Western Michigan Broncos vs UMass Minutemen Prediction, 10/4/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Western Michigan Broncos vs UMass Minutemen

Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025

Location: Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium in Amherst, MA

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Minutemen (+12.0)

Total/Over-Under: 45.5

The UMass Minutemen (0-4) welcome the Western Michigan Broncos (2-3) at Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium on Saturday, October 4, 2025. UMass opens this matchup as 12.0-point underdogs from oddsmakers. The betting total is set at 45.5.

The Western Michigan Broncos head into this matchup 2-3 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Broncos took on the Rhode Island Rams and went home with a win by a final score of 47-14. When all was said and done, they had 77 plays which converted into 372 yds. The Western Michigan Broncos ended up running the ball 53 different times and accounted for 216 yds, earning them an average of 4.1 yds per carry. On the ground, the Broncos gave up -5 yds on 23 attempts, which is -0.2 yards per rush surrendered. Western Michigan conceded 19 pass completions on 28 attempts for a total of 256 yards, and a completion percentage of 67.9%.

The Broncos have earned 1,387 total yards for this campaign. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Western Michigan has amassed 2 touchdowns through the air and 8 touchdowns via the ground. They have turned the football over 6 times. Western Michigan has compiled 82 1st downs as a team, and they have committed 25 penalties for 211 yds. As a team they're maintaining an average of 132.8 yards rushing which ranks them 102nd in D-1. Concerning putting the ball in the endzone, the Western Michigan Broncos are sitting at 19.4 PPG.

The Broncos sit in 74th in D-1 concerning team defense, allowing 24.2 points per game. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.0 yards per attempt on the ground and 142.2 rushing yards per game on the season. Over the course of this season, they have allowed 711 running yards through 5 games. Concerning passing yardage, the Broncos have given up 920 yds which ranks them 58th in the country. They have conceded 184.0 yards per outing through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 61.0%. During this campaign, they are granting 326.2 yards/outing ranking them 50th in the nation. They have conceded 6 touchdowns through the air as well as 9 touchdowns running the ball.

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The Minutemen step onto the field holding a record of 0-4 this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Minutemen walked away with a loss by a score of 42-6 when they played the Missouri Tigers. The Minutemen finished with 124 yds and they ran 55 plays (2.3 yds per play). UMass ran the ball for 1.2 yards per attempt, finishing with 19 yards on 16 carries. UMass allowed 52 rush attempts for 268 yards (5.2 yards per carry). The Minutemen pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 84.4%, relinquishing 253 yds on 27 out of 32 through the air.

The UMass Minutemen have an average of 225.8 yards/game, which is good for 136th in the nation. The UMass offense has racked up 145 yards of penalties on 18 infractions, which is good for 120th in D-1 in terms of helping out the opposition. They have an average of 62.3 yards per game via the rush and have toted the ball for 249 yards in total. They have thrown 3 picks while allowing opponents to recover 1 fumble and they have tallied 56 1st downs. When discussing the points being put on the board, the Minutemen are ranked 135th in the country maintaining an average of 12.3 points per outing. During this campaign so far, the Minutemen currently have a total of 654 yards through the air as well as an average of 163.5 passing yards per outing, which is ranked 117th in the country.

The Minutemen are allowing 39.5 points per contest, ranking them 132nd in Division 1. UMass has allowed a total of 741 yards rushing (185.3 yards/game) as well as 7 touchdowns on the ground so far this season. They have surrendered 13 touchdowns through the air in addition to 270.3 yards/outing, which has them ranked 122nd in the nation. The Minutemen defense has taken part in 291 plays, which has them sitting 68th in Division 1. Their defense has compiled no fumbles recovered and 3 picks for the season. Overall, they have relinquished 158 total points.

Who will win tonight's Broncos/Minutemen college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Broncos -12.0

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