South Alabama Jaguars vs Texas State Bobcats Prediction, 11/29/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: South Alabama Jaguars vs Texas State Bobcats

Date: Saturday, November 29, 2025

Location: UFCU Stadium in San Marcos, TX

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Bobcats (-9.0)

Total/Over-Under: 62.5

The South Alabama Jaguars (4-7) are on their way to UFCU Stadium on Saturday, November 29, 2025 where they will compete against the Texas State Bobcats (5-6). South Alabama opens this game as 9.0-point dogs from oddsmakers. The over/under comes in at 62.5.

The South Alabama Jaguars head into this matchup 4-7 for this year. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Jaguars played the Southern Miss Golden Eagles and went home with a win by a final score of 42-35. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Jaguars conceded 41 yards on 23 attempts, which calculates to 1.8 yds per rush allowed. South Alabama allowed 31 completions on 52 tries for 400 yards, and a completion percentage of 59.6%. In all, they tallied 78 plays for 449 yds. The South Alabama Jaguars ended up running the ball 52 different times and accrued 263 yards, which had them averaging 5.1 yds per attempt.

When talking about getting in the endzone, the South Alabama Jaguars are sitting at 26.5 points per outing. As a unit they have an average of 199.2 yards rushing giving them a rank of 23rd in Division 1. The Jaguars have earned 4,208 total yards over the course of this year. When it comes to getting in the endzone, South Alabama has compiled 12 touchdowns through the air and 28 touchdowns on the ground. South Alabama has earned 226 first downs as a team, and they have been flagged for 74 infractions for 619 yds. They have surrendered the ball 11 different times.

The Jaguars rank 96th in Division 1 in terms of team defense, allowing 28.7 points per game. They are allowing an average of 4.6 yards per running attempt and 168.7 rushing yards per contest this year. For the year, they have given up 1,856 rushing yards through 11 games. Regarding yards through the air, the Jaguars have given up 2,179 yds which has them sitting in 39th in the nation. They have conceded 198.1 yards per outing via the pass and conceding a completion percentage of 59.6%. During the season, they are granting 366.8 yards per game putting them at 64th in Division 1. They have yielded 17 touchdowns through the air and 22 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Bobcats head into this matchup 5-6 for this year. In their last game, the Bobcats walked away with a victory by a final of 31-14 when they played the UL Monroe Warhawks. The Bobcats finished the contest with a total of 422 yards on 75 plays (5.6 yds per play). Texas State ran the ball for 5.1 yds per carry, finishing with a total of 221 yards on 43 carries. Texas State surrendered 35 rush attempts for 134 yds (3.8 yards per rush). The Bobcats passing defense conceded a completion rate of 73.1%, relinquishing 166 yards on 19 for 26 passing.

The Texas State Bobcats have an average of 469.6 yards per outing, which has them ranked 13th in college football. The Texas State offense has compiled 633 penalty yards on 73 violations, which has them ranked 47th in college football in terms of giving up free yards. They maintain an average of 216.6 yards via the ground game and have toted the ball for 2,383 yards in total. They have thrown 7 picks while losing 6 fumbles and they have recorded 250 first downs. Regarding putting points on the board, the Bobcats currently sit 21st in Division 1 maintaining an average of 34.9 PPG. During this campaign thus far, the Bobcats have thrown for 2,783 yards through the air together with holding an average of 253.0 passing yards per game, ranking them 42nd in Division 1.

Texas State has surrendered a total of 1,836 yards rushing (166.9 yards per outing) and 22 touchdowns via the rush this season. They have allowed the opposition 21 touchdowns from the passing game in addition to 234.9 yards/game, which puts them in 91st in the nation. This year, they have relinquished 341 points. They have 1 fumbles recovered and 7 interceptions so far this season. The Bobcats defense has been on the field for 772 plays, which ranks 111th in D-1. The Bobcats are relinquishing 31.0 points per game, which has them ranked 114th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's Jaguars/Bobcats college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Jaguars +9.0

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