New Mexico State Aggies vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Prediction, 11/1/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New Mexico State Aggies vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Date: Saturday, November 1, 2025

Location: Houchens Industries in Bowling Green, KY

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Hilltoppers (-9.5)

Total/Over-Under: 54

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (6-2) will try to beat the New Mexico State Aggies (3-4) at Houchens Industries on Saturday, November 1, 2025. Western Kentucky opens this contest as 9.5-point favorites. The over/under is set at 54.

The New Mexico State Aggies come into this game with a record of 3-4 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Aggies went up against the Missouri State Bears and took a loss by a final of 24-17. The New Mexico State Aggies ran the football 25 times and recorded 82 yards, which came out to an average of 3.3 yards per carry. For the game, they ran 59 plays which converted into 289 yards. New Mexico State relinquished 28 pass completions on 44 tries for a total of 283 yards, and a completion percentage of 63.6%. When it came to stopping the run, the Aggies conceded 126 yds on 32 attempts, which is an average of 3.9 yds per run surrendered.

The Aggies have earned 2,236 total yards for the season. When it comes to scoring, New Mexico State has totaled 10 passing touchdowns and 5 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the football over 13 times. New Mexico State has 130 first downs offensively, and they have been called for 47 infractions for 449 yards. As a unit they average 68.7 yards on the ground ranking them 136th in the nation. When talking about getting in the endzone, the New Mexico State Aggies are sitting at 22.1 points per game.

When talking about yards through the air, the Aggies have given up 1,692 yards which puts them in 69th in the country. They have surrendered 241.7 yards per outing through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 66.1%. In total, they are giving up 385.0 yards per contest ranking them 90th in the nation. They have surrendered 12 touchdowns via the pass as well as 6 touchdowns pounding the rock. They are allowing 3.8 yards per run and 143.3 rushing yards per contest for the year. In total, they have conceded 1,003 yards via the ground game in 7 games. The Aggies are ranked 65th in D-1 regarding the opposition scoring, conceding 24.0 points per game.

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The Hilltoppers head into this game 6-2 for this year. When they last stepped on the field, the Hilltoppers walked away with a victory by a final of 28-27 when they faced the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs. Western Kentucky ran the ball for 3.0 yards per tote, totaling 113 yards on 38 attempts. The Hilltoppers ended up finishing with 340 yards while they ran 72 plays (4.7 yards per play). The Hilltoppers passing defense gave up a completion percentage of 67.4%, relinquishing 340 yds on 31 for 46 passing. Western Kentucky allowed 37 running attempts for 109 yds (2.9 yds per carry).

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers hold an average of 407.3 yards per outing, which has them sitting 56th in Division 1. The Western Kentucky offense has accrued 557 yards of penalties on 53 violations, ranking them 38th in college football in terms of hurting your team. They have an average of 121.1 rushing yards per game and have toted the ball for 969 yards for the season. They have given away 6 picks while surrendering 5 fumbles and they have recorded 172 1st downs. When it comes to their scoring prowess, the Hilltoppers currently rank 62nd in D-1 averaging 29.5 PPG. During this campaign so far, the Hilltoppers have thrown for a total of 2,289 yards via the pass as well as holding an average of 286.1 passing yards per contest, which ranks 19th in the nation.

Western Kentucky has given up a total of 1,533 yards rushing (191.6 yards per outing) as well as 11 touchdowns rushing for the campaign. They have given up 6 touchdowns through the air and 217.3 yards/game, which puts them in 64th in the nation. Overall, they have relinquished 189 points. Their defense has tallied 3 fumbles and 6 interceptions on the season. The Hilltoppers defense has participated in 567 plays, which is 116th in college football. The Hilltoppers are allowing 23.6 PPG, which has them 60th in the country.

Who will win tonight's Aggies/Hilltoppers college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Aggies +9.5

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