Texas State Bobcats vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Prediction, 10/4/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas State Bobcats vs Arkansas State Red Wolves

Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025

Location: Centennial Bank Stadium in Jonesboro, AR

TV: ESPN/ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Red Wolves (+13.0)

Total/Over-Under: 63.5

The Arkansas State Red Wolves (1-4) will try to defeat the Texas State Bobcats (3-1) at Centennial Bank Stadium on Saturday, October 4, 2025. Texas State opens this game as 13.0-point favorites. The over/under comes in at 63.5.

The Texas State Bobcats come into this matchup with a record of 3-1 this season. In their last matchup, the Bobcats took on the Nicholls State Colonels and walked away with a win by a score of 35-3. The Texas State Bobcats ran the football 47 different times and recorded 207 yds, which earned them an average of 4.4 yards per carry. Once the final whistle blew, they had 69 plays which totaled 401 yards. Texas State gave up 15 completions on 22 tries for 97 yds, and a completion rate of 68.2%. When it came to stopping the run, the Bobcats conceded 127 yds on 42 tries, which averages out to 3.0 yds per run surrendered.

When talking about scoring points, the Texas State Bobcats are averaging 36.3 PPG. As a team they're maintaining an average of 221.5 yards via the ground game which ranks them 19th in college football. The Bobcats have racked up 1,764 total yards over the course of this season. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Texas State has totaled 6 touchdowns through the air and 13 rushing touchdowns. Texas State has accounted for 93 first downs, and they have committed 18 infractions for 174 yards. They have surrendered the football 4 different times.

Regarding yards through the air, the Bobcats are allowing 752 yds which ranks them 32nd in college football. They are conceding 188.0 yards per outing through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 61.3%. Over the course of this year, they are granting 378.0 yards per contest which has them ranked 86th in Division 1. They have yielded 5 touchdowns via the pass and 7 touchdowns on the ground. They are allowing 5.0 yards per run and 190.0 rushing yards per game for the campaign. During the season, they have allowed 760 running yards through 4 games. The Bobcats are ranked 76th in college football regarding team defense, allowing 25.0 points per contest.

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The Red Wolves head into this game 1-4 for this year. When they last stepped on the field, the Red Wolves took a defeat with a final score of 28-16 against the UL Monroe Warhawks. The Red Wolves finished the game with 297 yards while they ran 74 plays (4.0 yds per play). Arkansas State ended up running for 0.4 yds per attempt, finishing the contest with 12 yds on 27 attempts. Arkansas State gave up 32 running attempts for 199 yards (6.2 yards per rush). The Red Wolves secondary allowed a completion percentage of 65.4%, surrendering 185 yards on 17 for 26 passing.

Regarding the points being put on the board, the Red Wolves are sitting 102nd in Division 1 with an average of 21.8 PPG. The Arkansas State Red Wolves have an average of 354.8 yards per outing, which is good for 95th in D-1. The Arkansas State offense has 279 penalty yds on 31 infractions, which is 46th in the country in terms of giving up free yards. They have thrown 4 interceptions while surrendering 3 fumbles and they have obtained 108 first downs. For the season to this point, the Red Wolves have compiled 1,210 passing yards in addition to holding an average of 242.0 passing yards per outing, which has them sitting 61st in college football. They average 112.8 yards per game via the rush and have toted the ball for 564 yards for the season.

The Red Wolves are allowing 32.0 points per contest, which puts them 122nd in Division 1. Arkansas State has given up a total of 988 yards on the ground (197.6 yards per game) in addition to 12 touchdowns via the rush for the year. They have given up 10 touchdowns through the air and 267.8 yards/outing, ranking them 120th in the country. The Red Wolves defense has been on the field for 327 plays, which is 103rd in D-1. Their defense has totaled 4 fumbles recovered and 4 interceptions on the campaign. In total, they have allowed 160 pts.

Who will win tonight's Bobcats/Red Wolves college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Red Wolves +13.0

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