Washington Mystics vs Connecticut Sun Prediction, 6/26/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Washington Mystics vs Connecticut Sun

Date: Friday, June 26, 2026

Location: Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, CT

TV: ION

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (-4.5)

The Washington Mystics (8-8) travel to Mohegan Sun Arena on Friday where they'll meet the Connecticut Sun (3-15). Connecticut opens this game as 4.5 point dogs. The O/U opens at 163.5.

The Washington Mystics stepped onto the hardwood against the Minnesota Lynx and took a loss by a final of 78-76 in their last game. Washington ended the contest having earned a 42.6% FG percentage (26 out of 61) and knocked down 5 of their 16 shots from 3-point land. At the charity stripe, the Mystics buried 19 of their 27 tries for a percentage of 70.4%. In regard to grabbing rebounds, they collected 40 with 6 of them being on the offensive end. They also doled out 17 dimes for the matchup in addition to forcing the other team into 13 turnovers and having 4 steals. Concerning defense, Washington let their opponent shoot 38.0% from the floor on 27 out of 71 shooting. Minnesota recorded 7 assists and had 7 steals for this contest. Moreover, Minnesota had 37 rebounds (7 offensive, 30 defensive) and earned 6 blocks. Minnesota finished 72.7% from the charity stripe by making 16 of their 22 attempts. They knocked down 8 out of their 30 tries from beyond the arc.

Sonia Citron is one player who came through for this contest. She walked away with 28 points on 9 of 14 shooting. She was on the hardwood for 34 mins and also collected 3 boards. Citron walked away from this one shooting 64.3% from the floor and totaled 3 assists.

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Washington enters this contest with a mark of 8-8 so far this year. They turn the ball over 15.8 times per contest and as a group they commit 22.1 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Washington is collecting 35.1 boards per game and has accumulated 301 assists this season, which ranks 15th in basketball in terms of passing. The Mystics are connecting on 29.1% on shots beyond the perimeter (89 of 306) and 74.8% from the free throw line. They have an average of 81.9 pts per contest (13th in the league) on 44.7% from the floor. Defensively, the Mystics are forcing 13.3 turnovers per contest and they draw 24.4 personal fouls. They are surrendering 33.7% on shots from beyond the arc while they are 6th in the league in opponents points per game (85.1). The Mystics are allowing a shooting percentage of 43.3% (466 of 1,075) and they surrender 30.3 boards per contest as a squad. They currently rank 1st in basketball in giving up assists to their opponents with 316 conceded for the year.

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Connecticut Sun took home the win by a final score of 92-63 when they played the Chicago Sky. The Sun collected 39 defensive boards and 10 offensive boards for a total of 49 in the game. They coughed up the ball 16 times, while recording 10 steals in this contest. The Sky earned 21 personal fouls in the matchup which took the Sun to the charity stripe for a total of 26 tries. They were able to convert 20 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 76.9%. In reference to shots from 3-point land, Connecticut knocked down 4 of 13 attempts (30.8%). When the final whistle blew, the Sun went 34 for 67 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 50.7%. The Sun permitted the Sky to bury 17 of their 73 attempts from the field which had them shooting 23.3% in this matchup. They finished the game shooting 13.3% from beyond the arc via 4 out of 30 and ended up going 25 out of 32 at the free throw line (78.1%). With respect to cleaning the glass, Connecticut permitted Chicago to collect 28 in total (11 on the offensive glass).

Brittney Griner ended up being a factor for the Sun for this contest. She knocked down 6 out of 10 in this matchup for a field goal percentage of 60.0%, and accumulated 8 rebounds. Griner earned 14 points in her 22 minutes on the hardwood and totaled 3 assists in this matchup.

Connecticut has a mark of 3-15 for the campaign. When it comes to offensive execution, the Sun are connecting on 42.9% from the floor, which is ranked 12th in the WNBA. Connecticut has totaled 1,438 pts this season (79.9 per contest) and they collect 34.1 boards per game. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 18.8 times per contest (12th in the WNBA) and they are giving up possession 13.6 times per contest. The Sun are committing 23.4 personal fouls per game and they go 68.7% from the charity stripe. The Sun defensively are ranked 11th in the league in PPG allowed with 88.3. They have surrendered 19.6 assists and 32.7 boards per contest, which is ranked 7th and 6th in the WNBA. The Connecticut defense gives up 35.6% on shots from beyond the perimeter (156 of 438) and opponents are connecting on 78.9% of their shots from the charity stripe. They are forcing 14.8 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 46.0% from the floor (9th in the league).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Washington (-4.5)

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