James Madison Dukes vs Georgia State Panthers Prediction, 10/4/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: James Madison Dukes vs Georgia State Panthers
Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025
Location: Center Parc Stadium in Atlanta, GA
TV: ESPN+
Odds/Point Spread: Panthers (+19.5)
Total/Over-Under: 54
The Georgia State Panthers (1-3) will try to beat the James Madison Dukes (3-1) at Center Parc Stadium on Saturday, October 4, 2025. Georgia State opens this game as 19.5-point dogs. The over/under is 54.
The James Madison Dukes head into this game 3-1 for this season. In their last matchup, the Dukes played against the Georgia Southern Eagles and took home the win by a score of 35-10. The James Madison Dukes ran the football 53 times and accumulated 331 yds, which is an average of 6.2 yards per tote. Once the final whistle blew, they ran 75 plays which converted into 479 yds. James Madison gave up 14 completions on 24 tries for 165 yards, and a completion rate of 58.3%. Against the run, the Dukes conceded 27 yards on 26 attempts, which is an average of 1.0 yds per run surrendered.

The Dukes have earned 1,640 total yards this season. When it comes to scoring, James Madison has earned 5 touchdowns through the air and 11 touchdowns on the ground. They have surrendered the football 5 times. James Madison has earned 95 1st downs, and they have committed 32 infractions for 302 yards. Offensively they average 249.3 yards on the ground ranking this team at 10th in Division 1. In terms of scoring, the James Madison Dukes hold an average of 31.3 points per outing.
The Dukes sit in 22nd in the nation concerning the opposition scoring, allowing 15.3 PPG. They are allowing an average of 2.8 yards per rushing attempt and 90.5 yards on the ground per contest on the season. Over the course of this year, they have allowed 362 rushing yards through 4 games. When it comes to yards via the pass, the Dukes have allowed 475 yds which has them ranked 4th in college football. They have relinquished 118.8 yards per game via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 46.8%. During this campaign, they are conceding 209.3 yards per outing which puts them 3rd in the country. They have yielded 3 touchdowns by air as well as 2 touchdowns on the ground.
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The Panthers come into this matchup with a record of 1-3 this season. In their last game, the Panthers walked away with a loss by a score of 70-21 when they played the Vanderbilt Commodores. Georgia State ran the ball for 1.6 yds per carry, totaling 32 yards on 20 carries. The Panthers finished the game with 290 yds and they ran 68 plays (4.3 yards per play). The Panthers pass defense allowed a completion percentage of 67.6%, surrendering 349 yards on 23 for 34 through the air. Georgia State relinquished 37 attempts on the ground for 286 yds (7.7 yards per rush).
The Georgia State Panthers maintain an average of 348.3 yards/game, ranking them 96th in the nation. The Georgia State offense has racked up 351 penalty yds on 45 infractions, which ranks them 2nd in Division 1 in terms of hurting your team. They are averaging 109.5 yards per game via the ground game and have rushed for 438 yards in total. They have thrown 4 interceptions while letting opponents recover 2 fumbles and they have obtained 65 1st downs. In relation to how much they score, the Panthers are 114th in the nation averaging 20.3 points per contest. During the season thus far, the Panthers have thrown for a total of 955 passing yards not to mention an average of 238.8 throwing yards per game, ranking them 63rd in college football.
Georgia State has surrendered a total of 909 yards via the ground game (227.3 yards per outing) and 18 touchdowns rushing for the year. They have allowed 6 touchdowns through the air and 276.0 yards/game, which puts them in 125th in the nation. This season, they have relinquished 192 total points. Their defense has 1 fumble recovered and 2 picks on the year. The Panthers defense has been on the field for 284 plays, which is 63rd in D-1. The Panthers are giving up 48.0 points per game, which has them ranked 136th in Division 1.
Who will win tonight's Dukes/Panthers college football game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Panthers +19.5
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Additional Resources:
Georgia State Panthers - Twitter
James Madison Dukes - Twitter