lynx to the free throw line for a total of 17 shots. They were able to convert 15 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 88.2%. With respect to shots from distance, Minnesota converted 9 out of their 23 tries (39.1%). When the final whistle blew, the Lynx walked away from this one shooting 31 out of 79 from the field which had them at 39.2%. The Lynx allowed the Storm to convert 30 of their 74 attempts from the field which left them shooting 40.5% for the matchup. They finished shooting 15.6% from three-point range by shooting 5 of 32 and ended up shooting 11 out of 15 from the charity stripe (73.3%). With respect to cleaning the glass, Minnesota permitted Seattle to pull down 41 overall (11 on the offensive side).

Napheesa Collier ended up being important for the Lynx for the game. She knocked down 9 of 20 for the game for a field goal percentage of 45.0%, and accumulated 10 rebounds. Collier had 24 points in her 22 minutes on the court and added 1 assist for the contest.

Minnesota has a win-loss record of 22-6 on the year. On the offensive side of the court, the Lynx are hitting on 48.0% from the field, which is ranked 2nd in the league. Minnesota has earned 2,562 pts on the campaign (91.5 per game) and they collect 35.4 boards per game. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 21.5 times per game (3rd in the league) and they are losing possession via turnover 12.8 times per game. The Lynx are committing 18.7 personal fouls per game and they go 81.1% from the free throw line. The Lynx are ranked 2nd in the league in points allowed per contest with 82.8. The Minnesota defense allows 32.2% from downtown (250 of 777) and their opponents are knocking down 79.4% of their free throw attempts. They have surrendered 20.0 assists and 32.8 boards per game, which is 8th and 6th in the league. They are forcing 14.7 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 42.1% from the field (1st in basketball).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota (-14.5)

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