Memphis Tigers vs NC State Wolfpack Prediction, 12/19/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Memphis Tigers vs NC State Wolfpack

Date: Friday, December 19, 2025

Location: Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, FL

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Wolfpack (-5.5)

Total/Over-Under: 58

The Memphis Tigers (8-4) are on their way to Raymond James Stadium on Friday, December 19, 2025 where they will go up against the NC State Wolfpack (7-5) in the Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl. Memphis is 5.5-point underdogs. The over/under is set at 58.

The Memphis Tigers step onto the field holding a record of 8-4 for this year. In their last game, the Tigers took the field against the Navy Midshipmen and took a loss by a score of 28-17. The Memphis Tigers ran the football 29 times and recorded 116 yards, which had them averaging 4.0 yards per carry. When all was said and done, they tallied 65 plays which gave them a total of 288 yards. Memphis conceded 5 completions on 9 tries for a total of 100 yds, and a completion rate of 55.6%. When it came to stopping the run, the Tigers conceded 200 yds on 60 attempts, which is an average of 3.3 yards per run allowed.

The Tigers have tallied 5,048 total yards over the course of this season. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Memphis has amassed 16 touchdowns through the air and 34 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the ball 10 times. Memphis has accumulated 280 1st downs as an offense, and they have been flagged for 66 penalties for 560 yards. As a team they are averaging 186.1 yards via the ground game which is 38th in college football. Concerning putting points on the board, the Memphis Tigers are averaging 34.6 points per contest.

The Tigers rank 47th in D-1 in terms of their opponents scoring, allowing 22.5 PPG. The opposition is running for 3.7 yards per tote and 133.4 rushing yards per contest so far this year. In total, they have allowed 1,601 running yards through 12 contests. When talking about passing yardage, the Tigers have allowed 2,732 yds which has them sitting in 84th in Division 1. They have conceded 227.7 yards per contest via the pass in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 61.3%. For the season, they have allowed 361.1 yards/game which ranks them 62nd in the nation. They have given up 14 touchdowns by air in addition to 20 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Wolfpack come into this game with a record of 7-5 this season. When they last stepped on the gridiron, the Wolfpack walked away with a victory by a final of 42-19 against the North Carolina Tar Heels. The Wolfpack ended up finishing with 386 yards on 72 plays (5.4 yds per play). NC State rushed for 4.4 yards per tote, finishing with a total of 185 yds on 42 attempts. NC State relinquished 24 attempts on the ground for 70 yds (2.9 yds per rush). The Wolfpack secondary allowed a completion rate of 61.1%, surrendering 195 yds on 22 for 36 through the air.

Regarding the points being put on the board, the Wolfpack are sitting 46th in the country holding an average of 30.2 PPG. The NC State Wolfpack hold an average of 396.8 yards/contest, which is good for 62nd in D-1. The NC State offense has racked up 643 yds of penalties on 66 infractions, which is 94th in Division 1 in terms of helping out the opposition. They have thrown 10 interceptions while conceding 4 fumbles and they have been able to record 248 1st downs. Over the course of the season to this point, the Wolfpack have a total of 2,974 passing yards in addition to holding an average of 247.8 passing yards per game, which has them sitting 48th in Division 1. They hold an average of 149.1 rushing yards per game and have rushed for 1,789 yards for the year.

NC State has allowed a total of 1,655 yards rushing (137.9 yards/game) in addition to 17 touchdowns on the ground on the campaign. They have allowed the opposition 22 touchdowns through the air in addition to 283.1 yards per game, which has them sitting 134th in college football. This year, they have given up 346 pts. Their defense has 6 fumbles and 8 picks for the year. The Wolfpack defense has taken part in 818 plays, ranking them 92nd in D-1. The Wolfpack are surrendering 28.8 PPG, which has them 93rd in college football.

Who will win tonight's Tigers/Wolfpack college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Wolfpack -5.5

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