West Virginia Mountaineers vs UCF Knights Prediction, 10/18/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: West Virginia Mountaineers vs UCF Knights

Date: Saturday, October 18, 2025

Location: FBC Mortgage Stadium in Orlando, FL

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Knights (-7.0)

Total/Over-Under: 48

FBC Mortgage Stadium is the location where the UCF Knights (3-3) will attempt to beat the West Virginia Mountaineers (2-4) on Saturday, October 18, 2025. UCF opens as 7.0-point favorites. The over/under has been set at 48.

The West Virginia Mountaineers head into this matchup 2-4 for this season. In their last matchup, the Mountaineers played the BYU Cougars and ended up losing by a score of 38-24. Against the run, the Mountaineers conceded 165 yards on 42 attempts, which is an average of 3.9 yards per run allowed. West Virginia relinquished 18 completions on 25 tries for a total of 351 yds, and a completion percentage of 72.0%. For the game, they ran 65 plays which totaled 291 yds. The West Virginia Mountaineers ended up rushing 47 different times and accounted for 156 yards, earning them an average of 3.3 yards per carry.

The Mountaineers have attained 2,269 total yards for the season. In terms of notching touchdowns, West Virginia has amassed 4 passing touchdowns and 13 touchdowns on the ground. They have surrendered the football 11 times. West Virginia has accumulated 117 1st downs as an offense, and they have been called for 37 penalties for 340 yds. As a team they average 206.2 yards in the run game giving them a rank of 25th in the country. When it comes to scoring points, the West Virginia Mountaineers are sitting at 22.3 points per outing.

When it comes to yards via the pass, the Mountaineers have given up 1,407 yds which puts them in 83rd in the country. They have surrendered 234.5 yards per game via the pass as well as conceding a completion percentage of 62.0%. During this campaign, they are giving up 389.5 yards per game putting them 95th in the nation. They have surrendered 11 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 8 touchdowns running the ball. They are allowing 3.7 yards per tote and 155.0 rushing yards per contest on the year. Over the course of this year, they have allowed 930 yards via the ground game in 6 games. The Mountaineers rank 98th in D-1 when it comes to team defense, giving up 28.5 PPG.

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The Knights head into this game 3-3 this year. When they last stepped on the field, the Knights took a loss by a score of 20-11 when they played the Cincinnati Bearcats. UCF rushed the football for 4.7 yards per tote, totaling 191 yds on 41 attempts. The Knights finished with 413 yds and they ran 90 plays (4.6 yards per play). The Knights pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 57.1%, relinquishing 191 yds on 12 out of 21 passing. UCF allowed 27 attempts on the ground for 115 yards (4.3 yds per rush).

The UCF Knights maintain an average of 423.0 yards per outing, which has them sitting 44th in the nation. The UCF offense has accrued 340 penalty yards on 44 violations, which ranks them 31st in the country in terms of making mistakes. They have an average of 200.3 yards per game via the rush and have toted the ball for 1,202 yards overall. They have given away 2 interceptions while surrendering 4 fumbles and they have been able to record 126 first downs. In terms of the points being put on the board, the Knights are ranked 74th in college football averaging 28.3 points per outing. For the year so far, the Knights have racked up 1,336 yards through the air as well as an average of 222.7 passing yards per contest, ranking them 75th in Division 1.

The Knights are conceding 17.8 points per game, ranking them 26th in the country. UCF has conceded a total of 890 yards rushing (148.3 yards per game) and 7 touchdowns via the rush on the campaign. They have allowed 5 touchdowns through the air as well as 157.5 yards/outing, which puts them in 14th in the nation. The Knights defense has been on the field for 365 plays, which is good for 25th in D-1. Their defense has 2 fumbles recovered and 5 picks on the year. Overall, they have allowed 107 points.

Who will win tonight's Mountaineers/Knights college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Mountaineers +7.0

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