UCF Knights vs Kansas State Wildcats Prediction, 9/27/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: UCF Knights vs Kansas State Wildcats

Date: Saturday, September 27, 2025

Location: Bill Snyder Family Stadium in Manhattan, KS

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Wildcats (-6.0)

Total/Over-Under: 50.5

The Kansas State Wildcats (1-3) will go up against the UCF Knights (3-0) at Bill Snyder Family Stadium on Saturday, September 27, 2025. Kansas State opens this game as 6.0-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The total has been set at 50.5.

The UCF Knights head into this matchup 3-0 this year. In their last game, the Knights played the North Carolina Tar Heels and went home with a win by a final score of 34-9. At the end of the game, they ran 66 plays which totaled 366 yards. The UCF Knights rushed the ball a total of 34 different times and amassed 143 yards, which had them averaging 4.2 yards per tote. On the ground, the Knights gave up 63 yds on 25 attempts, which is 2.5 yards per run allowed. UCF allowed 22 pass completions on 33 tries for 154 yards, and a completion percentage of 66.7%.

When it comes to putting points on the board, the UCF Knights hold an average of 39.7 PPG. As a team they average 202.3 yards rushing ranking them 38th in the country. The Knights have earned 1,348 total yards for the year. In terms of getting in the endzone, UCF has earned 3 passing touchdowns and 10 touchdowns via the ground. UCF has accrued 66 first downs as an offense, and they have been flagged for 22 infractions for 175 yards. They have turned the football over 1 time.

When talking about passing yardage, the Knights have given up 351 yds which has them sitting in 5th in Division 1. They are giving up 117.0 yards per contest through the air and giving up a completion percentage of 57.9%. For the season, they have surrendered 246.3 yards/contest which ranks them 18th in D-1. They have surrendered 1 touchdown via the pass and 2 touchdowns on the ground. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.4 yards per run and 129.3 rushing yards per contest this year. In total, they have conceded 388 rushing yards through 3 games. The Knights are sitting in 6th in Division 1 when it comes to team defense, allowing 8.7 points per contest.

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The Wildcats head into this game 1-3 for this year. When they last stepped on the gridiron, the Wildcats went home defeated by a final of 23-17 when they played the Arizona Wildcats. Kansas State allowed 45 rush attempts for 234 yds (5.2 yds per carry). The Wildcats pass defense allowed a completion rate of 47.1%, relinquishing 178 yards on 16 out of 34 through the air. The Wildcats finished with a total of 193 yards on 53 plays (3.6 yards per play). Kansas State ended up running for 4.4 yds per carry, finishing with 105 yds on 24 carries.

The Kansas State Wildcats average 320.8 yards per contest, which has them sitting 117th in the country. The Kansas State offense has compiled 129 yds of penalties on 13 violations, which is good for 125th in the nation in terms of helping out the opposition. They have an average of 108.0 run yards per game and have rushed for 432 yards for the year. They have thrown 1 picks while losing 4 fumbles and they have been able to earn 56 1st downs. In terms of their scoring prowess, the Wildcats are ranked 91st in D-1 with 24.3 points per outing. Over the course of the season thus far, the Wildcats have compiled 851 yards via the pass along with holding an average of 212.8 throwing yards per game, giving them a rank of 83rd in the country.

The Wildcats are surrendering 26.5 points per contest, which puts them 86th in Division 1. Kansas State has surrendered a total of 703 yards rushing (175.8 yards per game) as well as 9 touchdowns rushing on the season. They have given up 4 touchdowns via the pass as well as 177.0 yards/game, which has them in 37th in Division 1. The Wildcats defense has been on the field for 307 plays, which has them ranked 132nd in D-1. Their defense has tallied 4 fumbles and 1 pick on the season. Overall, they have surrendered 106 pts.

Who will win tonight's Knights/Wildcats college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Knights +6.0

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