Florida Gators vs Missouri Tigers Prediction, 10/3/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Florida Gators vs Missouri Tigers

Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026

Location: Memorial Stadium in Columbia, MO

TV: ABC

Odds/Point Spread: Tigers (+4.5)

Total/Over-Under: 56.5

The Florida Gators (4-0) are headed to Memorial Stadium on Saturday, October 3, 2026 where they will take on the Missouri Tigers (3-1). Missouri is 4.5-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The total is set at 56.5.

The Florida Gators head into this matchup 4-0 for this year. In their last game, the Gators played the Ole Miss Rebels and took home the win by a score of 52-28. In all, they tallied 76 plays which gave them a total of 498 yds. The Florida Gators ran the football 53 times and accrued 302 yds, which had them averaging 5.7 yds per carry. On the ground, the Gators conceded 128 yds on 27 tries, which is an average of 4.7 yds per run allowed. Florida allowed 25 completions on 34 tries for 298 yards, and a completion rate of 73.5%.

When it comes to putting points on the board, the Florida Gators are averaging 53.5 points per outing. As a team they have an average of 260.0 yards on the ground which ranks them 11th in the nation. The Gators have earned 2,131 total yards for the season. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, Florida has compiled 8 touchdowns via the pass and 18 rushing touchdowns. Florida has recorded 105 first downs as a team, and they have been hurt by 35 penalties for 357 yds. They have turned the ball over 4 times.

The Gators sit in 69th in Division 1 when it comes to the opposition scoring, allowing 22.8 points per game. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.4 yards per rushing attempt and 103.0 rushing yards per contest this year. In total, they have given up 412 rushing yards through 4 contests. Regarding yards through the air, the Gators have allowed 993 yds which ranks them 112th in college football. They have surrendered 248.3 yards per contest through the air as well as allowing a completion percentage of 62.5%. For the year, they are surrendering 351.3 yards per contest which ranks them 72nd in the nation. They have yielded 5 touchdowns by air as well as 6 touchdowns on the ground.

Get all of our College Football Expert Picks

The Tigers head into this matchup 3-1 this season. In their last game, the Tigers took a defeat with a final score of 31-24 when they faced the Mississippi State Bulldogs. The Tigers finished with 414 yds while they ran 75 plays (5.5 yards per play). Missouri ran the ball for 3.4 yards per tote, finishing the contest with 119 yards on 35 attempts. Missouri gave up 40 rush attempts for 139 yards (3.5 yds per carry). The Tigers pass defense allowed a completion percentage of 71.1%, relinquishing 360 yards on 27 out of 38 passing.

The Missouri Tigers have an average of 418.8 yards per outing, ranking them 60th in the nation. The Missouri offense has 292 penalty yds on 32 infractions, which ranks 27th in Division 1 in terms of giving up free yards. They maintain an average of 155.8 rushing yards per game and have toted the ball for 623 yards overall. They have tossed no interceptions while allowing opponents to recover 2 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 90 1st downs. In terms of this team's ability to score points, the Tigers rank 43rd in college football with 35.8 PPG. For the year so far, the Tigers have compiled 1,052 passing yards as well as holding an average of 263.0 throwing yards per contest, which ranks 42nd in D-1.

The Tigers are relinquishing 20.8 points per game, which puts them 52nd in Division 1. Missouri has surrendered a total of 401 rushing yards (100.3 yards/game) in addition to 2 touchdowns by way of the ground game so far this season. They have allowed 8 touchdowns through the air in addition to 218.3 yards per game, which has them in 81st in college football. The Tigers defense has been on the field for 270 plays, which is 93rd in D-1. They have tallied 2 fumbles and 4 picks over the course of the season. In total, they have conceded 83 pts.

Who will win tonight's Gators/Tigers college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Tigers +4.5

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get college football picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.