Sam Houston Bearkats vs MTSU Blue Raiders Prediction, 11/22/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Sam Houston Bearkats vs MTSU Blue Raiders

Date: Saturday, November 22, 2025

Location: Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium in Murfreesboro, TN

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Blue Raiders (-6.5)

Total/Over-Under: 53.5

Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium is the site where the MTSU Blue Raiders (1-9) will compete against the Sam Houston Bearkats (2-8) on Saturday, November 22, 2025. MTSU opens this contest as 6.5-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The betting total is set at 53.5.

The Sam Houston Bearkats head into this matchup 2-8 for this season. In their last game, the Bearkats faced the Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens and walked away with a win by a score of 26-23. The Sam Houston Bearkats ran the football 29 different times and accumulated 139 yards, which had them averaging 4.8 yds per attempt. In all, they ran 68 plays which gave them 352 yards. Sam Houston surrendered 29 completions on 42 tries for 286 yds, and a completion rate of 69.0%. In the running game, the Bearkats conceded 188 yds on 40 attempts, which is an average of 4.7 yds per run allowed.

When it comes to putting the ball in the endzone, the Sam Houston Bearkats are averaging 18.0 points per contest. As a unit they are averaging 130.9 yards on the ground ranking this team at 96th in the nation. The Bearkats have tallied 3,074 total yards this year. In terms of getting the ball in the endzone, Sam Houston has compiled 9 passing touchdowns and 9 rushing touchdowns. Sam Houston has accounted for 161 first downs, and they have committed 66 infractions for 596 yards. They have surrendered the ball 11 times.

The Bearkats are ranked 132nd in the nation in terms of team defense, giving up 36.7 points per contest. Opposing teams are running for an average of 5.1 yards per rushing attempt and 199.6 rushing yards per game on the season. In total, they have given up 1,996 running yards through 10 contests. Regarding yards via the pass, the Bearkats are giving up 2,752 yds which has them ranked 131st in the nation. They have relinquished 275.2 yards per outing through the air as well as conceding a completion percentage of 71.9%. During this campaign, they are allowing 474.8 yards per outing which puts them 135th in Division 1. They have yielded 16 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 26 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Blue Raiders head into this matchup 1-9 this season. The last time they took the field, the Blue Raiders walked away with a loss by a score of 42-26 when they faced the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers. MTSU ran for 6.1 yards per tote, totaling 158 yds on 26 carries. The Blue Raiders finished with 541 yds and they ran 68 plays (8.0 yards per play). The Blue Raiders pass defense conceded a completion rate of 60.7%, relinquishing 257 yards on 17 for 28 passing. MTSU surrendered 38 rush attempts for 144 yds (3.8 yds per rush).

When it comes to their scoring prowess, the Blue Raiders currently rank 115th in the nation averaging 20.7 PPG. The MTSU Blue Raiders have an average of 354.0 yards per contest, which has them ranked 93rd in the country. The MTSU offense has accrued 638 penalty yds on 70 violations, which ranks 34th in college football in terms of helping out the opposition. They have thrown 7 picks while allowing opponents to recover 5 fumbles and they have been able to earn 190 first downs. Over the course of the season thus far, the Blue Raiders currently sit at 2,665 yards via the pass along with an average of 266.5 passing yards per game, which has them ranked 29th in the nation. They maintain an average of 87.5 yards via the ground game and have toted the ball for 875 yards overall.

The Blue Raiders are conceding 33.0 points per contest, which has them 126th in college football. MTSU has conceded a total of 1,555 yards on the ground (155.5 yards per contest) in addition to 16 touchdowns on the ground on the year. They have allowed the opposition 27 touchdowns via the pass and 248.2 yards per game, which puts them in 113th in the nation. The Blue Raiders defense has been on the field for 675 plays, which ranks 80th in the nation. Their defense has totaled 4 fumbles recovered and 7 interceptions so far this season. Overall, they have conceded 330 pts.

Who will win tonight's Bearkats/Blue Raiders college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Bearkats +6.5

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