Saturday, September 19, 2015
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The Air Force Falcons will take on the Michigan State Spartans on Saturday at Spartan Stadium. Both teams will come into this matchup at 2 - 0. The opening line for this game has Michigan State as 26.5 point favorites and the over/under was set at 60.
The Falcons are 4-0 against the spread vs. a team with a winning record, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. The under is 5-0 in the Falcons last 5 vs. the Big Ten and 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The under is also 7-2 in their last 9 vs. a team with a winning record and 10-4 in their last 14 non-conference games.
The Spartans are 4-1 against the spread vs. a team with a winning record, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS loss and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win. They are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games and are 18-8-1 ATS in their last 27 games overall. The over is 7-1 in the Spartans last 8 non-conference games and 4-1 in their last 5 games in September. The over is also 10-3 in their last 13 games following a S.U. win and 13-4 in their last 17 games overall.
Air Force is averaging 50 points per game on the offensive side of the ball. They are completing 3.5 passes per game on 9 attempts for a 38.9 percent completion percentage and average 71.5 yards in the passing department per game. The Falcons are averaging 411 rushing yards per game on 66 attempts per contest for an average of 6.2 yards per carry. They also run 75 plays per contest and average 6.4 yards per play for an average of 482.5 yards per game. The Falcons are averaging 26 first downs per game and they accumulate 52.5 penalty yards per game via 5.5 penalties.
Air Force gives up 11.5 points per contest and an average of 141 passing yards each game on the defensive side of the ball. They allow an average of 15.5 completed passes on 29 attempts for a completion percentage of 53.4. The Falcons allow 101.5 rushing yards per game on 27 carries for a 3.8 average per play. Air Force allows 242.5 total yards per game including 4.3 yards per play. They force 2 turnovers per contest and get flagged for 8.5 penalties for 53 yards per game.
Michigan State is putting 34 points on the board per game on the offensive side of the ball. They complete 17.5 passes per game on 31.5 attempts for a 55.6 percent completion percentage and average 224 yards in the passing department for each outing. The Spartans rush for an average of 196.5 yards per contest on 38.5 attempts for an average of 5.1 yards per carry for the season. They also run 70 plays per game and average 6 yards per play for a total of 420.5 yards per game. The Spartans get an average of 23.5 first downs per game and they average 20 penalty yards per game via 2.5 penalties.
Michigan State surrenders 26 points per game and 337 passing yards each outing on the defensive side of the ball. They allow 27.5 completed passes per game on 44.5 attempts for a completion percentage of 61.8. The Spartans allow 70.5 rushing yards per contest on 33 carries for a 2.1 average per rush. Michigan State allows 407.5 total yards per game for an average of 5.3 yards per play. They force 2 turnovers per contest and 8.5 penalties for 66.5 yards in each contest.
Air Force Betting Trends
Air Force is 1-1-0 against the over/under so far this season
Air Force has an ATS record of 2-0-0 this season
Michigan State Betting Trends
Michigan State is 1-1-0 against the over/under so far this season
Michigan State has an ATS record of 0-2-0 this season
Injuries to Watch
09/14/15 QB Nate Romine Knee injured last game, "?" Saturday vs. Michigan State
09/13/15 TE Garrett Griffin Knee "?" Saturday vs. Michigan State
09/13/15 WR Matt Galland Undisclosed "?" Saturday vs. Michigan State
09/13/15 LB Drake Martinez Undisclosed "?" Saturday vs. Air Force
09/07/15 DB Mark Meyers Suspension out indefinitely
08/13/15 LB Ed Davis Knee out for season
Tony's Pick: Take Air Force
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