Washington Mystics vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, 8/27/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Washington Mystics vs Phoenix Mercury

Date: Thursday, August 27, 2026

Location: Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, AZ

TV: Prime Video

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (-2.5)

Mortgage Matchup Center is the venue where and the Phoenix Mercury (13-25) will play the Washington Mystics (23-15) on Thursday. Phoenix opens this game as 2.5 point dogs. The over/under is set at 167.5.

The Washington Mystics faced off with the Phoenix Mercury and walked away with a win by a score of 94-84 in their last contest. Washington walked away from the contest having earned a 51.5% FG percentage (35 out of 68) and knocked down 9 of their 21 shots from downtown. From the free throw line, the Mystics buried 15 of their 20 shots for a rate of 75.0%. In relation to hauling in boards, they collected a total of 35 with 10 of them being offensive. They also doled out 21 dimes for the game as well as forcing 9 turnovers and having 4 steals. In relation to the defense, Washington allowed 47.1% from the floor on 33 out of 70 shooting. Phoenix doled out 6 assists and had 9 steals in this matchup. Moreover, Phoenix pulled down 26 rebounds (6 offensive, 20 defensive) and added 5 blocked shots. Phoenix went 88.2% from the charity stripe by knocking down 15 of their 17 attempts. They also buried 3 out of their 17 attempts from long range.

Sonia Citron is one player who was a contributor for this game. She ended up finishing with 19 points on 5 out of 10 shooting. She played 29 minutes played and totaled 1 rebound. Citron finished the game at 50.0% from the floor and recorded 9 dimes.

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Washington heads into this matchup with a mark of 23-15 on the campaign. They currently have an average of 82.9 pts per contest (12th in the WNBA) while connecting on 44.7% from the floor. The Mystics are connecting on 30.8% on shots from downtown (229 of 744) and 73.1% from the charity stripe. As a team, Washington is grabbing 37.8 boards per contest and has accounted for 742 assists for the season, which is 12th in basketball in terms of passing. They cough up possession 15.0 times per contest and as a team they are committing 19.4 fouls on a nightly basis. When they are on the defensive end, the Mystics are forcing their opponents into 11.9 turnovers per contest while drawing 23.2 personal fouls. The Mystics defensively are giving up a field goal percentage of 43.0% (454 of 882) and they surrender 30.1 rebounds per game as a group. They are ranked 5th in the league in allowing assists to the opposition with 752 surrendered for the campaign. They are giving up 33.5% on 3-point shots while they are 2nd in the WNBA in PPG from their opponents (83.2).

When they last stepped on the court, the Phoenix Mercury took a loss by a final score of 94-84 against the Washington Mystics. The Mercury earned 20 defensive rebounds and 6 offensive boards for a total of 26 in this game. They coughed up the ball 9 times, while earning 9 steals for this contest. The Mystics were called for 19 personal fouls for the game which got the Mercury to the charity stripe for a total of 17 attempts. They were able to convert 15 of the free throw tries for a rate of 88.2%. When talking about 3-point shots, Phoenix converted 3 out of their 17 tries (17.6%). When the final whistle blew, the Mercury shot 33 for 70 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 47.1%. The Mercury permitted the Mystics to bury 35 out of 68 tries from the floor which gave them a rate of 51.5% in this contest. They shot 42.9% from 3-point land by connecting on 9 out of 21 and ended up shooting 15 of 20 at the free throw line (75.0%). In reference to how they rebounded, Phoenix permitted Washington to get 35 in total (10 offensive).

Kahleah Copper was important for the Mercury for this contest. She buried 7 of 16 in this matchup giving her a rate of 43.8%, and totaled 5 rebounds. Copper recorded 19 points in her 31 mins on the court and had 2 assists for the game.

Phoenix has a record of 13-25 on the year. The Mercury are committing 18.6 personal fouls per game and they go 78.5% from the charity stripe. They are getting an assist 20.0 times per game (11th in the WNBA) and they are losing possession via turnover 13.1 times per contest. Phoenix has scored 3,193 points on the season (84.0 per contest) and they average 31.5 boards per game. In terms of offensive execution, the Mercury are hitting on 44.4% from the floor, which ranks 10th in the league. The Mercury on defense are ranked 9th in the WNBA in points per game surrendered with 88.0. They are able to force 12.8 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 46.5% from the field (11th in basketball). The Phoenix defense gives up 36.0% on shots from beyond the arc (375 of 1,041) and their opponents are knocking down 79.3% of their foul shots. They have conceded 21.5 assists and 34.1 boards on a nightly basis, which is ranked 11th and 10th in basketball.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Phoenix (+2.5)

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