Arizona State Sun Devils vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, 9/6/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arizona State Sun Devils vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

Date: Saturday, September 6, 2025

Location: Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, MS

TV: ESPN/ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Bulldogs (+6.5)

Total/Over-Under: 59

The Arizona State Sun Devils (1-0) are on their way to Davis Wade Stadium on Saturday, September 6, 2025 where they will take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs (1-0). Arizona State opens this contest as 6.5-point favorites from oddsmakers. The total is set at 59.

The Arizona State Sun Devils come into this matchup with a record of 1-0 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Sun Devils took the field against the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks and took home the win by a score of 38-19. When the final whistle blew, they tallied 61 plays which converted into 458 yards. The Arizona State Sun Devils ran the rock 22 times and compiled 201 yds, which earned them an average of 9.1 yards per carry. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Sun Devils gave up 89 yds on 29 attempts, which averages out to 3.1 yards per run allowed. Arizona State conceded 26 pass completions on 42 attempts for a total of 242 yds, and a completion rate of 61.9%.

The Sun Devils currently have 458 total yards over the course of this season. In terms of distribution of touchdowns, Arizona State has earned 2 passing touchdowns and 3 touchdowns via the ground. They have surrendered the football 1 time. Arizona State has accrued 21 first downs as an offense, and they have been flagged for 12 infractions for 93 yds. Offensively they're averaging 201.0 yards on the ground which has them sitting 43rd in college football. In terms of scoring, the Arizona State Sun Devils have an average of 38.0 points per game.

Concerning passing yardage, the Sun Devils have conceded 242 yds which has them ranked 93rd in college football. They have conceded 242.0 yards per outing through the air in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 61.9%. In total, they have given up 331.0 yards/game ranking them 75th in D-1. They have yielded 1 touchdown by air in addition to 1 touchdown via the ground game. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.1 yards per rush and 89.0 yards on the ground per contest on the year. Overall, they have allowed 89 rushing yards through 1 game. The Sun Devils are ranked 82nd in D-1 when it comes to team defense, conceding 19.0 PPG.

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The Bulldogs head into this matchup 1-0 for this season. In their last game, the Bulldogs took home the win by a final score of 34-17 when they played the Southern Miss Golden Eagles. Mississippi State relinquished 35 run attempts for 102 yards (2.9 yards per carry). The Bulldogs passing defense conceded a completion rate of 66.7%, surrendering 199 yds on 26 for 39 through the air. The Bulldogs finished with a total of 465 yards while running 77 plays (6.0 yards per play). Mississippi State ran for 4.5 yds per carry, totaling 186 yds on 41 carries.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs have an average of 465.0 yards/game, ranking them 32nd in the country. The Mississippi State offense has accrued 119 penalty yards on 14 infractions, which is good for 6th in the nation in terms of hurting your team. They hold an average of 186.0 run yards per game. They have been able to obtain 24 1st downs. In relation to how much they score, the Bulldogs are ranking 54th in Division 1 averaging 34.0 points per game. For the year thus far, the Bulldogs have thrown for 279 passing yards, putting them at 30th in D-1.

Mississippi State has surrendered a total of 102 yards via the ground game. They have allowed the opposition 2 touchdowns through the air and 199.0 yards per outing, which has them in 80th in the nation. They have 1 interception so far this year. The Bulldogs defense has taken the field for 74 plays, ranking them 104th in college football. The Bulldogs are giving up 17.0 PPG, which has them 72nd in the nation.

Who will win tonight's Sun Devils/Bulldogs college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Bulldogs +6.5

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