Sam Houston Bearkats vs New Mexico State Aggies Prediction, 10/2/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Sam Houston Bearkats vs New Mexico State Aggies

Date: Thursday, October 2, 2025

Location: Aggie Memorial Stadium in Las Cruces, NM

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Aggies (+2.5)

Total/Over-Under: 53

Aggie Memorial Stadium is where the New Mexico State Aggies (2-2) will take on the Sam Houston Bearkats (0-4) on Thursday, October 2, 2025. Sam Houston opens as 2.5-point favorites. The total is set at 53.

The Sam Houston Bearkats come into this game with a record of 0-4 for this year. In their last game, the Bearkats went up against the Texas Longhorns and took a loss by a score of 55-0. The Sam Houston Bearkats ended up rushing 26 different times and accounted for 27 yards, which earned them an average of 1.0 yards per carry. When all was said and done, they tallied 51 plays which gave them 113 yards. Sam Houston allowed 23 pass completions on 28 tries for a total of 343 yds, and a completion rate of 82.1%. When it came to stopping the run, the Bearkats gave up 264 yards on 41 tries, which is an average of 6.4 yards per run allowed.

In terms of putting points on the board, the Sam Houston Bearkats are averaging 16.3 points per outing. As a team they have an average of 106.0 yards on the ground which has them sitting 120th in Division 1. The Bearkats have earned 1,065 total yards over the course of this season. When it comes to getting in the endzone, Sam Houston has amassed 2 touchdowns through the air and 4 touchdowns via the ground. Sam Houston has a total of 60 first downs as an offense, and they have been flagged for 27 infractions for 234 yards. They have given the ball to the opposition 4 times.

Concerning yards via the pass, the Bearkats have conceded 1,287 yds which has them sitting in 128th in the nation. They have conceded 321.8 yards per game via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 70.2%. In total, they have relinquished 483.5 yards per contest which ranks them 133rd in Division 1. They have conceded 11 touchdowns by air and 8 touchdowns running the ball. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.5 yards per rush on the ground and 161.8 rushing yards per game so far this year. Overall, they have conceded 647 running yards through 4 games. The Bearkats rank 134th in D-1 concerning their opponents scoring, giving up 42.8 points per game.

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The Aggies head into this game 2-2 this year. When they last stepped on the gridiron, the Aggies took a defeat with a final score of 38-20 when they faced the New Mexico Lobos. New Mexico State ran the ball for 0.5 yards per attempt, totaling 15 yds on 30 carries. The Aggies finished the game with a total of 304 yards while running 68 plays (4.5 yards per play). The Aggies pass defense allowed a completion rate of 77.4%, relinquishing 344 yds on 24 out of 31 through the air. New Mexico State surrendered 38 rush attempts for 132 yards (3.5 yds per rush).

Concerning the points being put on the board, the Aggies are ranking 120th in the country averaging 18.5 points per game. The New Mexico State Aggies are averaging 302.3 yards/contest, which has them sitting 126th in college football. The New Mexico State offense has accrued 315 yds of penalties on 32 infractions, which is 40th in the country in terms of making mistakes. They have thrown 4 interceptions while letting opponents recover 2 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 67 first downs. For the year thus far, the Aggies have thrown for a total of 1,051 yards through the air in addition to holding an average of 262.8 passing yards per game, which has them ranked 43rd in D-1. They average 39.5 rushing yards per game and have rushed for 158 yards in total.

The Aggies are giving up 26.0 PPG, ranking them 83rd in the nation. New Mexico State has surrendered a total of 694 yards via the ground game (173.5 yards per game) and 4 touchdowns on the ground on the campaign. They have given up 8 touchdowns through the air and 246.5 yards/game, ranking them 100th in the country. The Aggies defense has taken part in 299 plays, which ranks 76th in the nation. Their defense has earned 3 fumbles and 4 picks on the campaign. This year, they have given up 104 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Bearkats/Aggies college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Bearkats -2.5

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