Miami Hurricanes vs SMU Mustangs Prediction, 11/1/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Hurricanes vs SMU Mustangs

Date: Saturday, November 1, 2025

Location: Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas, TX

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Mustangs (+9.5)

Total/Over-Under: 50.5

The Miami Hurricanes (5-1) are en route to Gerald J. Ford Stadium on Saturday, November 1, 2025 where they will take on the SMU Mustangs (5-3). Miami opens this matchup as 9.5-point favorites. The total is set at 50.5.

The Miami Hurricanes come into this game with a record of 5-1 this season. In their last contest, the Hurricanes faced off with the Stanford Cardinal and took home the win by a score of 42-7. The Miami Hurricanes ended up rushing 44 times and compiled 199 yards, which came out to an average of 4.5 yards per attempt. In all, they tallied 74 plays which gave them a total of 404 yards. Miami allowed 12 completions on 26 attempts for a total of 89 yards, and a completion rate of 46.2%. Against the run, the Hurricanes conceded 55 yards on 27 attempts, which is 2.0 yds per run allowed.

Regarding putting points on the board, the Miami Hurricanes have an average of 34.0 PPG. As a unit they average 154.4 yards on the ground ranking them 69th in D-1. The Hurricanes have racked up 2,878 total yards for this campaign. When it comes to getting in the endzone, Miami has compiled 12 touchdowns through the air and 19 touchdowns on the ground. Miami has recorded 153 1st downs as an offense, and they have committed 52 infractions for 411 yds. They have surrendered the football 7 different times.

The Hurricanes sit in 8th in the country concerning the opposition scoring, allowing 14.1 points per contest. Opposing teams are running for an average of 2.9 yards per attempt on the ground and 87.3 rushing yards per game on the year. In total, they have conceded 611 rushing yards through 7 contests. In terms of yards via the pass, the Hurricanes are allowing 1,282 yds which has them sitting in 18th in the nation. They have relinquished 183.1 yards per contest through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 58.6%. In total, they are surrendering 270.4 yards/outing which puts them 11th in college football. They have granted 8 touchdowns via the pass as well as 3 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Mustangs step onto the field holding a record of 5-3 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Mustangs took a loss by a final score of 13-12 against the Wake Forest Demon Deacons. SMU gave up 35 rushing attempts for 85 yds (2.4 yds per rush). The Mustangs secondary allowed a completion rate of 48.6%, relinquishing 216 yards on 18 out of 37 through the air. The Mustangs finished with a total of 246 yds on 67 plays (3.7 yds per play). SMU ran for 2.7 yds per carry, finishing with 75 yds on 28 carries.

The SMU Mustangs hold an average of 388.0 yards per contest, which has them sitting 69th in the nation. The SMU offense has accrued 517 yds of penalties on 52 violations, which is 46th in D-1 in terms of helping out the other team. They are averaging 122.0 rushing yards per game and have run for 976 yards overall. They have tossed 8 interceptions while letting opponents recover 5 fumbles and they have been able to tally 158 first downs. In relation to their scoring prowess, the Mustangs rank 50th in Division 1 by tallying 31.4 points per game. For the season thus far, the Mustangs have thrown for a total of 2,128 yards through the air in addition to an average of 266.0 passing yards per game, which has them ranked 34th in the nation.

The Mustangs are allowing 21.4 points per game, which has them 42nd in the country. SMU has given up a total of 764 yards rushing (95.5 yards per contest) in addition to 4 touchdowns via the rush so far this year. They have allowed 16 touchdowns via the pass and 303.5 yards per game, which has them ranked 135th in D-1. The Mustangs defense has taken the field for 610 plays, which ranks them 134th in the country. Their defense has tallied 8 fumbles and 12 picks so far this season. In total, they have given up 171 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Hurricanes/Mustangs college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Mustangs +9.5

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