TCU Horned Frogs vs Arizona State Sun Devils Prediction, 9/26/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: TCU Horned Frogs vs Arizona State Sun Devils

Date: Friday, September 26, 2025

Location: Mountain America Stadium in Tempe, AZ

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Sun Devils (-2.5)

Total/Over-Under: 54.5

Mountain America Stadium is the location where the Arizona State Sun Devils (3-1) will take on the TCU Horned Frogs (3-0) on Friday, September 26, 2025. TCU opens this contest as 2.5-point underdogs from oddsmakers. The total is set at 54.5.

The TCU Horned Frogs head into this game 3-0 for this season. In their last game, the Horned Frogs played the SMU Mustangs and earned the victory with a final of 35-24. In the running game, the Horned Frogs gave up 94 yds on 27 tries, which is an average of 3.5 yds per run allowed. TCU relinquished 24 completions on 38 attempts for 290 yds, and a completion rate of 63.2%. At the end of the game, they tallied 77 plays which converted into 517 yards. The TCU Horned Frogs rushed the ball a total of 37 different times and accumulated 138 yds, which earned them an average of 3.7 yds per carry.

The Horned Frogs have earned 1,548 total yards for this campaign. With reference to scoring touchdowns, TCU has amassed 11 touchdowns through the air and 4 touchdowns on the ground. They have surrendered the ball 3 times. TCU has accrued 77 1st downs offensively, and they have been flagged for 18 penalties for 169 yds. Offensively they hold an average of 174.7 yards on the ground ranking this team at 64th in the nation. When talking about putting points on the board, the TCU Horned Frogs have an average of 41.7 points per contest.

The Horned Frogs are sitting in 51st in Division 1 regarding team defense, conceding 19.7 points per game. The opposition is running for an average of 3.2 yards per rushing attempt and 107.0 yards on the ground per contest this season. During the season, they have allowed 321 running yards through 3 games. When talking about yards through the air, the Horned Frogs are conceding 738 yards which ranks them 64th in Division 1. They have relinquished 246.0 yards per outing via the pass as well as giving up a completion percentage of 67.2%. Overall, they have given up 353.0 yards/game which has them ranked 69th in the nation. They have yielded 6 touchdowns by air as well as 2 touchdowns running the ball.

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The Sun Devils come into this matchup with a record of 3-1 this season. When they last stepped on the gridiron, the Sun Devils took home the win by a final score of 27-24 when they played the Baylor Bears. Arizona State rushed for 3.7 yards per attempt, finishing the game with 179 yards on 48 carries. The Sun Devils finished the contest with a total of 400 yds while running 80 plays (5.0 yds per play). The Sun Devils secondary gave up a completion rate of 64.1%, surrendering 250 yards on 25 out of 39 through the air. Arizona State conceded 23 rush attempts for 107 yds (4.7 yards per rush).

When it comes to their ability to score points, the Sun Devils currently sit 73rd in Division 1 averaging 29.8 points per contest. The Arizona State Sun Devils are averaging 406.0 yards/game, which ranks them 66th in the country. The Arizona State offense has racked up 252 yards of penalties on 32 infractions, which is 17th in Division 1 in terms of hurting your team. They have tossed 3 picks while losing 0 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 91 first downs. For the season thus far, the Sun Devils currently have a total of 748 passing yards along with an average of 187.0 passing yards per contest, which has them sitting 101st in Division 1. They hold an average of 219.0 yards per game via the rush and have toted the ball for 876 yards for the season.

The Sun Devils are relinquishing 20.5 points per game, which has them sitting 57th in the country. Arizona State has surrendered a total of 381 yards rushing (95.3 yards per game) and 2 touchdowns by way of the ground game on the year. They have allowed the opposition 8 touchdowns through the air and 238.8 yards per game, which has them in 97th in Division 1. The Sun Devils defense has taken part in 274 plays, which is good for 105th in the nation. Their defense has tallied 4 fumbles and 2 picks for the year. In total, they have conceded 82 total points.

Who will win tonight's Horned Frogs/Sun Devils college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Horned Frogs +2.5

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