Chicago White Sox at Boston Red Sox Expert MLB Picks 6/24/2019

Monday, June 24, 2019

Fenway Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Lucas Giolito vs. Eduardo Rodriguez

Fenway Park is the site where J.D. Martinez and the Boston Red Sox (42-36, 3rd in AL East) will play the Chicago White Sox (36-38, 3rd in AL Central) on Monday. The Red Sox open this matchup at -149 while the White Sox are coming in at +139. The total is set at 9.5.

The White Sox have been good for Las Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 36-38-0 SU. The Red Sox cover 53.8% of the time, going 42-36-0 straight up. The Red Sox have been an excellent bet for baseball wagerers as the favorite, going 36-29-0 SU. Chicago has gone 22-31-0 straight up as the underdog, so they cover 41.5% of the time.

Valuable Chicago White Sox Betting Trends

The White Sox have been a good Under play for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 36-37-1.

The White Sox cover 43.2% of the time as a visitor, having gone 16-21-0 straight up.

Important Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

Boston covers 50.0% of the time at Fenway Park, going 18-18-0 SU.

The Red Sox have been a terrible Under play for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 43-32-3.

Related: Launch Angle Stat: Advice for MLB Handicapping and Betting

Key Chicago White Sox Injuries

6/22/2019 Jon Jay LF Groin Expected to be out until at least Jun 24
6/20/2019 Ryan Burr RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 24
6/20/2019 Dylan Covey SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 1
6/19/2019 Manny Banuelos SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 26
6/18/2019 Welington Castillo C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/7/2019 Carlos Rodon SP Elbow Out for the season
5/13/2019 Nate Jones RP Forearm Out for the season
3/11/2019 Michael Kopech SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

6/22/2019 Steve Pearce 1B Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 23
6/22/2019 Tyler Thornburg RP Hip Expected to be out until at least Jun 26
6/22/2019 Rafael Devers 3B Hamstring Probable for Jun 23
6/21/2019 Heath Hembree RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jun 26
6/19/2019 Tzu-Wei Lin 2B Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/19/2019 Hector Velazquez RP Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 29
6/15/2019 Blake Swihart C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/15/2019 Nathan Eovaldi SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 7
6/8/2019 Mitch Moreland 1B Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
5/28/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The White Sox have a 36-38 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Lucas Giolito has a 10-2 record with an earned run average of 2.74 and a WHIP of 1.02 this season. He has 104 strikeouts over his 85.1 innings pitched and he's given up 58 hits. He's allowed 6.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.08. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.15 and they have given up 222 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .233 against the bullpen and they've struck out 239 hitters and walked 117 batters. As a team, Chicago allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.98. The White Sox pitchers collectively have given up 643 base hits and 353 earned runs. They have allowed 106 home runs this season, ranking them 14th in the league. Chicago as a pitching staff has walked 276 batters and struck out 588. They have walked 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.44 and their FIP as a unit is 4.90.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Chicago is hitting .253, good for 14th in the league. The White Sox hold a .407 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312, which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 17th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Jose Abreu is hitting .259 with an on-base percentage of .300. He has 76 hits this season in 294 at bats with 54 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .497 and an OPS+ of 109. Tim Anderson is hitting .320 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .346. He has totaled 83 hits and he has driven in 36 men in 259 at bats. His OPS+ is 123 while his slugging percentage is at .498. The White Sox have 630 hits, including 113 doubles and 86 home runs. Chicago has walked 185 times so far this season and they have struck out 687 times as a unit. They have left 486 men on base and have a team OPS of .719. They score 4.3 runs per contest and have scored a total of 318 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Boston has a 42-36 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.71, Eduardo Rodriguez has a 8-4 record and a 1.36 WHIP. He has 93 strikeouts over the 86 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 92 hits. He's allowing 9.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.98. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.00 and they have given up 265 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .229 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 357 batters and walked 135 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 10 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.25. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 655 base knocks and 335 earned runs this season. They have given up 96 home runs this year, which ranks 20th in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 257 hitters and struck out 792 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.29 while their FIP as a staff is 3.95.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .264, good for 6th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .449 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .341, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 9.3 hits per contest. J.D. Martinez comes into this matchup batting .293 with an OBP of .369. He has 79 hits this year along with 42 RBI in 270 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .533 with an OPS+ of 133. Rafael Devers is hitting .309 this season and he has an OBP of .361. He has collected 92 hits in 298 at bats while driving in 48 runs. He has an OPS+ of 124 and a slugging percentage of .503. The Red Sox as a unit have 726 base hits, including 151 doubles and 111 homers. Boston has walked 309 times this year and they have struck out on 664 occasions. They have had 572 men left on base and have an OPS of .789. They have scored 5.41 runs per game and totaled 422 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's White Sox/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Red Sox -149

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