Washington Mystics vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, 8/25/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Washington Mystics vs Phoenix Mercury

Date: Tuesday, August 25, 2026

Location: Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, AZ

TV: WNBA League Pass

The Phoenix Mercury (13-24) host the Washington Mystics (22-15) at Mortgage Matchup Center on Tuesday.

The Washington Mystics faced off with the Portland Fire and earned the victory with a final of 105-100 in their last game. Washington ended the game with a 54.1% field goal percentage (33 out of 61) and buried 7 of their 14 three-point attempts. From the charity stripe, the Mystics buried 32 of 44 shots for a percentage of 72.7%. In regard to hauling in rebounds, they compiled a total of 38 with 9 of them being of the offensive variety. They also doled out 22 dimes for the matchup while forcing the opposition into 12 turnovers and earning 6 steals. In relation to defense, Washington allowed the other team to go 48.6% from the floor on 36 of 74 shooting. Portland distributed 7 assists and had 9 steals in this contest. In addition, Portland grabbed 25 rebounds (7 offensive, 18 defensive) and added 2 blocks. Portland went 100.0% at the charity stripe by making 15 of 15 tries. They converted 13 of 28 shots from distance.

Shakira Austin is a player who was a major contributor in the game. She ended up scoring 31 points on 11 out of 18 shooting. She saw the court for 33 minutes played and snagged 10 rebounds. Austin went 61.1% from the floor but wasn't able to get an assist.

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Washington heads into this contest with a mark of 22-15 for the year. The Mystics are connecting on 30.4% on three-point attempts (220 of 723) and 73.1% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 82.6 pts per contest (13th in the WNBA) while hitting 44.6% from the floor. They turn it over 15.1 times per game and as a basketball team they commit 19.4 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Washington is collecting 37.8 boards per game and has tallied 721 dimes so far this year, which ranks 13th in the WNBA in terms of passing the rock. On the defensive end of the court, the Mystics are forcing 12.0 turnovers per game and they draw 23.3 fouls. They are ranked 4th in the league in giving up assists to their opponents with 730 conceded on the campaign. The Mystics defense is allowing a field goal percentage of 42.8% (445 of 861) and they relinquish 30.2 boards per game as a squad. They give up 33.8% from beyond the arc while they are 2nd in the WNBA in PPG allowed (83.1).

When they last stepped on the court, the Phoenix Mercury took a loss by a final score of 99-89 against the Atlanta Dream. The Mercury snagged 28 defensive rebounds and 7 offensive rebounds totaling 35 for the contest. They coughed up the ball 16 times, while getting 5 steals for this game. The Dream earned 24 fouls in the matchup which got the Mercury to the free throw line for a total of 25 tries. They were able to knock down 20 of those for a clip of 80.0%. In regard to 3-point attempts, Phoenix buried 11 of 23 attempts (47.8%). When the final whistle blew, the Mercury shot 29 for 62 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 46.8%. The Mercury allowed the Dream to convert 37 of their 76 attempts from the field which had them at 48.7% in the game. They finished 28.9% from downtown by hitting 11 out of 38 and finished the contest at 14 out of 16 at the charity stripe (87.5%). When it comes to team rebounding, Phoenix allowed Atlanta to get 32 in total (8 on the offensive glass).

Kahleah Copper pitched in for the Mercury in the matchup. She converted 13 out of 21 for the contest giving her a rate of 61.9%, and earned 1 rebound. Copper racked up 38 points in her 37 mins of playing time and accumulated 1 assist in this game.

Phoenix has a win-loss record of 13-24 for the year. Phoenix has scored 3,109 points for the year (84.0 per game) and they snag 31.7 rebounds per contest. The Mercury have committed 18.5 fouls per game and they connect on 78.3% from the free throw line. When it comes to executing on offense, the Mercury are shooting 44.4% from the field, which is 11th in the WNBA. They are getting an assist 19.9 times per game (11th in basketball) and they turn it over 13.2 times per game. The Mercury on the defensive end are ranked 9th in basketball in points allowed per game with 87.8. They have conceded 21.5 dimes and 34.1 total boards per game, which has them ranked 11th and 10th in basketball. The Phoenix defense gives up 35.9% on 3-point shots (366 of 1,020) and their opponents are making 79.4% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have forced 12.9 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 46.4% from the field (11th in the league).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Washington

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