Nevada Wolf Pack vs Fresno State Bulldogs Prediction, 10/4/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Nevada Wolf Pack vs Fresno State Bulldogs

Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025

Location: Valley Children's Stadium in Fresno, CA

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Bulldogs (-14.0)

Total/Over-Under: 44.5

The Fresno State Bulldogs (4-1) will try to beat the Nevada Wolf Pack (1-3) at Valley Children's Stadium on Saturday, October 4, 2025. Nevada opens as 14.0-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under is set at 44.5.

The Nevada Wolf Pack head into this matchup 1-3 for this year. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Wolf Pack stepped onto the field against the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers and took a loss by a final of 31-16. The Nevada Wolf Pack rushed the ball a total of 39 times and amassed 207 yards, which came out to an average of 5.3 yds per attempt. On the day, they had 72 plays for 372 yards. Nevada surrendered 22 completions on 33 tries for 216 yards, and a completion percentage of 66.7%. Against the rush, the Wolf Pack gave up 145 yards on 33 tries, which is an average of 4.4 yds per run allowed.

Regarding scoring, the Nevada Wolf Pack are sitting at 15.0 points per game. As a team they hold an average of 189.3 yards on the ground which has them sitting 44th in D-1. The Wolf Pack have earned 1,357 total yards for this campaign. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Nevada has totaled 2 touchdowns through the air and 2 touchdowns via the ground. Nevada has a total of 74 first downs as an offense, and they have been flagged for 20 infractions for 191 yards. They have given the ball to the opposition 10 different times.

When talking about yards via the pass, the Wolf Pack have conceded 991 yds which has them sitting in 73rd in the nation. They have yielded 247.8 yards per game through the air in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 69.7%. For the season, they have yielded 380.5 yards/contest which ranks them 88th in college football. They have yielded 3 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 9 touchdowns via the ground game. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.8 yards per rush and 132.8 rushing yards per game on the year. For the season, they have allowed 531 rushing yards through 4 games. The Wolf Pack rank 94th in D-1 when it comes to the opposition scoring, giving up 27.0 points per game.

Get all of our Free College Football Picks

The Bulldogs come into this matchup with a record of 4-1 for this season. For their last game, the Bulldogs walked away with a victory by a final of 23-21 when they played the Hawaii Warriors. The Bulldogs ended up finishing with 301 yards and they ran 61 plays (4.9 yds per play). Fresno State ran for 2.2 yds per attempt, finishing the contest with 71 yds on 32 carries. Fresno State conceded 27 attempts on the ground for 89 yards (3.3 yards per carry). The Bulldogs pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 59.6%, relinquishing 219 yds on 28 out of 47 passing.

In terms of the points being put on the board, the Bulldogs currently sit 52nd in D-1 maintaining an average of 32.8 points per game. The Fresno State Bulldogs have an average of 373.8 yards per outing, which has them sitting 83rd in the nation. The Fresno State offense has totaled 267 penalty yds on 26 infractions, ranking them 76th in D-1 in terms of making mistakes. They have given away 5 interceptions while surrendering 4 fumbles and they have earned 104 1st downs. For the year so far, the Bulldogs have earned 988 yards via the pass as well as holding an average of 197.6 throwing yards per outing, which ranks 98th in the country. They have an average of 176.2 yards per game on the ground and have rushed for 881 yards in total.

Fresno State has given up a total of 531 yards rushing (106.2 yards per game) as well as 2 touchdowns via the rush for the season. They have allowed 10 touchdowns through the air and 214.4 yards per game, which has them ranked 72nd in the country. This season, they have relinquished 100 total points. Their defense has totaled 1 fumble recovery and 6 interceptions on the campaign. The Bulldogs defense has taken the field for 309 plays, which ranks them 82nd in college football. The Bulldogs are allowing 20.0 PPG, which puts them 48th in college football.

Who will win tonight's Wolf Pack/Bulldogs college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Wolf Pack +14.0

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here