North Carolina at Virginia College Football Picks and Predictions 10/27/2018
Saturday, October 27, 2018
Get todays College Football Odds & Lines on this game
The Virginia Cavaliers host the North Carolina Tar Heels at Scott Stadium on Saturday, October 27, 2018. The opening line for this game has Virginia as 8.5 point favorites. The Cavaliers have an over/under record of 3-4-0 and they are 6-1-0 against the spread. The Tar Heels have an ATS record of 3-2-1 while their over/under record is 4-2-0.
Valuable North Carolina Tar Heels Betting Trends
The North Carolina Tar Heels are 4-2-0 against the over/under
The North Carolina Tar Heels are 3-2-1 against the spread
Important Virginia Cavaliers Betting Trends
The Virginia Cavaliers are 3-4-0 against the over/under
The Virginia Cavaliers are 6-1-0 against the spread
Key North Carolina Tar Heels Injuries
10/21/18 QB Cade Fortin Leg is questionable Saturday vs Virginia
10/21/18 DL Tyrone Hopper Undisclosed is questionable Saturday vs Virginia
10/10/18 QB Chazz Surratt Wrist is out for season
Key Virginia Cavaliers Injuries
10/21/18 DL Dylan Thompson Concussion is questionable Saturday vs North Carolina
09/24/18 DL John Kirven Retired is out indefinitely
09/24/18 LB Jordan Mack Undisclosed is out indefinitely
09/24/18 DE Richard Burney Undisclosed is out for season
09/04/18 OL Tyler Fannin Foot is out for season
09/04/18 DL Cassius Peat Left Team is out for season
09/04/18 LB Dominic Sheppard Knee is out for season
Useful Offensive Statistics
The North Carolina Tar Heels have run for 1,127 yards as a team, which ranks 85th in college football. They've run 222 times, averaging 5.1 yards per carry as a rushing unit. The Tar Heels have been penalized on offense 36 times for 309 yards so far this season, which has them 101st in the country in penalties. They are 123rd in the nation in points scored with 140. They have run 456 plays this season for 2,533 yards, which ranks them 97th in Division 1 in total offense. The Tar Heels average 5.6 yards per play, which is 75th in college football. As a team they have accumulated a total of 128 1st downs this year, placing them 109th overall as an offensive unit. Nathan Elliott averages 6.3 yards per pass attempt and 6 adjusted yards per throw. He has completed 120 passes on 196 attempts for a completion percentage of 61.2%. His quarterback rating this year is 120.4. He has thrown for 1,241 yards this season.
The Tar Heels rush defense has allowed 242 attempts for 1,131 yards this year, putting them in 68th place in D-1 against the run. North Carolina has committed 29 penalties for 244 yards on the defensive side of the ball this season. That ranks them 6th in college football. They are 84th in the nation in points allowed on defense with 209. They have surrendered a total of 2,466 yards on D, which is 35th in the country. The Tar Heels are ranked 74th in yards per play allowed with 5.6. Opposing offenses have completed 110 passes on 198 attempts against the North Carolina Tar Heels defense this season, placing them 21st and 25th in Division 1. The North Carolina pass defense has also given up a total of 1,335 yards through the air, which is 30th overall in total pass defense.
Special Teams Stats
The North Carolina Tar Heels have attempted 20 field goals this season and made 14, which is 5th in D-1. Their kickers have a field goal percentage of 70%. North Carolina Tar Heels kickers have made 100% of their extra points, going 14 for 14 this year. Their punters have totaled 1,081 yards on 26 punts, averaging 42 yards per punt. That places them 69th in Division 1 in punting average. North Carolina is ranked 41st in the nation in punt returns with 14. They've accumulated 170 punt return yards and average 12.1 yards per return, which is 37th in college football. They have returned 11 kicks for 241 yards on special teams, ranking 98th in kick return yardage. The Tar Heels average 22 yards per kick return and they are 99th in the country in all-purpose yards with 2,944.
Useful Offensive Statistics
The Cavaliers are 80th in the country in points scored with 195. They have run 468 plays this year for 2,697 yards, which ranks them 95th in Division 1 in total offense. The Virginia Cavaliers average 5.8 yards per play, which is 64th in the nation. As a team they have accumulated a total of 144 1st downs this season, ranking them 83rd overall as an offensive unit. On the ground Virginia has run for 1,276 yards as a unit, which ranks 65th in college football. They've run 271 times, averaging 4.7 yards per rush as a unit. Virginia has been penalized on offense 33 times for 306 yards so far this year, which has them 111th in the country in penalties. Bryce Perkins has passed for 1,406 yards this year. He's completed 119 throws while attempting 190 passes for a completion percentage of 62.6%. His quarterback rating this season is 138.3. He averages 7 adjusted yards per throw and 7.4 yards per pass attempt.
Virginia is 22nd in the country in points surrendered on defense with 129. They have given up a total of 2,282 yards on D, which is 25th in D-1. The Cavaliers are 53rd in yards per play allowed with 5.3. Opponent offenses have completed 120 throws on 213 attempts against the Virginia defense this season, ranking them 41st and 49th in the nation. The Virginia Cavaliers pass defense has also surrendered a total of 1,444 yards in the air, which is 39th overall in total pass defense. Their rushing defense has given up 217 attempts for 838 yards this season, putting them in 22nd place in the country against the run. The Cavaliers have had 43 penalties for 416 yards on defense this year. That places them 69th in college football.
Special Teams Stats
Virginia is 7th in the country in punt returns with 20. They've totaled 181 punt return yards and average 9.1 yards per return, which is 60th in D-1. They have returned 17 kicks for 368 yards on special teams, which puts them 52nd in kick return yardage. The Virginia Cavaliers average 22 yards per kick return and they are 76th in the nation in all-purpose yards with 3,247. The Cavaliers have tried 13 field goals this year and made 8, which is 69th in college football. Their kickers have a field goal percentage of 62%. Virginia kickers have made 100% of their extra points, going 23 for 23 this season. Their punters have accumulated 1,189 yards on 28 punts, averaging 43 yards per punt. That ranks them 48th in the NCAA in punting average.
Who will win tonight's Tar Heels/Cavaliers college football game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Cavaliers -8.5
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of this Weeks College Football Picks
Get all of this Weeks guaranteed Expert College Football Picks