San Diego State Aztecs vs Fresno State Bulldogs Prediction, 10/25/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego State Aztecs vs Fresno State Bulldogs

Date: Saturday, October 25, 2025

Location: Valley Children's Stadium in Fresno, CA

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Bulldogs (+3.5)

Total/Over-Under: 48

Valley Children's Stadium is the location where the Fresno State Bulldogs (5-2) will take on the San Diego State Aztecs (5-1) on Saturday, October 25, 2025. San Diego State is 3.5-point favorites from oddsmakers. The betting total is set at 48.

The San Diego State Aztecs come into this game with a record of 5-1 this season. In their last contest, the Aztecs took on the Nevada Wolf Pack and notched a win by a score of 44-10. In the running game, the Aztecs gave up 59 yards on 32 tries, which is an average of 1.8 yds per run allowed. San Diego State conceded 15 completions on 31 tries for 195 yds, and a completion rate of 48.4%. On the day, they had 59 plays which gave them 409 yds. The San Diego State Aztecs ran the rock 41 times and tallied 204 yards, which had them averaging 5.0 yards per tote.

When talking about putting points on the board, the San Diego State Aztecs have an average of 30.7 points per outing. As a team they're holding an average of 180.2 yards via the ground game which is 47th in Division 1. The Aztecs have earned 2,215 total yards for the year. In terms of scoring touchdowns, San Diego State has totaled 7 passing touchdowns and 11 touchdowns on the ground. San Diego State has compiled 112 first downs as a team, and they have committed 38 penalties for 360 yds. They have turned the football over 2 times.

When talking about passing yards, the Aztecs are giving up 984 yards which has them sitting in 6th in college football. They are allowing 164.0 yards per contest through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 51.5%. Over the course of this season, they have yielded 259.7 yards per contest which ranks them 9th in college football. They have given up 6 touchdowns via the pass as well as 2 touchdowns via the ground game. They are giving up an average of 2.8 yards per rush on the ground and 95.7 rushing yards per game for the year. During this campaign, they have allowed 574 yards via the ground game in 6 outings. The Aztecs sit in 5th in the nation when it comes to their opponents scoring, allowing 12.2 points per contest.

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The Bulldogs step onto the field holding a record of 5-2 for this season. In their last game, the Bulldogs took a loss by a final score of 49-21 when they played the Colorado State Rams. Fresno State conceded 35 rush attempts for 190 yds (5.4 yds per rush). The Bulldogs secondary gave up a completion rate of 66.7%, relinquishing 144 yards on 12 for 18 passing. The Bulldogs finished the contest with a total of 469 yds while running 80 plays (5.9 yds per play). Fresno State rushed the football for 3.8 yds per carry, finishing with 119 yds on 31 attempts.

In relation to the points being put on the board, the Bulldogs currently rank 66th in the country by tallying 29.3 points per contest. The Fresno State Bulldogs are averaging 382.9 yards per game, which has them ranked 71st in Division 1. The Fresno State offense has accrued 439 yds of penalties on 45 violations, which ranks them 58th in college football in terms of giving up free yards. They have given away 9 interceptions while conceding 5 fumbles and they have earned 148 first downs. For the year to this point, the Bulldogs have thrown for a total of 1,528 yards through the air as well as an average of 218.3 passing yards per game, putting them at 80th in Division 1. They maintain an average of 164.6 rushing yards per game and have run for 1,152 yards in total.

The Bulldogs are giving up 23.7 PPG, which has them ranked 64th in the country. Fresno State has surrendered a total of 850 yards rushing (121.4 yards per contest) as well as 5 touchdowns via the rush so far this season. They have given up 15 touchdowns from the passing game as well as 190.4 yards per outing, ranking them 36th in the nation. The Bulldogs defense has participated in 417 plays, which ranks 24th in the nation. Their defense has compiled 2 fumbles and 9 interceptions on the campaign. Overall, they have conceded 166 total points.

Who will win tonight's Aztecs/Bulldogs college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Aztecs -3.5

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