NASCAR's long and grueling Sprint Cup series comes to a close this Sunday afternoon at Homestead-Miami Speedway with the running the Ford EcoBoost 400. While this race will feature a full field of 40-plus drivers, everything will be on the line for the top four that worked their way into the Championship Round of this year's Chase.
MyBookie has set the prop bet odds for each of these drivers as far as their chance to walk away with this season's Sprint Cup title. A victory in Sunday's race at Homestead-Miami would ensure the title. I have broken down each NASCAR driver in this Championship Round to come up with my top-value pick to win it all.
Free $60 in Member Sports Picks No Obligation Click Here
Kevin Harvick +120
It's easy to see why Harvick is the clear favorite to win a second straight Sprint Cup title. Ever since his impressive run to last season's championship that included victories in the final two races, the No. 4 team has dominated the Sprint Cup series. It started this year's run with a second-place finish at Daytona, and over the course of 35 events it won three times while finishing second in another 12 races.
Harvick comes into Sunday's race at Homestead-Miami in solid form with four Top-3 finishes in four of the last seven races of this season's Chase, starting with a victory at Dover. Last year's win at this track adds even more value to these odds.
Kyle Busch +200
Busch missed the first 11 Sprint Cup point races this year while recovering from an earlier injury, but he was able to make the most of the 24 events he did race in with four victories, including three straight trips to the winner's circle back in July. Behind the wheel of the No. 18 car, he has been one of the series top drivers for the past several years, but this team always had their problems competing for a title in the 10-race Chase. Busch was able to turn things around this year with five finishes of fifth or better over his last seven races to work his way into this Championship Round.
The main concern with betting on him to take that next step with a win or top finish this Sunday is a disastrous track record at Homestead-Miami. His best finish here is fourth in 2012, but his average finishing position is 23.1.
Jeff Gordon +250
You would have to believe that Gordon will be a sentimental favorite with bettors in his final fulltime season racing in the Sprint Cup series, but there is also some solid value in his odds based on current form and past experience. The No. 24 car has become synonymous with success on the track over the course of Gordon's storied career, and the fact that he has been able to put himself in position to go out on top makes him a very attractive bet.
This was definitely not the season that this race team envisioned when Gordon announced it would be his last with just four finishes inside the Top 5 through the first 33 point races. That all changed with a huge victory at Martinsville on Nov. 1 that locked up a spot in this final race. It is safe to assume that one of NASCAR's all-time greats will make the most of the opportunity.
Martin Truex Jr. +270
Truex Jr. is definitely the wildcard in this field of four. Racing in the No. 78 car, he has only one checkered flag to his credit this year in the first race at Pocono, and in 10 seasons racing fulltime in the Sprint Cup series he has a total of just three victories. Nonetheless, he has raced well enough to make it into NASCAR's final four with three finishes of eighth or better in his last four events.
One thing going for Truex is a fairly decent track record at Homestead-Miami with a sixth-place run or better in three of his last four Sprint Cup races at this track. He also comes in with a "nothing-to-lose" attitude that could set the stage for a major upset in this Sunday's race.
Top Value Pick: Jeff Gordon
Want free sports betting picks? Doc's Sports has you covered - get $60 worth of picks free from any of Doc's Sports expert handicappers. Click here for free picks (new clients only).
Read more articles by Dave Schwab
Most Recent NASCAR Pick Articles
- 2015 NASCAR Sprint Cup Championship Odds and Betting Predictions
- 2015 Daytona 500 Picks with Betting Odds and Expert Predictions
- 2014 NASCAR Sprint Cup Futures Odds and Betting Picks
- NASCAR Sprint Cup Curtiss Shaver 400 at the Brickyard Odds and Predictions
- NASCAR Sprint Cup Coke Zero 400 Odds and Predictions
- NASCAR Betting: Kobalt Tools 500 Odds and Predictions
- NASCAR Betting: AAA 500 Odds and Predictions
- NASCAR betting: TUMS 500 Odds and Predictions
- Good Sam 500 Odds and Predictions