Georgia State Panthers vs Vanderbilt Commodores Prediction, 9/20/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Georgia State Panthers vs Vanderbilt Commodores

Date: Saturday, September 20, 2025

Location: FirstBank Stadium in Nashville, TN

TV: ESPN/ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Commodores (-26.5)

Total/Over-Under: 53.5

FirstBank Stadium is the site where the Vanderbilt Commodores (3-0) will take on the Georgia State Panthers (1-2) on Saturday, September 20, 2025. Georgia State opens this game as 26.5-point underdogs. The total is 53.5.

The Georgia State Panthers step onto the field holding a record of 1-2 this season. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Panthers took on the Murray State Racers and earned the victory with a final of 37-21. The Georgia State Panthers ended up rushing 32 times and compiled 166 yards, which had them averaging 5.2 yards per tote. Overall, they had 62 plays which converted into 454 yards. Georgia State allowed 19 completions on 30 attempts for a total of 159 yds, and a completion percentage of 63.3%. Against the run, the Panthers gave up 123 yds on 42 tries, which is an average of 2.9 yards per run allowed.

The Panthers have tallied 1,103 total yards for the season. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Georgia State has earned 6 passing touchdowns and 2 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the football over 5 times. Georgia State has amassed 47 1st downs as a team, and they have been called for 30 penalties for 242 yards. As a team they hold an average of 135.3 yards in the run game which ranks them 95th in D-1. When talking about putting the ball in the endzone, the Georgia State Panthers are sitting at 20.0 points per outing.

The Panthers are sitting in 134th in college football in terms of team defense, allowing 40.7 PPG. They are giving up 4.9 yards per rushing attempt and 207.7 rushing yards per contest for the year. During this campaign, they have conceded 623 yards via the ground game in 3 contests. In terms of passing yardage, the Panthers are allowing 755 yds which puts them in 109th in D-1. They have allowed 251.7 yards per outing through the air and giving up a completion percentage of 67.9%. For the year, they have yielded 459.3 yards/game putting them 129th in D-1. They have given up 5 touchdowns via the pass and 10 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Commodores head into this game 3-0 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Commodores got the victory with a final of 31-7 when they played the South Carolina Gamecocks. Vanderbilt ran the football for 3.9 yds per carry, totaling 146 yards on 37 attempts. The Commodores finished with a total of 323 yds and they ran 63 plays (5.1 yds per play). The Commodores secondary conceded a completion percentage of 70.6%, relinquishing 242 yds on 24 for 34 through the air. Vanderbilt gave up 29 run attempts for 86 yds (3.0 yds per rush).

The Vanderbilt Commodores maintain an average of 431.3 yards per outing, which is good for 49th in college football. The Vanderbilt offense has compiled 177 yds of penalties on 23 infractions, which ranks them 22nd in the country in terms of making mistakes. They maintain an average of 203.0 yards per game via the ground game and have run for 609 yards for this year. They have tossed 2 interceptions while conceding 1 fumble and they have been able to tally 70 1st downs. In relation to their ability to score points, the Commodores currently sit 32nd in the country by scoring 40.0 points per game. For the year thus far, the Commodores have thrown for a total of 685 yards via the pass as well as holding an average of 228.3 passing yards per game, which has them ranked 68th in the country.

The Commodores are relinquishing 10.0 points per game, which has them 16th in the nation. Vanderbilt has surrendered a total of 248 yards on the ground (82.7 yards per contest) in addition to 2 touchdowns via the rush so far this season. They have allowed 1 touchdown through the air in addition to 154.3 yards per contest, ranking them 28th in the country. The Commodores defense has taken part in 169 plays, which is good for 30th in college football. Their defense has earned 4 fumbles recovered and 3 interceptions over the course of the season. Over the course of the season, they have relinquished 30 pts.

Who will win tonight's Panthers/Commodores college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Panthers +26.5

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