Air Force Falcons vs Nevada Wolf Pack Prediction, 9/26/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Air Force Falcons vs Nevada Wolf Pack

Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026

Location: Mackay Stadium in Reno, NV

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Wolf Pack (+4.5)

Total/Over-Under: 49

The Nevada Wolf Pack (1-2) will compete against the Air Force Falcons (1-1) at Mackay Stadium on Saturday, September 26, 2026. Nevada opens as 4.5-point underdogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under is set at 49.

The Air Force Falcons head into this game 1-1 for this year. In their last contest, the Falcons faced the North Dakota State Bison and took a loss by a final of 38-32. The Air Force Falcons ended up running the ball 51 times and accounted for 207 yds, which earned them an average of 4.1 yards per tote. When the final whistle blew, they had 66 plays which gave them a total of 386 yds. Air Force surrendered 15 completions on 23 attempts for a total of 228 yds, and a completion percentage of 65.2%. In the running game, the Falcons gave up 146 yds on 37 attempts, which is 3.9 yds per rush surrendered.

In terms of getting in the endzone, the Air Force Falcons hold an average of 33.0 points per contest. As a unit they are averaging 319.0 yards via the ground game which is 3rd in D-1. The Falcons have racked up 836 yards in total this season. In terms of getting in the endzone, Air Force has totaled 2 touchdowns through the air and 6 touchdowns via the ground. Air Force has 49 1st downs as a unit, and they have been called for 14 infractions for 115 yards. They have surrendered the ball 1 time.

When it comes to passing yards, the Falcons have allowed 281 yards which has them ranked 3rd in Division 1. They have surrendered 140.5 yards per outing through the air as well as conceding a completion percentage of 53.3%. Over the course of this year, they have yielded 240.5 yards per contest putting them 15th in Division 1. They have relinquished 2 touchdowns by air as well as 3 touchdowns on the ground. The opposition is running for an average of 3.4 yards per rush and 100.0 rushing yards per contest for the year. Over the course of this season, they have conceded 200 yards via the running game in 2 games. The Falcons rank 53rd in college football concerning their opponents scoring, giving up 19.0 PPG.

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The Wolf Pack come into this matchup with a record of 1-2 for this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Wolf Pack took a loss by a score of 27-20 when they faced the MTSU Blue Raiders. The Wolf Pack ended up finishing with 280 yds and they ran 58 plays (4.8 yds per play). Nevada rushed the football for 2.9 yards per tote, finishing with a total of 95 yards on 33 attempts. Nevada surrendered 38 run attempts for 157 yds (4.1 yds per carry). The Wolf Pack secondary conceded a completion percentage of 55.2%, surrendering 173 yards on 16 out of 29 passing.

In relation to their scoring prowess, the Wolf Pack rank 97th in Division 1 maintaining an average of 25.3 points per contest. The Nevada Wolf Pack are averaging 371.7 yards per game, which has them sitting 91st in Division 1. The Nevada offense has accrued 180 penalty yds on 19 violations, which is 80th in the country in terms of making mistakes. They have given away 5 interceptions while surrendering 3 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 57 1st downs. During the season to this point, the Wolf Pack have compiled 515 yards via the pass as well as an average of 171.7 passing yards per game, putting them at 114th in the nation. They are averaging 200.0 yards per game on the ground and have toted the ball for 600 yards in total.

Nevada has conceded a total of 466 yards on the ground (155.3 yards per contest) as well as 4 touchdowns by way of the ground game on the campaign. They have allowed 3 touchdowns via the pass and 187.0 yards per contest, which has them in 55th in the nation. This season, they have relinquished 61 points. They have earned 2 fumbles recovered and no picks for the season. The Wolf Pack defense has taken the field for 212 plays, which has them sitting 109th in college football. The Wolf Pack are surrendering 20.3 points per game, which puts them 61st in D-1.

Who will win tonight's Falcons/Wolf Pack college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Falcons -4.5

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