Arkansas State Red Wolves vs UL Monroe Warhawks Prediction, 9/27/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arkansas State Red Wolves vs UL Monroe Warhawks

Date: Saturday, September 27, 2025

Location: Malone Stadium in Monroe, LA

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Warhawks (-2.0)

Total/Over-Under: 55.5

The Arkansas State Red Wolves (1-3) are hitting the road to Malone Stadium on Saturday, September 27, 2025 where they will attempt to beat the UL Monroe Warhawks (2-1). Arkansas State opens this game as 2.0-point underdogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The total is set at 55.5.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves head into this game 1-3 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Red Wolves played the Kennesaw State Owls and ended up losing by a score of 28-21. Against the run, the Red Wolves gave up 189 yds on 49 tries, which calculates to 3.9 yds per run allowed. Arkansas State surrendered 25 pass completions on 34 tries for 308 yards, and a completion rate of 73.5%. When the final whistle blew, they tallied 69 plays for 318 yds. The Arkansas State Red Wolves ran the football 28 times and totaled 92 yds, which is an average of 3.3 yds per attempt.

The Red Wolves have racked up 1,477 total yards this season. With reference to scoring touchdowns, Arkansas State has totaled 6 touchdowns through the air and 5 touchdowns via the ground. They have turned the football over 5 different times. Arkansas State has earned 86 first downs, and they have been flagged for 29 penalties for 261 yards. As a team they average 138.0 yards in the run game which is 95th in the country. Regarding putting points on the board, the Arkansas State Red Wolves are sitting at 23.3 points per game.

When it comes to passing yards, the Red Wolves are giving up 1,154 yds which puts them in 131st in the nation. They are allowing 288.5 yards per outing via the pass in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 68.7%. In total, they have relinquished 485.8 yards/outing ranking them 133rd in D-1. They have given up 8 touchdowns through the air in addition to 10 touchdowns on the ground. They are giving up an average of 5.4 yards per rush and 197.3 yards on the ground per game on the season. For the season, they have conceded 789 running yards through 4 outings. The Red Wolves sit in 123rd in the nation in terms of their opponents scoring, giving up 33.0 points per contest.

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The Warhawks step onto the field holding a record of 2-1 for this season. The last time they took the gridiron, the Warhawks took home the win by a final score of 31-25 when they played the UTEP Miners. The Warhawks finished the contest with a total of 399 yds on 57 plays (7.0 yards per play). UL Monroe rushed for 6.0 yds per attempt, finishing the contest with 250 yards on 42 attempts. UL Monroe allowed 28 rush attempts for 33 yds (1.2 yards per carry). The Warhawks pass defense gave up a completion rate of 46.0%, surrendering 409 yards on 23 out of 50 passing.

The UL Monroe Warhawks average 327.0 yards/game, which has them sitting 111th in the country. The UL Monroe offense has 184 yards of penalties on 21 violations, which is 86th in Division 1 in terms of hurting your team. They are averaging 218.0 yards per game via the rush and have toted the ball for 654 yards for the year. They have tossed 2 picks while allowing opponents to recover 2 fumbles and they have been able to earn 51 first downs. In relation to how much they score, the Warhawks sit 112th in Division 1 maintaining an average of 20.0 PPG. For the year thus far, the Warhawks have earned 327 passing yards as well as holding an average of 109.0 passing yards per outing, putting them at 133rd in college football.

The Warhawks are relinquishing 32.7 points per contest, ranking them 119th in the country. UL Monroe has allowed the opposition a total of 326 rushing yards (108.7 yards per outing) in addition to 3 touchdowns via the rush on the campaign. They have surrendered 10 touchdowns through the air as well as 276.7 yards per outing, which has them in 124th in the nation. The Warhawks defense has taken part in 194 plays, which ranks 24th in D-1. They have tallied 0 fumbles recovered and 3 picks on the year. This season, they have allowed 98 points.

Who will win tonight's Red Wolves/Warhawks college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Warhawks -2.0

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