» MLB Picks » Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals MLB Game Picks 6/23/2019

Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals MLB Game Picks 6/23/2019

by Guy Bruhn - 6/22/2019

Sunday, June 23, 2019

Kauffman Stadium

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Michael Pineda vs. Homer Bailey

Whit Merrifield and the Kansas City Royals (26-50, 5th in AL Central) host the Minnesota Twins (49-26, 1st in AL Central) at Kauffman Stadium on Sunday, June 23, 2019. The Twins open this matchup at -165 while the Royals are coming in at +155. The total is set at 10.5.

The Twins have been bad for Las Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 49-26-0 SU. Kansas City covers 34.2% of the time, going 26-50-0 straight up. The Twins have been bad for Las Vegas oddsmakers as the favorite, going 32-16-0 SU. Kansas City has gone 21-45-0 straight up as the underdog, so they are covering 31.8% of the time.

Valuable Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Twins have been a terrible Under bet for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 40-31-4.

Minnesota covers 65.8% of the time as the visitor, having gone 25-13-0 straight up.

Important Kansas City Royals Betting Trends

The Royals are covering 36.8% of the time at Kauffman Stadium, going 14-24-0 SU.

The Royals have been a hot and cold Under bet for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 38-33-5.

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

6/21/2019 Mitch Garver C Heel Probable for Jun 22
6/20/2019 Adalberto Mejia RP Calf Expected to be out until at least Jun 30
6/19/2019 Marwin Gonzalez 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 30
6/18/2019 Ehire Adrianza 3B Abdomen Expected to be out until at least Jun 27
6/18/2019 Byron Buxton CF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Jun 25

Key Kansas City Royals Injuries

6/20/2019 Adalberto Mondesi SS Groin Expected to be out until at least Jun 29
6/10/2019 Jesse Hahn SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 25
3/28/2019 Trevor Oaks SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
3/11/2019 Salvador Perez C Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Twins have a 49-26 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Michael Pineda has a 4-3 record with an earned run average of 4.76 and a WHIP of 1.19 this season. He has 62 strikeouts over his 75.2 innings pitched and he's given up 76 hits. He's allowed 9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.61. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.47 and they have given up 243 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .255 against the bullpen and they've struck out 248 hitters and walked 100 batters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.96. The Twins pitchers collectively have given up 636 base hits and 295 earned runs. They have allowed 89 home runs this season, ranking them 24th in the league. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 214 batters and struck out 647. They have walked 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.27 and their FIP as a unit is 4.04.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Minnesota is hitting .272, good for 1st in the league. The Twins hold a .503 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .339, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.5 hits per game. Jorge Polanco is hitting .326 with an on-base percentage of .386. He has 95 hits this season in 291 at bats with 38 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .550 and an OPS+ of 148. Eddie Rosario is hitting .271 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .302. He has totaled 79 hits and he has driven in 55 men in 292 at bats. His OPS+ is 113 while his slugging percentage is at .514. The Twins have 713 hits, including 160 doubles and 143 home runs. Minnesota has walked 236 times so far this season and they have struck out 592 times as a unit. They have left 514 men on base and have a team OPS of .842. They score 5.79 runs per contest and have scored a total of 434 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Kansas City has a 26-50 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.82, Homer Bailey has a 6-6 record and a 1.39 WHIP. He has 67 strikeouts over the 74.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 73 hits. He's allowing 8.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.09. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.83 and they have given up 264 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .263 against the Royals bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 255 batters and walked 114 opposing hitters. As a team, Kansas City allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8 batters per nine innings. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 5.01. The Royals pitchers as a team have surrendered 681 base knocks and 370 earned runs this season. They have given up 90 home runs this year, which ranks 23rd in Major League Baseball. Kansas City as a staff has walked 278 hitters and struck out 590 batters. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.44 while their FIP as a staff is 4.61.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .244, good for 20th in the league. The Royals hold a .404 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .307, which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 8.3 hits per contest. Whit Merrifield comes into this matchup batting .300 with an OBP of .347. He has 95 hits this year along with 39 RBI in 317 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .498 with an OPS+ of 122. Alex Gordon is hitting .260 this season and he has an OBP of .340. He has collected 69 hits in 265 at bats while driving in 44 runs. He has an OPS+ of 107 and a slugging percentage of .445. The Royals as a unit have 627 base hits, including 127 doubles and 77 homers. Kansas City has walked 217 times this year and they have struck out on 657 occasions. They have had 494 men left on base and have an OPS of .711. They have scored 4.26 runs per game and totaled 324 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Twins/Royals MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Royals +155

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