Blake Shapen Player Prop Bets Saturday vs Tennessee Volunteers 9/27/2025
Game: Tennessee Volunteers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs
Pass Yards Prop: 231 - Over (-145) Under (+110)
Completions Prop: 16 - Over (-120) Under (-110)
Pass Attempts Prop: 24 - Over (+105) Under (-135)
Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, MS is the location where Blake Shapen and the Mississippi State Bulldogs will try to defeat the Tennessee Volunteers on Saturday, September 27, 2025. Shapen's props for the matchup open at 231 passing yds, 24 attempted passes, and 16 pass completions.
Blake Shapen Season Stats
He is averaging 7.8 running attempts (265th in Division 1) and 1.8 touchdowns via the pass per contest. Apart from being taken down behind the line of scrimmage on 6.0% of his pass attempts, the signal caller has accumulated 71 yards in the run game and averages 221.0 passing yards per game. When you look at ability to throw, Blake has been around league average, holding an average of 25.0 pass attempts per game. Regarding getting completions, the quarterback averages 67.0%. He has tallied 884 pass yds concerning passing. When you look at touchdown passes, the quarterback is ranked 88th in Division 1 with a 7.0% touchdown percentage. Blake is averaging 16.8 completions per outing on the year and has totaled 7 passing touchdowns.

Blake Shapen Last 5 Games
The signal caller is throwing an INT on 1.7% of his attempted passes while having an average of 10.9 1st downs through the air per outing, apart from 2 interceptions. The signal caller has earned 8 touchdowns via the pass and averages 0.4 interceptions per outing in his last five matchups. As well as tallying 0 touchdowns via the run, Blake averages 204.8 pass yds per outing. As well as averaging 1.6 touchdowns via the pass per outing, the signal caller has earned 54 1st downs through the air. Shapen is averaging 16.0 completions per outing in his last 5 contests and has compiled 121 pass attempts.
Opponent | Pass Yards | Completions | Pass Attempts |
---|---|---|---|
Northern Illinois | 160 | 12 | 20 |
Alcorn St. | 173 | 10 | 14 |
Arizona State | 279 | 19 | 33 |
Southern Mississippi | 272 | 26 | 33 |
Florida | 140 | 13 | 21 |
Blake Shapen Last 10 Games
The signal caller has collected 183 passing completions in terms of connecting on throws. He is averaging 64.7% concerning completion percentage, along with totaling 283 pass yds. Blake Shapen averages 18.3 completions per game. Shapen is throwing an interception on 1.4% of his passes while having an average of 0.0% for getting tackled behind the line of scrimmage. The quarterback averages 2.0 touchdowns through the air and 230.8 yards via the pass per game, apart from recording 283 attempted passes. Shapen has compiled 20 touchdowns via the pass and recorded 127 1st downs by air, along with tossing a touchdown on 7.1% of his passes.
Blake Shapen Career Stats
Blake Shapen has been extraordinary when examining ability to complete passes, having notched 960 attempted passes and 16 INTs. When you look at completion%, Blake Shapen is throwing a completion on 64.6% of his throws while having an average of 5.3% on touchdown throws. If you analyze throwing, Shapen averages 212.3 yards through the air per outing. So far in his college football career, Blake Shapen averages 1.7% regarding interception rate. As well as averaging 27.4 passing attempts per outing, Blake has earned 9 TD's on the ground.
Mississippi State Bulldogs Offense
So far this year, the team residing in Mississippi State average 26.8 passing attempts and 444.0 combined yards per outing. Over the course of this season, the Mississippi State Bulldogs are sitting at 237.5 pass yds per game. The Bulldogs are sitting at 1.9% in terms of getting intercepted, as well as tallying 8 passing TD's. If you're looking at offense as a whole, the group who resides in the SEC have had a total of 1,776 combined yards. Mississippi State is ranked 27th in college football regarding touchdown% with 7.5%. As well as connecting on 66.4% of their attempted passes, the SEC member are sitting at 206.5 rushing yds per game and have collected 71 passing completions.
Tennessee Volunteers Defense
The Tennessee Volunteers are giving up 67.0% concerning neutralizing the opposition from completing passes, which has them sitting 117th in Division 1. With a rank of 112th in the nation, the Volunteers grant 2.0 TD's on the ground and 36.5 rush attempts per game. The group repping Knoxville give up 279.0 yards via the pass per game, which has them ranking 126th in the nation, and have yielded 373 rushing yards. The team who play their home games at Neyland Stadium are relinquishing 1.5 touchdowns via the pass per outing over the course of this season. The SEC team have relinquished 6 touchdowns via the pass and relinquish 93.3 rushing yards per contest. The Volunteers are sitting 89th in the nation over the course of this season concerning interception rate allowed with 2.1%.
Tony Sink's Pick: Take the Under Pass Yards (+110)
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