Seattle Mariners at Texas Rangers Weekend Series Predictions with Odds and Analysis

by Ryan Cobbett - 5/2/2025

Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers series predictions Nathan Eovaldi

Heading into the weekend there are a lot of exciting games to follow. The Los Angeles Dodgers will head across the country to take on their NL rival Atlanta Braves while the Detroit Tigers head into Anaheim to take on the Los Angeles Angels with hopes of dominating the series and increasing their lead at the top of the AL Central. Despite all the great matchups ahead of us this weekend, there is one that stands above the rest and this tilt, between two division foes who are trending in opposite directions, should be quite entertaining. The Texas Rangers will play host to the Seattle Mariners as these two are separated by just three games in the AL West Division standings. Let’s dive in.

Doc’s Sports offers MLB expert picks for every game on our baseball predictions page.

Where They Stand

The visiting Seattle Mariners currently sit in first place in the AL West division with a two-game lead over the Houston Astros and Athletics and a three-game lead on the Rangers. Despite what their 18-12 record may indicate, the Mariners have struggled on the road this season going a mere 6-6. They are trending upwards in terms of their road success as they are 4-2 over their last six road games, coming off series wins against Boston and Toronto in front of their home fans. Overall, Seattle has won eight of their last 10 games and they are riding a four-game winning streak into the weekend. The offense has not been its normal issue lately as the Mariners have tallied 70 runs over their last 10 games. Overall, the Mariners rank ninth in runs, fourth in homeruns, fourth in stolen bases, and fifth in OPS. As for their pitching, they are missing George Kirby and just lost Logan Gilbert to the injured list. However, the bullpen has more than picked up the slack. Closer Andres Munoz has already converted 11 saves this season and has yet to allow an earned run while Carlos Vargas and Gabe Speier have combined for nine holds and a 2.70 ERA across 26.1 innings.

As for the Texas Rangers, they have dominated in front of their fans this season, posting an 11-6 record at home. Unfortunately for the Rangers, they will be lacking momentum heading into this weekend series against Seattle as they have lost seven of their last nine games and are coming off a series loss against the Athletics at home. Outside of their 15 runs outlying performance against the Athletics, the Rangers have been searching for runs. If you remove that game, Texas has averaged just 1.6 runs per game over the last eight games. They lead just the Colorado Rockies in runs with just 103 runs this season and they are just 28th in the league with a .285 OBP. The only three Rangers players who have reached the 100 at-bats mark are Marcus Semien, Adolis Garcia, and Jake Burger. The trio have combined for a -0.5 WAR while hitting a .198 AVG with each player averaging a strikeout every fourth at-bat, at least. Burger has now been sent down to AAA. Wyatt Langford has been the lone bright spot for the lineup as he has six homeruns and 12 RBIs while also stealing four bases. Thankfully, their pitching has been dominant thus far and ranks sixth in the league with a 3.26 ERA.

Team Betting Notes:

Seattle Mariners:

Seattle is 17-13 ATS this season and their 67% road Cover% is one of the best in the MLB this season.
Like their solid 67% road Cover%, the Mariners have seen the over hit in 67% of their road games this season while it has currently hit in six of their last eight road games.
Seattle has averaged seven runs per game over their last 10 games.

Texas Rangers:

Overall, Texas is 16-15 ATS this season, but they have covered 10 of their 16 home games this season.
The Rangers lead the league in hitting the under this season. They have seen the south side of the game total in 23 of their 32 games this season.
Texas has averaged 3.7 runs per game against AL West opponents this season, but they managed to score just six runs in their three-game series against Seattle earlier this season.

Player Highlights:

Seattle Mariners:

J.P. Crawford is 12th in the league with a 1.5 WAR and he is hitting .328 at the plate through his first 90 at-bats.
Cal Raleigh is tied for the league lead in homeruns with 10 while his teammate Jorge Polanco is right on his heels with nine.
Munoz leads the AL in saves with 11 and he has a 11.4 K/9 ratio through 15 innings of work this season.

Texas Rangers:

Nathan Eovaldi and Tyler Mahle have combined for nine of the Rangers 12 quality starts this season, but neither will pitch in this weekend tilt against Seattle.
deGrom has averaged just more than 5.1 innings per start this season, but he has been dominant with a 9.0 K/9 ratio, and he has allowed just 26 hits through 33 innings.
Luke Jackson has converted eight saves this season, but he has a 6.55 ERA.

Game 1 Preview – Bryan Woo (3-1, 3.09 ERA) vs. Jack Leiter (2-0, 2.03 ERA)

Garcia, Semien, and Jonah Heim have combined for 32 at-bats against Bryan Woo in their careers and they have combined for 11 hits, two homeruns, and four RBIs. The rest of the team has gone a combined 7/33. This season, the Rangers have a mere .660 OPS against right-handed pitchers and in Woo’s previous start against Texas back on April 12th, he allowed just one run over seven innings. On the flip side, the Mariners have destroyed right-handed pitching this season as they rank fifth in the league with a .780 OPS and they have had 33 of their 45 homeruns come off of righties. Look for Seattle to continue their momentum into the opening game of this series and spoil Leiter’s solid start.

My Pick: Seattle Mariners, -125 / Over 7.5, -130

Game 2 – Luis Castillo (3-2, 3.62 ERA) vs. Patrick Corbin (2-1, 3.79 ERA)

Game 3 – Logan Evans (1-0, 3.00 ERA) vs. Jacob deGrom (1-1, 2.73 ERA)

Series Picks: Texas is already 0-3 against Seattle this season. They do have a favorable matchup in the Sunday set with deGrom opposing Logan Evans, but Seattle is just playing at an elite level, and it is hard to pick against them until someone slows them down. I don’t expect that to be the highly underperforming lineup that the Rangers have and they’re going through this series without their two best pitchers. Seattle may sweep them again, but at the very least they will win the series and push the Rangers further along in their spiral.

Get MLB picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bet premium picks by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.

Start:	May 23, 2025 @ 10:10 PM
Expert:	Vernon Croy
Free $60 Account Sign Up

Seattle Mariners at Texas Rangers Weekend Series Predictions with Odds and Analysis

Most Recent Baseball Handicapping