UCF Knights vs Baylor Bears Prediction, 11/1/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: UCF Knights vs Baylor Bears

Date: Saturday, November 1, 2025

Location: McLane Stadium in Waco, TX

TV: ESPNU

Odds/Point Spread: Bears (-5.0)

Total/Over-Under: 60.5

The Baylor Bears (4-4) host the UCF Knights (4-3) at McLane Stadium on Saturday, November 1, 2025. UCF opens as 5.0-point underdogs. The over/under has been set at 60.5.

The UCF Knights head into this matchup 4-3 this season. In their last game, the Knights faced the West Virginia Mountaineers and earned the victory with a final of 45-13. Overall, they ran 75 plays which totaled 578 yds. The UCF Knights ran the football 35 different times and accumulated 255 yards, which is an average of 7.3 yds per attempt. In the running game, the Knights gave up 131 yards on 49 attempts, which averages out to 2.7 yards per rush surrendered. UCF allowed 11 pass completions on 28 tries for 79 yds, and a completion percentage of 39.3%.

The Knights have attained 3,116 total yards this season. In terms of getting the ball in the endzone, UCF has compiled 6 touchdowns via the pass and 17 touchdowns on the ground. They have turned the football over 8 times. UCF has recorded 147 1st downs as an offense, and they have committed 51 penalties for 410 yds. As a team they average 208.1 yards rushing ranking them 20th in D-1. In terms of getting in the endzone, the UCF Knights are sitting at 30.7 points per game.

When it comes to yards through the air, the Knights have conceded 1,024 yds which puts them in 5th in Division 1. They have surrendered 146.3 yards per outing through the air as well as conceding a completion percentage of 58.4%. In total, they are giving up 292.1 yards/game putting them 15th in Division 1. They have surrendered 5 touchdowns by air and 9 touchdowns via the ground game. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.8 yards per rush and 145.9 rushing yards per game so far this year. Over the course of this year, they have allowed 1,021 running yards through 7 outings. The Knights sit in 16th in the nation when it comes to their opponents scoring, giving up 17.1 points per game.

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The Bears come into this matchup with a record of 4-4 for this season. When they last played, the Bears took a loss by a score of 41-20 when they faced the Cincinnati Bearcats. Baylor conceded 50 attempts on the ground for 265 yards (5.3 yards per rush). The Bears secondary conceded a completion rate of 61.9%, relinquishing 111 yards on 13 out of 21 through the air. The Bears finished the contest with 266 yards while they ran 58 plays (4.6 yards per play). Baylor rushed for 4.0 yards per attempt, finishing the game with 129 yards on 32 attempts.

The Baylor Bears are averaging 458.6 yards per contest, which is good for 22nd in the country. The Baylor offense has 463 yards of penalties on 46 infractions, which is 77th in the nation in terms of giving up free yards. They are averaging 140.3 run yards per game and have toted the ball for 1,122 yards for the season. They have given away 7 picks while conceding 9 fumbles and they have recorded 200 first downs. When it comes to their scoring prowess, the Bears are ranked 35th in Division 1 holding an average of 34.3 points per contest. During this campaign thus far, the Bears have thrown for a total of 2,547 passing yards as well as holding an average of 318.4 throwing yards per game, putting them at 5th in the country.

The Bears are surrendering 32.6 PPG, which has them ranked 120th in D-1. Baylor has allowed the opposition a total of 1,524 yards via the ground game (190.5 yards per game) and 18 touchdowns via the rush for the year. They have given up 13 touchdowns via the pass as well as 212.6 yards/outing, which has them ranked 57th in Division 1. The Bears defense has taken the field for 573 plays, which is 121st in the country. They have totaled 2 fumbles and 5 picks so far this season. In total, they have relinquished 261 points.

Who will win tonight's Knights/Bears college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Bears -5.0

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