Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Florida Gators Prediction, 10/18/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Florida Gators

Date: Saturday, October 18, 2025

Location: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, FL

TV: SEC Network

Odds/Point Spread: Gators (-10.0)

Total/Over-Under: 52.5

Ben Hill Griffin Stadium is the location where the Florida Gators (2-4) will compete against the Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-2) on Saturday, October 18, 2025. Mississippi State opens this contest as 10.0-point dogs. The total has been set at 52.5.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs come into this game with a record of 4-2 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Bulldogs took on the Texas A&M Aggies and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 31-9. The Mississippi State Bulldogs ran the football 31 different times and had 77 yds, which came out to an average of 2.5 yards per carry. In all, they had 51 plays which gave them 219 yards. Mississippi State gave up 13 completions on 23 tries for a total of 180 yards, and a completion percentage of 56.5%. In the running game, the Bulldogs conceded 299 yds on 54 attempts, which is an average of 5.5 yards per run allowed.

When it comes to scoring, the Mississippi State Bulldogs are averaging 33.7 PPG. As a unit they average 184.3 yards rushing ranking them 41st in Division 1. The Bulldogs have tallied 2,373 yards in total for the year. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Mississippi State has amassed 10 touchdowns via the pass and 16 touchdowns via the ground. Mississippi State has 125 first downs as a unit, and they have been flagged for 50 infractions for 462 yds. They have surrendered the ball 6 times.

The Bulldogs are sitting in 39th in the nation concerning team defense, giving up 19.8 PPG. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.3 yards per tote and 162.7 yards on the ground per contest this year. For the season, they have allowed 976 yards on the ground through 6 games. Regarding passing yards, the Bulldogs are conceding 1,031 yards which ranks them 25th in college football. They are allowing 171.8 yards per outing through the air and conceding a completion percentage of 58.9%. In total, they have surrendered 334.5 yards per contest which has them ranked 46th in the nation. They have relinquished 7 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 5 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Gators come into this game with a record of 2-4 for this year. The last time they took the gridiron, the Gators took a loss by a final score of 34-17 when they played the Texas A&M Aggies. Florida gave up 42 attempts on the ground for 183 yards (4.4 yards per rush). The Gators pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 61.5%, surrendering 234 yds on 16 out of 26 through the air. The Gators finished the game with 319 yards while running 61 plays (5.2 yards per play). Florida ran the football for 3.1 yds per carry, finishing with a total of 74 yards on 24 attempts.

The Florida Gators average 348.2 yards per outing, which has them ranked 101st in D-1. The Florida offense has 284 yds of penalties on 34 violations, which is good for 92nd in college football in terms of helping out the other team. They maintain an average of 120.8 rushing yards per game and have rushed for 725 yards overall. They have thrown 7 interceptions while letting opponents recover 3 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 115 1st downs. In terms of their ability to score points, the Gators sit 106th in D-1 with an average of 22.3 PPG. During this campaign thus far, the Gators have racked up 1,364 yards via the pass as well as holding an average of 227.3 throwing yards per contest, which has them ranked 71st in D-1.

The Gators are giving up 19.8 points per game, ranking them 38th in Division 1. Florida has conceded a total of 680 yards via the ground game (113.3 yards per outing) and 7 touchdowns via the rush so far this year. They have conceded 5 touchdowns through the air as well as 202.5 yards/outing, which puts them in 51st in Division 1. The Gators defense has participated in 362 plays, which is good for 22nd in the nation. Their defense has tallied 2 fumbles and 5 picks on the year. Overall, they have given up 119 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Bulldogs/Gators college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Bulldogs +10.0

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