Nevada Wolf Pack vs New Mexico Lobos Prediction, 10/18/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Nevada Wolf Pack vs New Mexico Lobos

Date: Saturday, October 18, 2025

Location: University Stadium in Albuquerque, NM

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Lobos (-10.5)

Total/Over-Under: 48.5

The New Mexico Lobos (3-3) will play the Nevada Wolf Pack (1-5) at University Stadium on Saturday, October 18, 2025. Nevada opens as 10.5-point dogs. The total is 48.5.

The Nevada Wolf Pack come into this game with a record of 1-5 this year. In their last matchup, the Wolf Pack went up against the San Diego State Aztecs and took a loss by a final of 44-10. In the game, they had 63 plays for 254 yds. The Nevada Wolf Pack ran the football 32 times and accumulated 59 yds, earning them an average of 1.8 yards per tote. Against the run, the Wolf Pack conceded 204 yards on 41 tries, which is an average of 5.0 yds per rush allowed. Nevada conceded 14 pass completions on 18 tries for 205 yards, and a completion percentage of 77.8%.

When talking about scoring points, the Nevada Wolf Pack are averaging 14.5 points per outing. Offensively they're maintaining an average of 157.5 yards on the ground which is 71st in the country. The Wolf Pack have earned 1,857 total yards over the course of this season. In terms of scoring touchdowns, Nevada has compiled 5 passing touchdowns and 2 rushing touchdowns. Nevada has accrued 102 1st downs, and they have been flagged for 23 infractions for 211 yds. They have given the ball to the opposition 16 different times.

The Wolf Pack are sitting in 99th in the country when it comes to team defense, giving up 28.7 points per contest. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.1 yards per rush and 147.8 rushing yards per game on the season. Overall, they have conceded 887 rushing yards through 6 games. When it comes to yards through the air, the Wolf Pack have conceded 1,386 yards which puts them in 80th in college football. They have surrendered 231.0 yards per contest through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 70.6%. For the season, they are conceding 378.8 yards per contest putting them at 84th in college football. They have yielded 7 touchdowns by air and 10 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Lobos head into this game 3-3 for this year. When they last stepped on the field, the Lobos took a loss by a score of 41-25 when they faced the Boise State Broncos. New Mexico rushed the ball for 2.0 yards per attempt, finishing with a total of 49 yards on 24 carries. The Lobos finished the contest with a total of 231 yards on 54 plays (4.3 yds per play). The Lobos passing defense gave up a completion rate of 68.8%, surrendering 236 yards on 22 for 32 through the air. New Mexico surrendered 54 run attempts for 161 yds (3.0 yards per rush).

The New Mexico Lobos have an average of 369.2 yards per contest, which has them sitting 81st in the country. The New Mexico offense has compiled 224 penalty yards on 30 infractions, which ranks them 109th in college football in terms of giving up free yards. They are averaging 136.8 rushing yards per game and have toted the ball for 821 yards for the year. They have tossed 8 picks while surrendering 6 fumbles and they have earned 127 first downs. Concerning the points being put on the board, the Lobos rank 67th in the nation holding an average of 29.2 points per game. Over the course of the season thus far, the Lobos currently have a total of 1,394 passing yards along with an average of 232.3 throwing yards per game, giving them a rank of 67th in college football.

The Lobos are surrendering 27.0 points per game, which has them sitting 91st in Division 1. New Mexico has given up a total of 760 rushing yards (126.7 yards per game) and 8 touchdowns rushing this season. They have yielded 10 touchdowns via the pass as well as 264.2 yards/contest, which has them sitting 126th in college football. The Lobos defense has taken part in 409 plays, which ranks 83rd in D-1. They have earned 1 fumble and 3 interceptions this year. This season, they have allowed 162 pts.

Who will win tonight's Wolf Pack/Lobos college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Lobos -10.5

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