North Carolina Tar Heels vs NC State Wolfpack Prediction, 11/29/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: North Carolina Tar Heels vs NC State Wolfpack

Date: Saturday, November 29, 2025

Location: Carter-Finley Stadium in Raleigh, NC

TV: ACC Network

Odds/Point Spread: Wolfpack (-7.5)

Total/Over-Under: 47.5

The North Carolina Tar Heels (4-7) are headed to Carter-Finley Stadium on Saturday, November 29, 2025 where they will take on the NC State Wolfpack (6-5). NC State opens this contest as 7.5-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The total comes in at 47.5.

The North Carolina Tar Heels step onto the field holding a record of 4-7 for this season. In their last matchup, the Tar Heels stepped onto the field against the Duke Blue Devils and ended up losing by a score of 32-25. The North Carolina Tar Heels ran the football 25 times and tallied 101 yards, which earned them an average of 4.0 yards per carry. In the game, they tallied 52 plays for 305 yards. North Carolina surrendered 20 pass completions on 33 attempts for 175 yards, and a completion rate of 60.6%. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Tar Heels gave up 177 yards on 43 tries, which is 4.1 yds per run surrendered.

When talking about putting points on the board, the North Carolina Tar Heels are averaging 19.3 PPG. As a unit they maintain an average of 108.5 yards via the ground game ranking them 122nd in college football. The Tar Heels have earned 3,200 total yards this year. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, North Carolina has totaled 11 touchdowns through the air and 11 rushing touchdowns. North Carolina has 179 first downs offensively, and they have committed 68 infractions for 622 yds. They have given the ball to the opposition 14 different times.

Concerning yards through the air, the Tar Heels have conceded 2,334 yards which has them ranked 58th in Division 1. They are giving up 212.2 yards per game through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 63.2%. Overall, they have yielded 332.5 yards per contest putting them 36th in D-1. They have allowed 13 touchdowns via the pass as well as 15 touchdowns via the ground game. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.4 yards per rush and 120.3 rushing yards per game this season. For the season, they have allowed 1,323 yards via the ground game in 11 contests. The Tar Heels sit in 53rd in college football concerning team defense, allowing 22.9 points per game.

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The Wolfpack come into this game with a record of 6-5 for this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Wolfpack went home victorious with a score of 21-11 when they faced the Florida State Seminoles. NC State ran for 3.2 yards per tote, finishing with a total of 134 yards on 42 carries. The Wolfpack finished the contest with a total of 286 yds while they ran 68 plays (4.2 yards per play). The Wolfpack passing defense conceded a completion rate of 50.0%, surrendering 203 yds on 16 for 32 passing. NC State gave up 34 attempts on the ground for 180 yards (5.3 yards per carry).

The NC State Wolfpack hold an average of 397.8 yards/game, which ranks them 60th in the country. The NC State offense has racked up 583 yds of penalties on 61 infractions, which ranks them 93rd in college football in terms of hurting your team. They hold an average of 145.8 rushing yards per game and have rushed for 1,604 yards for the year. They have given away 10 picks while letting opponents recover 3 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 221 1st downs. When it comes to their ability to score points, the Wolfpack are sitting 56th in college football maintaining an average of 29.1 points per game. For the season to this point, the Wolfpack have thrown for 2,772 yards via the pass not to mention holding an average of 252.0 throwing yards per game, which has them ranked 43rd in Division 1.

NC State has given up a total of 1,585 rushing yards (144.1 yards/game) as well as 17 touchdowns via the rush this year. They have conceded 19 touchdowns through the air and 291.1 yards per game, which has them in 136th in college football. In total, they have given up 327 total points. Their defense has totaled 6 fumbles recovered and 8 picks so far this season. The Wolfpack defense has been on the field for 758 plays, which is good for 99th in D-1. The Wolfpack are allowing 29.7 PPG, ranking them 105th in college football.

Who will win tonight's Tar Heels/Wolfpack college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Tar Heels +7.5

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