Toledo Rockets vs Bowling Green Falcons Prediction, 10/11/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toledo Rockets vs Bowling Green Falcons

Date: Saturday, October 11, 2025

Location: Doyt L. Perry Stadium in Bowling Green, OH

TV: ESPNU

Odds/Point Spread: Falcons (+9.5)

Total/Over-Under: 49

Doyt L. Perry Stadium is where the Bowling Green Falcons (2-3) will compete against the Toledo Rockets (3-2) on Saturday, October 11, 2025. Toledo opens this contest as 9.5-point favorites from oddsmakers. The over/under is set at 49.

The Toledo Rockets come into this game with a record of 3-2 for this year. In their last matchup, the Rockets faced off with the Akron Zips and went home with a win by a final score of 45-3. The Toledo Rockets ran the football 37 times and recorded 252 yds, earning them an average of 6.8 yards per carry. In all, they ran 61 plays which gave them 545 yds. Toledo gave up 14 pass completions on 25 tries for 79 yds, and a completion rate of 56.0%. In the running game, the Rockets conceded 66 yards on 35 attempts, which is 1.9 yards per rush surrendered.

The Rockets have earned 2,212 total yards for the year. In terms of scoring touchdowns, Toledo has compiled 10 passing touchdowns and 12 touchdowns via the ground. They have turned the ball over 5 times. Toledo has accrued 113 1st downs offensively, and they have been flagged for 39 infractions for 367 yds. As a unit they're averaging 212.4 yards in the run game ranking them 22nd in the country. Concerning scoring points, the Toledo Rockets are sitting at 35.8 points per contest.

In terms of passing yardage, the Rockets are allowing 659 yds which puts them in 6th in Division 1. They have conceded 131.8 yards per contest via the pass as well as allowing a completion percentage of 53.7%. During this campaign, they are surrendering 223.8 yards/outing which has them sitting 6th in D-1. They have relinquished 2 touchdowns by air in addition to 6 touchdowns pounding the rock. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 2.6 yards per run and 92.0 yards on the ground per game on the year. Overall, they have conceded 460 yards on the ground through 5 outings. The Rockets rank 9th in Division 1 regarding the opposition scoring, giving up 12.4 points per game.

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The Falcons come into this game with a record of 2-3 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Falcons took a loss by a final score of 35-20 when they faced the Ohio Bobcats. Bowling Green allowed 39 rush attempts for 231 yds (5.9 yards per rush). The Falcons pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 68.0%, surrendering 208 yds on 17 out of 25 passing. The Falcons finished the contest with 350 yards on 65 plays (5.4 yds per play). Bowling Green ran for 5.0 yards per tote, finishing with 180 yds on 36 attempts.

In relation to the points being put on the board, the Falcons currently rank 108th in college football holding an average of 21.2 points per game. The Bowling Green Falcons average 322.6 yards/game, which ranks them 118th in D-1. The Bowling Green offense has accrued 264 yds of penalties on 32 infractions, which ranks them 70th in Division 1 in terms of hurting your team. They have thrown 5 picks while losing 1 fumble and they have obtained 90 first downs. Over the course of the season to this point, the Falcons have racked up 830 yards via the pass not to mention holding an average of 166.0 passing yards per contest, which has them ranked 121st in Division 1. They average 156.6 yards per game via the ground game and have run for 783 yards in total.

Bowling Green has conceded a total of 674 yards on the ground (134.8 yards per game) in addition to 7 touchdowns rushing on the season. They have surrendered 7 touchdowns through the air in addition to 233.2 yards/contest, which has them in 87th in Division 1. This year, they have relinquished 129 points. Their defense has totaled 6 fumbles recovered and 3 interceptions so far this year. The Falcons defense has been on the field for 302 plays, which ranks 19th in Division 1. The Falcons are relinquishing 25.8 points per game, which has them ranked 83rd in college football.

Who will win tonight's Rockets/Falcons college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Rockets -9.5

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