UCF Knights vs Cincinnati Bearcats Prediction, 10/11/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: UCF Knights vs Cincinnati Bearcats

Date: Saturday, October 11, 2025

Location: Nippert Stadium in Cincinnati, OH

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Bearcats (-10.5)

Total/Over-Under: 56

The Cincinnati Bearcats (4-1) host the UCF Knights (3-2) at Nippert Stadium on Saturday, October 11, 2025. Cincinnati opens as 10.5-point favorites from oddsmakers. The over/under comes in at 56.

The UCF Knights head into this matchup 3-2 for this season. In their last matchup, the Knights took the field against the Kansas Jayhawks and went home with a loss by a final score of 27-20. The UCF Knights ran the football 39 different times and totaled 199 yards, which came out to an average of 5.1 yards per tote. On the day, they ran 76 plays which converted into 375 yds. UCF surrendered 18 completions on 26 attempts for 235 yds, and a completion percentage of 69.2%. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Knights conceded 121 yds on 32 tries, which is 3.8 yards per run allowed.

Concerning scoring, the UCF Knights have an average of 31.8 points per contest. As a unit they are averaging 202.2 yards on the ground which is 32nd in D-1. The Knights have earned 2,125 total yards for the year. In terms of scoring, UCF has earned 4 touchdowns through the air and 13 touchdowns on the ground. UCF has tallied 100 first downs as an offense, and they have been called for 34 penalties for 265 yards. They have surrendered the ball 5 times.

In terms of yards via the pass, the Knights are allowing 754 yards which has them ranked 15th in the nation. They have allowed 150.8 yards per game via the pass as well as conceding a completion percentage of 62.7%. During this campaign, they have yielded 305.8 yards/outing which has them sitting 28th in D-1. They have yielded 3 touchdowns by air in addition to 7 touchdowns on the ground. They are allowing 4.1 yards per rushing attempt and 155.0 yards on the ground per contest for the season. In total, they have conceded 775 yards on the ground through 5 games. The Knights are sitting in 28th in college football concerning their opponents scoring, conceding 17.4 points per game.

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The Bearcats head into this game 4-1 for this season. In their last game, the Bearcats went home victorious with a score of 38-30 against the Iowa State Cyclones. Cincinnati ran the football for 7.6 yards per tote, finishing with 260 yds on 34 attempts. The Bearcats finished the contest with a total of 474 yds while running 59 plays (8.0 yds per play). The Bearcats pass defense allowed a completion rate of 62.5%, relinquishing 314 yds on 30 for 48 passing. Cincinnati relinquished 37 run attempts for 156 yds (4.2 yds per carry).

The Cincinnati Bearcats are averaging 478.4 yards/contest, which ranks them 15th in the country. The Cincinnati offense has compiled 333 penalty yards on 37 infractions, which ranks 38th in the country in terms of giving up free yards. They are averaging 205.2 run yards per game and have run for 1,026 yards for the season. They have thrown 1 interception while letting opponents recover 3 fumbles and they have obtained 110 1st downs. When it comes to putting points on the board, the Bearcats currently sit 17th in college football scoring 39.2 PPG. During the season to this point, the Bearcats have thrown for a total of 1,366 yards through the air together with holding an average of 273.2 passing yards per outing, ranking them 33rd in the country.

Cincinnati has given up a total of 579 rushing yards (115.8 yards per game) as well as 3 touchdowns via the rush for the campaign. They have given up 9 touchdowns from the passing game as well as 262.0 yards/contest, which has them in 120th in D-1. This season, they have allowed 104 points. Their defense has tallied 2 fumbles and 0 picks on the campaign. The Bearcats defense has been on the field for 341 plays, which has them sitting 69th in Division 1. The Bearcats are allowing 20.8 points per game, which puts them 47th in D-1.

Who will win tonight's Knights/Bearcats college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Knights +10.5

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