There's a lot of negative buzz surrounding the Oscars this year. However, set aside the negativity because there is outstanding value in this entertainment betting sheet. Live this Sunday is the 88th Academy Awards (Oscars) show at the Dolby Theatre in Hollywood, and we will see some underdog winners Sunday night. Our friends over at MyBookie have a full list of odds for the 88th Annual Academy Awards. Jump on these numbers now because these betting lines will move.
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Awards shows like this are such a great betting opportunity because a sharp handicapper can easily score a big profit. But on awards shows like the SAGs or even the Grammys, upsets and heavy long shots will come through. You just need to pick your spots! There is a reason the sportsbooks offer such low limits on these props; they want to lessen their exposure to guys like me!
2016 Oscars Odds - Provided by MyBookie
The Revenant -175
The Big Short +400
The Martian 80-1
Mad Max: Fury Road 80-1
Bridge of Spies 200-1
(Last year winner: Birdman, Odds -160)
Last year it was a two-movie race for Best Picture between Birdman and Boyhood, and this year I see it again as a two-movie race. I know The Revenant is the favorite in this category, but I'm picking an upset to take home the statue. I'm all over Spotlight at +130, and I thought this movie was unbelievable, shocking and brilliantly acted. It might be a good idea to wait and see if you can get a better number on Spotlight because the public will be betting The Revenant.
Leonardo DiCaprio - The Revenant -10,000
Michael Fassbender - Steve Jobs 22-1
Eddie Redmayne - The Danish Girl 18-1
Matt Damon - The Martian 80-1
Bryan Cranston - Trumbo 80-1
(Last year winner: Eddie Redmayne, The Theory of Everything, Odds -300)
Last year the favorite won as Redmayne took home the statue. And how shocking is it that he is back to try for two straight Oscar wins. Too bad he has no shot because Sunday night DiCaprio will finally get his first Oscar. I thought DiCaprio should have won the Oscar in 1994 when he played a disabled teen Arnie Grape in What's Eating Gilbert Grape, and I still can't believe they gave the Oscar to Tommy Lee Jones in The Fugitive. DiCaprio is a heavy favorite to win Best Actor. And since he already won the Golden Globe for Best Actor, I don't see him losing Sunday night. No betting value here, but an easy win for Leonardo DiCaprio.
Brie Larson - Room -2500
Saoirse Ronan - Brooklyn 10-1
Cate Blanchett- Carol 30-1
Jennifer Lawrence - Joy 30-1
Charlotte Rampling - 45 Years 60-1
(Last year winner: Julianne Moore, Still Alice, Odds -5000)
A huge heavy favorite won last year as Julianne Moore won at -5000, and this year again for Best Actress I see another huge betting favorite bringing home the statue. Brie Larson is -2500, and she already won the Golden Globe for Best Actress for her role in the movie Room. I don't see Brie Larson losing this category, but Cate Blanchett and Jennifer Lawrence both at 30-1 seem very tempting. Probably going to have small tickets on both ladies, but the winner will again be the heavy favorite, Larson.
Best Supporting Actor
Sylvester Stallone - Creed -330
Mark Rylance - Bridge of Spies +200
Tom Hardy - The Revenant 18-1
Mark Ruffalo - Spotlight 45-1
Christian Bale - The Big Short 18-1
(Last year winner: JK Simmons, Whiplash, Odds -5000)
If you haven't already read the Doc's Sports newsletter , sent out earlier where I predict the winner, I will reveal it again. This category is a two-actor race between Mark Rylance and Rocky Balboa, aka Sylvester Stallone, and I'm taking Rocky. Stallone was an underdog when he first fought Apollo Creed, went to Russia and beat Drago, and Sunday night he will come out on top. A little shocked that Stallone in his role in Creed is only -330, and I believe at this number there is still value here. Creed was an outstanding movie in 2015 and one of the biggest surprises, and I hope Stallone walks away as the Oscar winner.
Best Supporting Actress
Rooney Mara - Carol +350
Kate Winslet - Steve Jobs +300
Alicia Vikander - The Danish Girl -225
Jennifer Jason Leigh - The Hateful Eight 35-1
Rachel McAdams - Spotlight 80-1
(Last year winner: Patricia Arquette, Boyhood, Odds -5000)
What a close category this is, and I see four lovely ladies possibly grabbing the statue. Alicia Vikander is the favorite to win, which is shocking because Kate Winslet won the Golden Globe for this category. I really thought Jennifer Jason Leigh would have been one of the favorites, and at 35-1 I will have a small ticket on her, but choosing the winner is tough for Best Supporting Actress. I really wanted to pick Vikander or Kate Winslet, but I'm smelling an upset here and I'm going with Ronney Mara in her role in Carol for which she was nothing but brilliant in. I see her stealing the trophy in this tough category.
Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu - The Revenant -1000
Thomas McCarthy - Spotlight 18-1
Adam McKay - The Big Short 14-1
George Miller - Mad Max: Fury Road +550
Lenny Abrahamson - Room 80-1
(Last year winner: Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, Birdman, Odds -175)
Would love to see George Miller win Best Director, and I was really hoping to get better odds then +550. Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu won last year for Birdman and is the heavy favorite Sunday night but again, I'm picking the upset here. Rolling the dice in this category and going with George Miller for his direction in Mad Max: Fury Road.
The Look of Silence 12-1
Cartel Land +300
What Happen, Miss Simone? 35-1
Winter of Fire: Ukraine's Fight for Freedom 60-1
(Last year winner: Citizenfour)
This is the first year I handicapped this category and, yes, I watched all five of these documentaries. The last two out of three years, Oscar voters have gone for music-themed documentaries in this category. This year, not one but two music documentaries are nominated, "Amy" and "What Happened, Miss Simone?". And I see another music documentary winning Sunday. Amy is the big favorite here, and I see Amy taking home the statue. However, if you are looking for an underdog, Cartel Land +300 can easily steal the Oscar.
Best Animated Feature Film
Inside Out -10,000
Shaun The Sheep Movie 25-1
Boy and the World 45-1
When Marnie Was There 45-1
(Last year winner: Big Hero 6, Odds +250)
Last year we saw a huge upset in this category, but if there is one sure winner in the 2016 Oscars it has to be Inside Out. Inside Out is -10,000, and I don't see any other Animated Film pulling off the upset here. Watching four of these Animated Films was torture, and I believe the Razzies should add another category to their awards show. Worst Animated Feature Film.
Best Original Screenplay
Inside Out +550
Bridge of Spies 20-1
Straight Outta Compton 30-1
Ex Machina 45-1
(Last year winner: Birdman)
This is the first year I handicapped this category, and I see Spotlight taking this category. Inside Out +550 and Straight Outta Compton have very interesting betting value, and I will have small action on Straight Outta Compton 30-1.
The Revenant -2000
Mad Max: Fury Road +650
The Hateful Eight 45-1
(Last year winner: Birdman)
After many tough and brutal losses, Emmanuel Lubezki will be looking for his third straight Oscar win in this category. Lubezki won last year with Birdman and the year before with Gravity, and this year he brings The Revenant. The Revenant is a big favorite -2000 to win Sunday night, and the only underdog that could steal the trophy is Carol at 30-1. Don't see that happening, and Emmanuel Lubezki takes the hat trick.
Best Film Editing
Mad Max: Fury Road -450
The Revenant 14-1
Star Wars: The Force Awakens 100-1
The Big Short +300
(Last year winner: Whiplash, Odds +200)
Last year the favorite went down in this category as Whiplash beat out Boyhood, and this year I see another upset in Best Film Editing. The favorite is Mad Max: Fury Road, and I'm sorry but The Big Short +300 will take home the statue.
Best Visual Effects
Star Wars: The Force Awakens -225
Mad Max: Fury Road +100
The Martian 50-1
The Revenant 14-1
Ex Machina 70-1
(Last year winner: Interstellar)
The winner of this category has been a high-profile fall release movie, so if that stays true to form then The Martian or The Revenant will pull off the upset. I know Star Wars has made a billion dollars since opening and the visual effects were amazing, but I'm sorry that bear scene in The Revenant still has the experts talking. Here is another upset, and I highly recommend grabbing The Revenant 14-1 because this number will come down throughout the weekend.
Best Original Score
The Hateful Eight -600
Star Wars: The Force Awakens +300
Bridge of Spies 20-1
(Last year winner: The Grand Budapest Hotel)
I'm torn here in Best Original Score, and I'm really shocked on how high Carol 35-1 and Sicario 40-1 odds are. The Hateful Eight is the heavy favorite and deserves to be the heavy favorite, but it wouldn't shock me to see Star Wars or Carol pull off the upset here. I had Star Wars losing in Best Visual Effects, but I see the force being with Star Wars in Best Original Score pulling off the upset.
Best Original Song
Til Happens to You (The Hunting Ground) +275
Writings on the Wall (Spectre) +400
Earned It (Fifty Shades of Grey +550
Simple Song #3 (Youth) +700
Manta Ray (Racing Extiction) 30-1
(Last year winner: Glory, Selma, Odds -400)
Last year the clear winner was Glory -400 from the movie Selma, and this year I'm puzzled that Til Happens to You is not the clear favorite. Lady Gaga won this award at the Golden Globes, and I see her grabbing the Golden statue Sunday night. Grab this +275 on Til Happens to You because I see this closing around +130 or lower.
Best Costume Design
Mad Max: Fury Road -110
The Danish Girl 12-1
The Revenant 16-1
(Last year winner: The Grand Budapest Hotel, Odds -1000)
Here is another category that three movies could possibly grab the victory. Cinderella is the safe bet and has great odds, but I see either Mad Max: Fury Road or Carol winning the statue. Sandy Powell is the costume designer for both Cinderella and Carol, so that could hurt her in this category and that is why she would not go home with the Oscar Sunday night. The magnificent and sandy far out world of Mad Max: Fury Road wins for Best Costume Design.
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