Houston Cougars vs UCF Knights Prediction, 11/7/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Cougars vs UCF Knights

Date: Friday, November 7, 2025

Location: FBC Mortgage Stadium in Orlando, FL

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Knights (-1.0)

Total/Over-Under: 47.5

The Houston Cougars (7-2) are traveling to FBC Mortgage Stadium on Friday, November 7, 2025 where they will go up against the UCF Knights (4-4). UCF is 1.0-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The betting total comes in at 47.5.

The Houston Cougars head into this game 7-2 for this season. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Cougars faced off with the West Virginia Mountaineers and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 45-35. At the end of the game, they ran 67 plays which gave them 400 yds. The Houston Cougars ended up running the ball 31 times and amassed 82 yards, which earned them an average of 2.6 yards per tote. In the running game, the Cougars gave up 246 yards on 53 attempts, which is an average of 4.6 yards per rush allowed. Houston allowed 13 completions on 22 attempts for a total of 157 yards, and a completion rate of 59.1%.

In terms of putting the ball in the endzone, the Houston Cougars are averaging 29.4 points per outing. As a unit they're averaging 161.3 yards in the run game which has them sitting 60th in college football. The Cougars have earned 3,450 total yards for the year. In terms of scoring, Houston has earned 17 passing touchdowns and 13 rushing touchdowns. Houston has accounted for 183 1st downs, and they have been flagged for 48 penalties for 411 yards. They have surrendered the football 8 different times.

The Cougars are ranked 40th in D-1 regarding team defense, allowing 21.6 points per game. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.6 yards per attempt on the ground and 134.3 rushing yards per game so far this season. Overall, they have allowed 1,209 yards on the ground through 9 contests. Concerning yards through the air, the Cougars have given up 1,840 yds which has them ranked 64th in D-1. They have allowed 204.4 yards per outing via the pass and giving up a completion percentage of 61.4%. Over the course of this year, they are surrendering 338.8 yards/outing which puts them 42nd in the nation. They have allowed 10 touchdowns through the air in addition to 13 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Knights head into this game 4-4 for this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Knights walked away with a loss by a score of 30-3 when they faced the Baylor Bears. The Knights finished the contest with 225 yds and they ran 56 plays (4.0 yds per play). UCF ran for 3.2 yards per tote, finishing the game with 74 yds on 23 attempts. UCF conceded 39 running attempts for 150 yards (3.8 yards per rush). The Knights pass defense allowed a completion rate of 72.5%, relinquishing 267 yards on 29 for 40 passing.

Regarding the points being put on the board, the Knights rank 74th in Division 1 by tallying 27.3 points per game. The UCF Knights maintain an average of 417.6 yards per outing, which has them ranked 44th in the country. The UCF offense has accrued 460 penalty yds on 59 infractions, which has them ranked 42nd in D-1 in terms of giving up free yards. They have thrown 6 interceptions while losing 4 fumbles and they have been able to earn 160 1st downs. For the year to this point, the Knights have earned 1,810 yards via the pass together with an average of 226.3 passing yards per contest, ranking them 74th in Division 1. They maintain an average of 191.4 yards per game via the rush and have run for 1,531 yards overall.

UCF has surrendered a total of 1,171 yards via the ground game (146.4 yards per game) and 9 touchdowns via the rush on the year. They have surrendered 8 touchdowns from the passing game in addition to 161.4 yards per outing, which has them sitting 11th in D-1. This year, they have conceded 150 points. They have 4 fumbles and 5 picks for the year. The Knights defense has taken part in 521 plays, which is good for 27th in D-1. The Knights are giving up 18.8 PPG, which has them 21st in the country.

Who will win tonight's Cougars/Knights college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Cougars +1.0

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