Miami Hurricanes vs Florida State Seminoles Prediction, 10/4/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Hurricanes vs Florida State Seminoles

Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025

Location: Doak Campbell Stadium in Tallahassee, FL

TV: ABC

Odds/Point Spread: Seminoles (+4.5)

Total/Over-Under: 54

Doak Campbell Stadium is the site where the Florida State Seminoles (3-1) will attempt to defeat the Miami Hurricanes (4-0) on Saturday, October 4, 2025. Miami opens as 4.5-point favorites from oddsmakers. The over/under is set at 54.

The Miami Hurricanes head into this game 4-0 this season. The last time they took the field, the Hurricanes faced the Florida Gators and notched a win by a score of 26-7. When it came to stopping the run, the Hurricanes gave up 80 yds on 29 tries, which is an average of 2.8 yards per run surrendered. Miami relinquished 12 pass completions on 23 tries for 61 yards, and a completion percentage of 52.2%. For the game, they had 76 plays which gave them a total of 344 yards. The Miami Hurricanes ran the football 46 times and accrued 184 yds, earning them an average of 4.0 yds per attempt.

Regarding getting in the endzone, the Miami Hurricanes hold an average of 36.8 points per game. As a unit they hold an average of 180.5 yards on the ground which ranks them 51st in D-1. The Hurricanes have tallied 1,802 total yards this season. When it comes to getting in the endzone, Miami has earned 7 touchdowns via the pass and 12 rushing touchdowns. Miami has earned 99 first downs offensively, and they have committed 25 penalties for 200 yards. They have surrendered the football 3 times.

The Hurricanes sit in 9th in D-1 concerning team defense, conceding 11.5 PPG. They are giving up an average of 2.6 yards per rush and 76.3 rushing yards per game so far this year. During this campaign, they have conceded 305 rushing yards through 4 outings. Regarding passing yards, the Hurricanes are giving up 673 yards which puts them in 20th in the nation. They have conceded 168.3 yards per game through the air in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 61.8%. During the season, they have surrendered 244.5 yards per contest which puts them 13th in college football. They have allowed 3 touchdowns via the pass as well as 2 touchdowns pounding the rock.

Get all of our College Football Picks this Week

The Seminoles come into this matchup with a record of 3-1 this year. In their last game, the Seminoles went home defeated by a final of 46-38 when they faced the Virginia Cavaliers. Florida State rushed for 5.3 yards per attempt, finishing the contest with 256 yards on 48 carries. The Seminoles finished the contest with a total of 514 yards while they ran 81 plays (6.3 yards per play). The Seminoles pass defense allowed a completion rate of 72.2%, surrendering 229 yds on 26 out of 36 passing. Florida State relinquished 48 run attempts for 211 yards (4.4 yds per rush).

The Florida State Seminoles maintain an average of 600.0 yards/game, which is good for 1st in D-1. The Florida State offense has racked up 183 yards of penalties on 17 violations, which has them sitting 121st in Division 1 in terms of helping out the opposition. They are averaging 336.3 yards per game on the ground and have toted the ball for 1,345 yards in total. They have thrown 3 picks while surrendering 3 fumbles and they have obtained 110 1st downs. When discussing their ability to score points, the Seminoles are sitting 1st in D-1 scoring 53.0 PPG. For the year so far, the Seminoles have compiled 1,055 yards via the pass in addition to holding an average of 263.8 passing yards per game, which ranks 42nd in D-1.

The Seminoles are giving up 19.0 points per game, which has them ranked 42nd in Division 1. Florida State has given up a total of 446 rushing yards (111.5 yards/game) as well as 4 touchdowns via the rush this year. They have given up 5 touchdowns via the pass and 184.5 yards per outing, ranking them 40th in the nation. The Seminoles defense has taken part in 260 plays, which has them ranked 33rd in Division 1. Their defense has tallied no fumbles recovered and 6 interceptions this year. Over the course of the season, they have surrendered 76 points.

Who will win tonight's Hurricanes/Seminoles college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Hurricanes -4.5

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here