Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Texas A&M Aggies Prediction, 10/4/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Texas A&M Aggies

Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025

Location: Kyle Field in College Station, TX

TV: SEC Network

Odds/Point Spread: Aggies (-14.5)

Total/Over-Under: 57.5

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-1) are headed to Kyle Field on Saturday, October 4, 2025 where they will play the Texas A&M Aggies (4-0). Texas A&M opens this matchup as 14.5-point favorites. The betting total comes in at 57.5.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs head into this matchup 4-1 for this year. In their last matchup, the Bulldogs played the Tennessee Volunteers and took a loss by a score of 41-34. The Mississippi State Bulldogs ended up rushing 57 times and accrued 198 yards, earning them an average of 3.5 yards per carry. On the day, they ran 86 plays which gave them 378 yds. Mississippi State gave up 24 completions on 40 tries for a total of 335 yds, and a completion rate of 60.0%. On the ground, the Bulldogs gave up 131 yds on 32 tries, which averages out to 4.1 yds per run allowed.

Concerning scoring points, the Mississippi State Bulldogs hold an average of 38.6 points per contest. As a unit they're averaging 204.8 yards rushing which has them sitting 33rd in the country. The Bulldogs have tallied 2,154 yards in total this year. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Mississippi State has amassed 9 touchdowns via the pass and 16 rushing touchdowns. Mississippi State has tallied 111 1st downs as a team, and they have been flagged for 47 infractions for 427 yds. They have turned the football over 4 times.

Concerning yards through the air, the Bulldogs have given up 851 yds which ranks them 47th in Division 1. They have yielded 170.2 yards per contest via the pass and conceding a completion percentage of 59.5%. In total, they are giving up 305.6 yards per contest ranking them 33rd in college football. They have surrendered 5 touchdowns by air and 3 touchdowns on the ground. The opposition is running for 3.9 yards per run and 135.4 rushing yards per contest for the season. Overall, they have allowed 677 rushing yards through 5 contests. The Bulldogs are ranked 32nd in Division 1 concerning team defense, allowing 17.6 points per game.

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The Aggies step onto the field holding a record of 4-0 for this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Aggies went home victorious with a score of 16-10 when they played the Auburn Tigers. Texas A&M conceded 24 rushing attempts for 52 yds (2.2 yds per rush). The Aggies pass defense conceded a completion percentage of 54.5%, relinquishing 125 yds on 18 out of 33 through the air. The Aggies finished the contest with a total of 414 yards while running 69 plays (6.0 yards per play). Texas A&M ran the ball for 4.4 yards per attempt, finishing the game with 207 yds on 47 carries.

Regarding how much they score, the Aggies are ranked 40th in the country holding an average of 35.8 points per outing. The Texas A&M Aggies hold an average of 463.8 yards per outing, which has them ranked 23rd in the country. The Texas A&M offense has compiled 309 penalty yds on 38 infractions, which ranks 16th in college football in terms of helping out the other team. They have tossed 3 picks while losing no fumbles and they have recorded 92 1st downs. For the year thus far, the Aggies currently have a total of 1,177 passing yards in addition to an average of 294.3 passing yards per game, which has them sitting 23rd in college football. They have an average of 169.5 yards per game on the ground and have rushed for 678 yards for the year.

The Aggies are conceding 24.0 points per game, ranking them 73rd in D-1. Texas A&M has conceded a total of 469 rushing yards (117.3 yards/game) as well as 6 touchdowns by way of the ground game so far this season. They have conceded 5 touchdowns through the air and 190.0 yards per game, which has them in 49th in the nation. The Aggies defense has taken part in 261 plays, which is good for 35th in college football. Their defense has compiled 1 fumble recovered and 1 interception so far this year. In total, they have surrendered 96 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Bulldogs/Aggies college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Aggies -14.5

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