2018 World Series Predictions
We have made it a quarter of the way through the Major League Baseball season, and we can't complain about it being boring. Some teams have been surprisingly good, and the Dodgers have been profoundly awful. Individual performances have been impressive - though not always from the individuals you would expect. It has been a great season so far. And now is a good time to sit back, absorb what we have seen so far, and search for value in the World Series futures market ( odds are form Bovada )
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New York Yankees (+525): The Yankees have just 12 losses in 40 games. Boston has 14, and no other team has less than 16. This is a team off to a great start - they are on a 113-win pace. But what has to scare people most is that there is plenty of room for improvement. Outside of Luis Severino, the pitching has upside still. Their two big sluggers can be better. The bats aren't maxed out beyond those two. And they have a new manager who is growing into his role with every game - and doing a great job in the meantime. There are plenty of reasons still to be concerned - youth, a tough divisional race, and so on. But this team is very legitimate. I don't think they are the best team in the American League, so they obviously wouldn't be my World Series pick at this price, but if you like them I won't argue with you.
Houston Astros (+550): I'm an absolute sucker for pitching - it's what matters in the sport as far as I'm concerned. You can have your sluggers and all that, but I'll take a stud rotation over anything. So, obviously, I am impressed with this team. Justin Verlander, Gerrit Cole and Charlie Morton are first, second, and third in ERA in the AL. Dallas Keuchel is 12th, and he can be better. Lance McCullers Jr. is 24, so they have five pitchers inside the top two dozen in a 15-team league. That's just ridiculous. There will be some shifting as things go along - Verlander won't be at 1.05 all year. And I know that ERA is far from a perfect stat. But just think about how good this staff is then add in the experience they gained last year, the depth of the roster, and everything else, and you get a sense of why they are my unquestioned pick to win it all right now. They were in a bit of a funk at the start of the year, but they shook it off faster than other past champions have in recent years, and they are back on track and in good shape to win what is shaping up to be a very tough division. There is pretty much nothing I don't like about this team right now.
Boston Red Sox (+650): I don't trust or particularly like this team. They are winning plenty, but the pitching is full of drama and isn't always inspiring, and there is generally far more drama around the team than I would ideally like to see. But then drama is what Boston has always done, and it works for them. I don't think they will win their division, but they are still a playoff team and a tough matchup - just not one I will be betting on.
Chicago Cubs (+1000): The current favorites in the National League enter Thursday night's action two games behind the leaders in the NL Central and in fourth place. And that says pretty much all you need to know about the National League right now. Chicago should be better than they are. And so should several other teams. But at this moment I just don't see any team in the NL measuring up to the three best AL teams.
Arizona Diamondbacks (+1200): A record of 14-12 at home. There are a lot of teams I like well enough about this team, but any squad that is only 14-12 at home is not one I can get behind. They are winning the division almost be default right now because it is so bad - they have gone 3-7 in the last 10 and still have a two game lead. Easy pass for me.
Los Angeles Angels (+1200): This team is as fun to watch at the plate as any team, and they are clearly so much better than they have been. But they just don't have the pitching right now to play with the big boys - and they knew that coming into the season.
St. Louis Cardinals (+1400): I find the Cardinals quite a bit more interesting at this price than the Cubs, not so much because of what they are now - which is fine - but because they have been heavily rumored in seemingly every potential big deal that could happen this summer. They have nice pieces and a strong desire to get better. Could be an interesting gamble. Heck, any team can win the NL at this point, so they would be far from a shock as World Series participants.
Cleveland Indians (+1800): Cleveland is 21-21 and leading the division by a game and a half. That just doesn't make sense. I refuse to consider this team until they figure out if they are serious this year or not. Right now they are just treading water, and it's painful to watch.
Atlanta Braves (+1800): I mean, we all had the Braves leading the Phillies by a game in the NL East in mid-May, right? I mean, it was so obvious. I don't see how they keep it up, but then I didn't think the Vegas Golden Knights had any chance of winning 30 games, either, and they are two wins away from playing for the Stanley Cup.
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