2012 Masters Props Betting: Odds and Predictions
by Alan Matthews - 4/4/2012
Let’s start on whether there will be a playoff at this year’s tournament. Unlike the U.S. Open, which goes to a full 18-hole playoff, or the British Open, which has a four-hole playoff, the Masters is sudden death, with players starting at No. 18. If someone doesn’t win there, players go back to the 10th hole for the next sudden-death hole. Players will then move between the 18th and 10th hole until one player is left as the champion.
There have been 14 playoffs in the previous 75 Masters, with the last won by Angel Cabrera in 2009. That year, Kenny Perry was in control of the tournament but dropped shots on his final two holes to force a three-way playoff between himself, Cabrera and Chad Campbell, which Cabrera won on the second playoff hole. ‘Yes,’ there will be a playoff is at +250 and ‘no’ at -350. After last year when there were nine guys with a legitimate shot to win on the back nine, I love yes here.
How about a hole in one at this tournament and where it comes first? There have been 21 holes in one in Masters history but none last year. The par-3 short 16th hole, otherwise known as Redbud, has had by far the most holes in one with 13. Thus that is the +225 favorite. No. 16 also is the only hole to have had consecutive groups hit a hole in one, which were by Padraig Harrington and Kirk Triplett in 2004. The longest shot at +1600? No. 4, the par-3, 240-yarder known as Flowering Crab Apple. The only hole in one to come there was by Jeff Sluman in 1992 with a 4-iron. No hole in one is the overall favorite at -150. I’m taking No. 16.
How about the final winning score at the Masters? The favorite is 275 & under at -138 with 276 & above at +110. The past two years, this total has gone under the 275. But in the eight years before that it was 276 or above. A lot of this will depend on the weather. It had been scorching hot in Georgia, which would make the course even faster.
But there is a 30 percent chance for afternoon showers and thunderstorms on Wednesday. Thursday's first round could be marred by rain and thunderstorms as there is a 60 percent chance of precipitation. Friday's second round is a repeat of the first round. Cooler temperatures – falling into the low 70s – arrive on Saturday and Sunday without any hint of rain. That should mean softer greens and good scoring conditions. Take the ‘under’.
You can even bet on how many letters are in the first name of the champion. Four letters – i.e. Rory (McIlroy) or Phil (Mickelson) or Luke (Donald) or Adam (Scott) or Matt (Kuchar) or Webb (Simpson) is at 7/5. Five letters – Tiger (Woods), Jason (Day), Bubba (Watson), Steve (Stricker), Charl (Schwartzel) is at 19/10. I think your value is clearly on four letters there.
The Masters is so big that you can also bet on a few cross-sport props like for the Super Bowl. For example, you can bet on the number of birdies on Sunday by the eventual Masters winner against Lakers star Kobe Bryant’s assists on Saturday vs. Phoenix, with both at -115. For what it’s worth, the low score in a fourth round at the Masters is 64, last accomplished by David Toms and Greg Norman in 1998. The record for birdies in one round is 11 by Anthony Kim in the second round of the 2009 tournament.
Last year, Schwartzel had five birdies (one eagle), including becoming the first player to ever birdie the final four holes and win on Sunday. Two years ago, Mickelson had five birdies in his final round for the win. Kobe is averaging 4.6 assists this year and 4.7 in three games with Phoenix. I don’t see the winner Sunday getting more than six birdies, while Bryant could easily surpass that number, so go Kobe.
Finally, how about Tiger’s final-round score Sunday (even money) vs. the Miami Heat’s Big 3 of LeBron James’, Dwyane Wade’s and Chris Bosh’s total points in their game Sunday against the Pistons (-130) – which will be higher? Tiger’s career scoring average at Augusta is 70.73. His best final-round score came last year with a 67. It was his third straight final round of 69 or better. Before that, Tiger hadn’t broken 70 on Sunday since 2001.
The Heat’s Big 3 combine for an average of 67.3 points per game. The Pistons aren’t very good offensively but are actually somewhat solid on defense (14th in points allowed). Detroit has lost twice to Miami already this year. In the first one, Wade didn’t play because of an ankle injury, with Bosh and James combining for 59. In the most recent meeting, the Heat trio combined for 56. I love Tiger here. Miami should blow Detroit out and thus LeBron, Wade and/or Bosh might take a seat early. They might combine for 65, but Tiger’s not going that low.
Doc’s Sports is offering $60 worth of member’s picks absolutely free – no obligation, no sales people – you don’t even have to enter credit card information. You can use this $60 credit any way you please for any handicapper and any sport on Doc’s Sports Advisory Board list of expert sports handicappers. Click here for more details and take advantage of this free $60 picks credit today.
Most Recent Golf Handicapping
- The Open Championship: A Brief History of the PGA's Oldest Major Tournament
- The Masters: A Brief History of the PGA Tour's First Major
- Expert Golf Handicapping: How to Wager on Tiger Woods Return to the Links
- 2017 Masters Picks with Odds and Expert Golf Betting Predictions
- Tiger Woods 2017 Betting Props with Expert Betting Predictions
- Olympic Men's Golf Predictions with Odds and Expert Betting Picks
- 2016 Canadian Open Picks with Odds and Expert Betting Predictions
- PGA Tour Picks: Northern Trust Open Odds and Expert Betting Predictions
- Rory McIlroy Odds to Win The Masters with Picks and Expert Predictions
- PGA Tour Picks: AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am Odds and Predictions