Air Force Falcons vs Navy Midshipmen Prediction, 10/4/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Air Force Falcons vs Navy Midshipmen

Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025

Location: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium in Annapolis, MD

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Midshipmen (-10.5)

Total/Over-Under: 49

The Navy Midshipmen (4-0) will take on the Air Force Falcons (1-3) at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium on Saturday, October 4, 2025. Navy is 10.5-point favorites. The betting total is set at 49.

The Air Force Falcons come into this matchup with a record of 1-3 this season. The last time they took the field, the Falcons played against the Hawaii Warriors and ended up losing by a score of 44-35. In all, they had 47 plays which totaled 494 yards. The Air Force Falcons ended up running the ball 34 different times and had 216 yards, which is an average of 6.4 yards per carry. Against the run, the Falcons gave up 78 yards on 31 tries, which is 2.5 yards per rush allowed. Air Force conceded 35 completions on 47 tries for a total of 457 yds, and a completion percentage of 74.5%.

The Falcons have earned 1,879 total yards for the year. With reference to getting in the endzone, Air Force has amassed 7 touchdowns via the pass and 13 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the ball over 5 different times. Air Force has recorded 87 first downs as a team, and they have been hurt by 20 infractions for 168 yards. As a team they maintain an average of 254.3 yards in the run game which ranks them 7th in the country. In terms of scoring, the Air Force Falcons hold an average of 37.8 points per game.

When talking about yards through the air, the Falcons are allowing 1,223 yds which ranks them 120th in D-1. They have surrendered 305.8 yards per outing through the air in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 70.0%. In total, they have given up 466.5 yards per outing which has them ranked 128th in the nation. They have relinquished 8 touchdowns by air as well as 12 touchdowns on the ground. They are allowing 4.8 yards per rush and 160.8 rushing yards per contest for the year. During this campaign, they have given up 643 rushing yards through 4 contests. The Falcons are ranked 131st in the nation regarding their opponents scoring, giving up 38.8 points per game.

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The Midshipmen head into this game 4-0 for this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Midshipmen took home the win by a final score of 21-13 against the Rice Owls. Navy allowed 39 rush attempts for 120 yds (3.1 yards per rush). The Midshipmen pass defense allowed a completion percentage of 57.1%, relinquishing 114 yards on 12 for 21 passing. The Midshipmen finished the game with 455 yards while running 61 plays (7.5 yards per play). Navy ran the ball for 5.9 yards per attempt, finishing the game with 283 yards on 48 carries.

When looking at the points being put on the board, the Midshipmen rank 25th in the country maintaining an average of 38.3 points per contest. The Navy Midshipmen average 483.8 yards per game, which ranks them 15th in the nation. The Navy offense has totaled 256 yds of penalties on 26 violations, which is good for 72nd in college football in terms of making mistakes. They have given away 3 picks while surrendering 1 fumble and they have been able to tally 90 1st downs. Over the course of the season thus far, the Midshipmen have compiled 526 passing yards not to mention holding an average of 131.5 passing yards per contest, which ranks 130th in college football. They are averaging 352.3 yards per game on the ground and have run for 1,409 yards overall.

Navy has allowed a total of 367 rushing yards (91.8 yards per outing) as well as 3 touchdowns via the rush on the campaign. They have allowed 5 touchdowns through the air as well as 205.3 yards per game, which has them sitting 59th in the nation. Overall, they have relinquished 67 total points. Their defense has tallied 2 fumbles recovered and 3 picks on the campaign. The Midshipmen defense has taken the field for 240 plays, which is 16th in Division 1. The Midshipmen are surrendering 16.8 points per contest, which has them sitting 30th in college football.

Who will win tonight's Falcons/Midshipmen college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Midshipmen -10.5

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