Saturday, November 26, 2016
Vaught Hemingway Stadium
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The Mississippi State Bulldogs take on the Mississippi Rebels on Saturday, November 26, 2016 at Vaught Hemingway Stadium. The opening line for this game has Ole Miss as 8 point favorites. This season the Bulldogs are 4-7-0 against the spread and their over/under record is 6-5-0. The Rebels have an over/under record of 6-4-1 and they are 4-7-0 against the spread.
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Nick Fitzgerald finished with 328 yards through the air for Mississippi State last week. He completed 23 passes out of 33 attempts for a 70% completion percentage. The Bulldogs were led in rushing by Nick Fitzgerald, who finished with 131 yards on 17 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 8 yards per carry. Fred Ross was the team leader in receiving with a total of 171 yards and 10 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 17 yards per reception. As a team in that game Mississippi State got a total of 25 first downs. Of those first downs, 10 came on the ground while 14 came through the air. They ran 68 total plays for 533 yards for the game. The Bulldogs ran for 205 yards on 35 attempts.
Shea Patterson finished with 222 yards passing for Ole Miss last week. He went 20 for 42, resulting in a 48% completion percentage. The Rebels were led on the ground by Akeem Judd, who finished with 63 yards on 10 carries. He ended the game with an average of 6 yards per rush. Evan Engram led the team in receiving with 102 yards and 6 catches. He finished the game with an average of 17 yards per reception. Ole Miss had 18 first downs total. 4 came from running the ball and 12 came from a pass. They ran 78 total plays for 363 yards for the contest. The Rebels ran for 90 yards on 27 carries as a team.
Mississippi State scores 29.4 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 65th in Division 1. In the passing department, they average 18.9 passes on 33.3 attempts for a 56.8 percent completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 225 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 73rd in college football. The Bulldogs run for an average of 213.4 yards per game on 41.2 attempts for an average of 5.2 yards per carry. That ranks them 33rd in the nation. They also run 74.5 plays per contest and average 5.9 yards per play for an average of 438.4 yards per game, ranking their offense 48th overall this season. The Bulldogs average 22.4 first downs per game which ranks them 47th in the country. They accumulate 48.8 penalty yards per game via 5.5 penalties, which ranks 87th in the nation.
Mississippi State allows 279.7 passing yards per game, ranking 119th in D-1, and they allow 34.3 points per contest on defense, which ranks 105th. They give up 22 completions on 35.7 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 61.6. The Bulldogs allow 175.6 rushing yards per game on 37.4 carries for an average of 4.7 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 71st in the country. Mississippi State allows 455.4 total yards per game including 6.2 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 105th in terms of yards per game. They force 1.7 turnovers per contest and get flagged for 5.6 penalties for 46.5 yards per game, ranking them 37th among D-1 teams.
Ole Miss averages 33.7 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 42nd in the country. In the passing department, they complete 23.8 passes per game on 39.5 attempts for a 60.2 percent completion percentage. They throw for 314.5 yards through the air per game, ranking them 12th in Division 1. The Rebels run for an average of 144.5 yards per game on 34.9 attempts for an average of 4.1 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 104th on the ground. They also run 74.5 plays per game and average 6.2 yards per play for a total of 459 yards per game, ranking them 34th in the country on offense. The Rebels get an average of 24.3 first downs per game, which ranks 21st in the nation. They average 45.5 penalty yards per game via 5.1 penalties, ranking them 99th in college football.
Ole Miss allows an average of 224.5 passing yards per game, which ranks 60th in Division 1. Their defense overall allows 32.1 points per contest, which has them ranked 93rd in the nation. They give up 18 completions on 30.3 attempts for a completion percentage of 59.5 per game. The Rebels allow 227.4 rushing yards per contest on 45.2 carries for a 5 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 112th in the country. Ole Miss allows 451.9 total yards per game for an average of 6 yards per play, which ranks 101st in D-1. They force 1.4 turnovers per contest and 6.9 penalties for 57.8 yards in each contest, ranking 86th in the nation.
Mississippi State Betting Trends
Mississippi State is 6-5-0 against the over/under this season
Mississippi State has an ATS record of 4-7-0 this season
Ole Miss Betting Trends
Ole Miss is 6-4-1 against the over/under this season
Ole Miss has an ATS record of 4-7-0 this season
Injuries to Watch
08/25/16 DB Tolando Cleveland Knee out for season
11/06/16 QB Chad Kelly ACL out for season
11/02/16 LB Terry Caldwell Suspension out indefinitely
09/12/16 WR D.K. Metcalf Foot out for season
09/07/16 RB Eric Swinney Knee out for season
09/07/16 CB Kendarius Webster Knee out for season
08/19/16 DB C.J. Moore Pectoral out indefinitely
08/18/16 RB Jordan Wilkins Eligibility out for season
Guy's Pick: Take Ole Miss -8
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